Who has the best walks matchup today (Saturday, August 1, 2026)?

Bryce Eldridge (SF) — top of the board at 100, facing RHP Walker Buehler. An excellent bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.

What are the best MLB walks matchups today (Saturday, August 1, 2026)?

The top walks matchups on Saturday, August 1, 2026: Bryce Eldridge (100), Kyle Karros (100), Kevin McGonigle (100), Joc Pederson (87), Corey Seager (83). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by walks upside.

Did the top walks matchup get a walk on Saturday, August 1, 2026?

No — Bryce Eldridge didn't record a walk.

Which hitters have a platoon edge today?

Bryce Eldridge (SF) — lefty bat vs RHP, .144 against righties this year. Kevin McGonigle (DET) — lefty bat vs RHP, .159 against righties this year. Joc Pederson (TEX) — lefty bat vs RHP, .119 against righties this year. Corey Seager (TEX) — lefty bat vs RHP, .120 against righties this year. Rafael Devers (SF) — lefty bat vs RHP, .110 against righties this year.

How is the walks matchup score calculated?

It's a weighted read of the hitter's walks per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — the last two weeks, the current season, and a two-year baseline, with recent form counting most. Then it folds in the opposing bullpen, his expected plate appearances from the batting order, and park and weather. Scores are set 0–100 across the day's slate, so the best matchup is always 100.

What does BB/PA mean?

Walks per plate appearance — how often a hitter draws a base on balls. Around .085 (one walk every ~12 trips) is league average; .12+ is elite plate discipline. The matchup pairs the hitter's walk rate with how freely the pitcher gives them up.

What does the score actually mean?

Higher is better for the hitter. 80s and 90s mean the bat, the pitcher, and the park all line up. 40s and 50s mean it's neutral to tough. It's a ranking of how today's spots stack up against each other — not the odds of a walk.

What's the confidence meter?

It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a walk.

What is a platoon split (handedness split)?

Most hitters do better against the opposite hand — a lefty bat vs. a righty arm, and vice versa. That gap is the platoon split. The score leans hard on each hitter's rate against the hand he's facing today, which is why the same guy can rank very differently day to day.

What are park factors?

Parks aren't neutral. Dimensions, altitude, and weather make some easier to hit in than others. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it — same hitter, higher grade in a hitter's park than a pitcher's.

What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?

The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.

What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?

"≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a walk in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.

Can I use this for walks props or DFS?

That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ walk" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)

How accurate is the model?

We grade every board against real results, and the top of the board lands a walk a lot more often than the slate as a whole. Weights get re-tuned weekly against actual outcomes on a held-out split, and since results sit next to projections, you can audit the hit rate yourself on any past date.

When do lineups update?

Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.

Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Best MLB walks matchups — Saturday, August 1, 2026

Every hitter on the Saturday, August 1, 2026 slate — ranked by who's most likely to draw a walk. Results show how each call played out.

How the model did — Saturday, August 1, 2026

Our top 5 hitters went 2/5 (40%) on 1+ walk, against 41% on the season.

Top 5

2/540%

season 41%

Top 10

6/1060%

season 41%

Full slate

77/27029%

season 28%

Top call Kevin McGonigle came through. Bryce Eldridge didn't.

