Best MLB RBIs Matchups — Thursday, July 23, 2026
Top rbis spot: Drake Baldwin
Drake Baldwin (ATL) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Griffin Canning. The lefty is driving in runs at .180 RBI/PA against righties this year — and .313 over the last two weeks, an elite bat that turns into a RBI in about 18% of his trips. And Griffin Canning has been getting lit up by righties lately — .150 RBIs per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's just .000 in 1 career PA against Griffin Canning, but that's a tiny sample and the matchup says regression. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Jonathan Aranda (TB) (75) vs RHP Shane Bieber: an elite bat at .160 into an arm stingy with runs against the same side (.000).
- Riley Greene (DET) (72) vs RHP Randy Dobnak: an excellent bat at .159 into an arm stingy with runs against the same side (.000).
- Junior Caminero (TB) (69) vs RHP Shane Bieber: a strong bat at .139 into an arm stingy with runs against the same side (.091), hot bat.
- Blaze Jordan (STL) (68) vs RHP Brandon Pfaadt: an elite bat at .167 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.200).
- Jordan Walker (STL) (67) vs RHP Brandon Pfaadt: an excellent bat at .144 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.200).
- Dillon Dingler (DET) (64) vs RHP Randy Dobnak: a strong bat at .139 into an arm stingy with runs against the same side (.053).
- Carter Jensen (KC) (63) vs RHP Troy Melton: a strong bat at .135 into an arm stingy with runs against the same side (.063).
Platoon edges to target
- Drake Baldwin (ATL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .180 against righties this year.
- Jonathan Aranda (TB) — lefty bat vs RHP, .181 against righties this year.
- Riley Greene (DET) — lefty bat vs RHP, .136 against righties this year.
- Carter Jensen (KC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .135 against righties this year.
- Matt Olson (ATL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .149 against righties this year.
Lineup watch
72 of today's hitters are still on projected lineups, drawn from each team's last game. Batting order drives the score, so these flip the moment official lineups post — usually about two hours before first pitch. Anyone who doesn't make the official card gets flagged "Not starting" and drops to the bottom.
How to read these rbis matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's RBIs per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.