Best MLB home runs matchups — Wednesday, July 29, 2026

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.080

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs RHB3.2%

How often this starter gives up home runs to RHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season21 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

HR EnvironmentFavorable +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.071

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs LHB2.1%

How often this starter gives up home runs to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season22 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.061

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs LHB3.8%

How often this starter gives up home runs to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season9 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-7

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.059

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs LHB4.4%

How often this starter gives up home runs to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season19 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.058

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs LHB2.4%

How often this starter gives up home runs to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season20 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-6

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.066

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs RHB2.6%

How often this starter gives up home runs to RHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.065

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs RHB3.2%

How often this starter gives up home runs to RHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.064

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs RHB2.8%

How often this starter gives up home runs to RHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season2 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.048

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs RHB2.8%

How often this starter gives up home runs to RHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season22 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-1

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.053

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs LHB3.8%

How often this starter gives up home runs to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.052

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs LHB2.9%

How often this starter gives up home runs to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season3 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-2

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.053

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs RHB5.1%

How often this starter gives up home runs to RHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-5

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.050

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs LHB2.6%

How often this starter gives up home runs to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.055

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs LHB3.4%

How often this starter gives up home runs to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-4

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.053

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs LHB3.4%

How often this starter gives up home runs to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.051

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs LHB2.8%

How often this starter gives up home runs to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season20 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-3

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.058

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs RHB2.8%

How often this starter gives up home runs to RHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season22 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.052

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs LHB4.4%

How often this starter gives up home runs to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season19 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.051

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs RHB3.0%

How often this starter gives up home runs to RHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season22 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.053

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs RHB2.8%

How often this starter gives up home runs to RHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season21 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-11

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.056

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs LHB3.2%

How often this starter gives up home runs to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.041

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs LHB3.9%

How often this starter gives up home runs to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season10 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +8%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.049

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs RHB3.2%

How often this starter gives up home runs to RHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season3 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.056

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs LHB2.6%

How often this starter gives up home runs to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.043

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs RHB3.0%

How often this starter gives up home runs to RHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season22 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.039

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs RHB2.7%

How often this starter gives up home runs to RHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-3

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.040

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs LHB4.8%

How often this starter gives up home runs to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season21 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-6

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.044

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs RHB1.74%

How often this starter gives up home runs to RHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-3

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.048

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs RHB4.0%

How often this starter gives up home runs to RHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.037

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.059

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs RHB2.6%

How often this starter gives up home runs to RHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.044

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs RHB4.8%

How often this starter gives up home runs to RHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-4

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.054

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs RHB4.0%

How often this starter gives up home runs to RHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -9%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.048

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs LHB3.1%

How often this starter gives up home runs to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season2 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.044

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs RHB2.7%

How often this starter gives up home runs to RHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-3

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.