Final · 1–5

STLaway

TORhomeTop matchup52 Final · 0–1

CWSaway

TBhomeTop matchup58 Final · 6–2

MIAaway

NYMhomeTop matchup61 Final · 3–4

MINaway

SEAhomeTop matchup61 Final · 4–1

PITaway

CINhomeTop matchup68 Final · 5–0

PHIaway

BALhomeTop matchup62 Final · 4–5

TEXaway

HOUhomeTop matchup87 Final · 12–8

AZaway

CLEhomeTop matchup64 Final · 3–8

WSHaway

ATLhomeTop matchup70 Final · 2–5

NYYaway

CHChomeTop matchup66 Final · 6–12

KCaway

COLhomeTop matchup100 Final · 5–6

SFaway

SDhomeTop matchup100 Final · 3–2

BOSaway

LADhomeTop matchup45 Final · 3–1

MILaway

LAAhomeTop matchup74 Final · 8–6

DETaway

ATHhomeTop matchup100

Not starting65 not in the official lineup — moved to the bottom

PosSort

#Hitter · Matchup · 335 shownScore

79 with a BBLive count — updates as games play

1
Cole CarriggCF
COLvsKC· 0-for-2
3BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #134
2
Evan CarterCF
TEX@HOU· 0-for-2
2BBFinal
Proj 0.5 BB, #8
T2
Esmerlyn ValdezRF
PIT@CIN· 0-for-2
2BBFinal
Proj 0.5 BB, #16
T2
Yordan AlvarezDH
HOUvsTEX· 1-for-3
2BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #18
T2
Dominic CanzoneDH
SEAvsMIN· 0-for-3
2BBFinal
Proj 0.5 BB, #27
T2
Garrett MitchellCF
MIL@LAA· 0-for-2
2BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #31
T2
Alex Bregman3B
CHCvsNYY· 1-for-2
2BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #63
T2
Alejandro KirkC
TORvsSTL· 1-for-2
2BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #82
T2
Liam HicksC
MIA@NYM· 2-for-3
2BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #104
T2
Jared TrioloSS
PIT@CIN· 0-for-2
2BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #105
T2
Willy AdamesSS
SF@SD· 0-for-3
2BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #128
T2
Julio RodríguezCF
SEAvsMIN· 1-for-3
2BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #132
T2
Mitch GarverC
SEAvsMIN· 0-for-2
2BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #153
T2
Christian Encarnacion-Strand3B
BALvsPHI· 0-for-2
2BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #234
T2
Jose Altuve2B
HOUvsTEX· 0-for-2
2BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #267
16
Kevin McGonigleSS
DET@ATH· 3-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.5 BB, #3
T16
Corey SeagerSS
TEX@HOU· 1-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.5 BB, #5
T16
Rafael Devers1B
SF@SD· 2-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.5 BB, #6
T16
Riley GreeneLF
DET@ATH· 0-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #7
T16
Brandon NimmoRF
TEX@HOU· 2-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.5 BB, #9
T16
Carter JensenC
KC@COL· 1-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.5 BB, #11
T16
Andrés Chaparro1B
WSH@ATL· 0-for-2
1BBFinal
Proj 0.5 BB, #14
T16
Pete Crow-ArmstrongCF
CHCvsNYY· 1-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #17
T16
Fernando Tatis Jr.RF
SDvsSF· 0-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #20
T16
José Ramírez3B
CLEvsAZ· 0-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #22
T16
Kyle SchwarberDH
PHI@BAL· 0-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.5 BB, #25
T16
Manny Machado3B
SDvsSF· 0-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #30
T16
Drake BaldwinC
ATLvsWSH· 1-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #34
T16
Bryan ReynoldsLF
PIT@CIN· 1-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.5 BB, #38
T16
JJ Wetherholt2B
STL@TOR· 0-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #51
T16
Matt Olson1B
ATLvsWSH· 1-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #52
T16
David FryRF
CLEvsAZ· 0-for-1
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #56
T16
Mike TroutCF
LAAvsMIL· 2-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #57
T16
James WoodRF
WSH@ATL· 0-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #61
T16
Bryce Harper1B
PHI@BAL· 2-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #62
T16
Brenton DoyleCF
COLvsKC· 1-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #66
T16
Luis RengifoLF
SDvsSF· 0-for-2
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #67
T16
Corbin CarrollRF
AZ@CLE· 2-for-5
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #70
T16
Heriberto HernándezLF
MIA@NYM· 0-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #74
T16
Taylor WardLF
BALvsPHI· 0-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #79
T16
Seiya SuzukiRF
CHCvsNYY· 1-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #89
T16
Jacob YoungCF
WSH@ATL· 0-for-2
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #90
T16
Trevor LarnachLF
MIN@SEA· 1-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #92
T16
Alec Burleson1B
STL@TOR· 2-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #94
T16
Ronald Acuña Jr.RF
ATLvsWSH· 1-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #100
T16
Andrew Vaughn1B
MIL@LAA· 0-for-2
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #108
T16
Henry BolteCF
ATHvsDET· 3-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #111
T16
Daulton VarshoCF
TORvsSTL· 1-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #120
T16
Nolan Arenado3B
AZ@CLE· 2-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #124
T16
Randy ArozarenaLF
SEAvsMIN· 2-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #126
T16
Heliot RamosLF
SF@SD· 1-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #131
T16
Shohei OhtaniTWP
LADvsBOS· 1-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #135
T16
Bryson Stott2B
PHI@BAL· 1-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #136
T16
Sam AntonacciLF
CWS@TB· 0-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #143
T16
Masyn WinnSS
STL@TOR· 1-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #144
T16
Brian ServenC
ATHvsDET· 0-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #147
T16
Isaac Paredes3B
HOUvsTEX· 1-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #150
T16
Brandon Lowe2B
PIT@CIN· 1-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #154
T16
Alika WilliamsSS
ATHvsDET· 1-for-2
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #160
T16
Kyle Stowers1B
MIA@NYM· 1-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #161
T16
Henry DavisC
PIT@CIN· 1-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #170
T16
Griffin ConineRF
MIA@NYM· 2-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #178
T16
Dominic SmithDH
ATLvsWSH· 1-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #183
T16
Willi Castro2B
COLvsKC· 2-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #186
T16
Tommy Edman2B
LADvsBOS· 0-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #188
T16
Sal Stewart1B
CINvsPIT· 0-for-2
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #191
T16
Davis SchneiderLF
TORvsSTL· 0-for-1
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #198
T16
Vaughn Grissom2B
LAAvsMIL· 0-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #206
T16
José CaballeroSS
NYY@CHC· 1-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #207
T16
Kody Clemens1B
MIN@SEA· 0-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #213
T16
Nick Sogard2B
BOS@LAD· 0-for-2
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #214
T16
Tyler O'NeillRF
BALvsPHI· 1-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #220
T16
Gunnar HendersonSS
BALvsPHI· 1-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #229
T16
Cooper PrattSS
MIL@LAA· 1-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #231
T16
J.T. RealmutoC
PHI@BAL· 0-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #237
T16
Christian Walker1B
HOUvsTEX· 2-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #247
T16
Matt McLain2B
CINvsPIT· 0-for-2
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #252
T16
Pedro Ramírez2B
CHCvsNYY
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB
T16
Trent GrishamCF
NYY@CHC
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB

Best MLB Walks Matchups — Saturday, August 1, 2026

Bryce Eldridge (SF) is the top walks matchup on the Saturday, August 1, 2026 board at 100, with Kyle Karros (COL) and Kevin McGonigle (DET) right behind. Every hitter on the slate is ranked by who's most likely to draw a walk — plate discipline and how freely the pitcher and bullpen issue walks, plus lineup spot. It's the read DFS and prop players make before lock.

Top walks spot: Bryce Eldridge

Bryce Eldridge (SF) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Walker Buehler. The lefty is working counts at .144 BB/PA against righties this year — and .163 over the last two weeks, an excellent bat that turns into a walk in about 13% of his trips. And Walker Buehler has been handing out free passes to righties lately — .167 walks per batter faced. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's owned Walker Buehler too — .333 across 3 career trips. It all sets up in a neutral park.

The rest of the top of the board

Kyle Karros (COL) (100) vs RHP Luinder Avila: a strong bat at .113 into an arm handing out free passes to the same side (.174).
Kevin McGonigle (DET) (100) vs RHP Jack Perkins: an excellent bat at .131 into an arm around league average against the same side (.087).
Joc Pederson (TEX) (87) vs RHP Ronel Blanco: a solid bat at .095 into an arm handing out free passes to the same side (.200).
Corey Seager (TEX) (83) vs RHP Ronel Blanco: a solid bat at .099 into an arm handing out free passes to the same side (.200).
Rafael Devers (SF) (82) vs RHP Walker Buehler: a strong bat at .119 into an arm handing out free passes to the same side (.167).
Riley Greene (DET) (81) vs RHP Jack Perkins: an excellent bat at .120 into an arm around league average against the same side (.087), due to bounce back.
Evan Carter (TEX) (81) vs RHP Ronel Blanco: an excellent bat at .124 into an arm handing out free passes to the same side (.200).

Platoon edges to target

Bryce Eldridge (SF) — lefty bat vs RHP, .144 against righties this year.
Kevin McGonigle (DET) — lefty bat vs RHP, .159 against righties this year.
Joc Pederson (TEX) — lefty bat vs RHP, .119 against righties this year.
Corey Seager (TEX) — lefty bat vs RHP, .120 against righties this year.
Rafael Devers (SF) — lefty bat vs RHP, .110 against righties this year.

How it played out

6 of the top 10 walks matchups landed at least one walk. Top play Bryce Eldridge finished with 0 walks. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.

How to read these walks matchups

Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's walks per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.

Keep reading

Frequently asked questions

Who has the best walks matchup today (Saturday, August 1, 2026)?: Bryce Eldridge (SF) — top of the board at 100, facing RHP Walker Buehler. An excellent bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.
What are the best MLB walks matchups today (Saturday, August 1, 2026)?: The top walks matchups on Saturday, August 1, 2026: Bryce Eldridge (100), Kyle Karros (100), Kevin McGonigle (100), Joc Pederson (87), Corey Seager (83). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by walks upside.
Did the top walks matchup get a walk on Saturday, August 1, 2026?: No — Bryce Eldridge didn't record a walk.
Which hitters have a platoon edge today?: Bryce Eldridge (SF) — lefty bat vs RHP, .144 against righties this year. Kevin McGonigle (DET) — lefty bat vs RHP, .159 against righties this year. Joc Pederson (TEX) — lefty bat vs RHP, .119 against righties this year. Corey Seager (TEX) — lefty bat vs RHP, .120 against righties this year. Rafael Devers (SF) — lefty bat vs RHP, .110 against righties this year.
How is the walks matchup score calculated?: It's a weighted read of the hitter's walks per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — the last two weeks, the current season, and a two-year baseline, with recent form counting most. Then it folds in the opposing bullpen, his expected plate appearances from the batting order, and park and weather. Scores are set 0–100 across the day's slate, so the best matchup is always 100.
What does BB/PA mean?: Walks per plate appearance — how often a hitter draws a base on balls. Around .085 (one walk every ~12 trips) is league average; .12+ is elite plate discipline. The matchup pairs the hitter's walk rate with how freely the pitcher gives them up.
What does the score actually mean?: Higher is better for the hitter. 80s and 90s mean the bat, the pitcher, and the park all line up. 40s and 50s mean it's neutral to tough. It's a ranking of how today's spots stack up against each other — not the odds of a walk.
What's the confidence meter?: It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a walk.
What is a platoon split (handedness split)?: Most hitters do better against the opposite hand — a lefty bat vs. a righty arm, and vice versa. That gap is the platoon split. The score leans hard on each hitter's rate against the hand he's facing today, which is why the same guy can rank very differently day to day.
What are park factors?: Parks aren't neutral. Dimensions, altitude, and weather make some easier to hit in than others. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it — same hitter, higher grade in a hitter's park than a pitcher's.
What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?: The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.
What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?: "≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a walk in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.
Can I use this for walks props or DFS?: That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ walk" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)
How accurate is the model?: We grade every board against real results, and the top of the board lands a walk a lot more often than the slate as a whole. Weights get re-tuned weekly against actual outcomes on a held-out split, and since results sit next to projections, you can audit the hit rate yourself on any past date.
When do lineups update?: Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

What the walks board is

The Walks board projects the chance a hitter draws a walk. One statistical model scores every matchup on the slate the same way — a star and a backup judged on the matchup in front of them, not their name — and every number is graded against the real box score once the games go final.

How the model gets its number

It isn't a gut call or a name game. The projection is built from a few things:

His plate discipline.
The pitcher's control.
The count leverage in the matchup.

Those pieces combine into one number, and the model re-tunes itself weekly against how its past calls actually landed.

Is there a betting edge here?

An over-only market with heavy juice; our overs grade anti-predictive and lose to the vig. No edge — transparency board.

How to use it

Spot the patient-hitter-vs-wild-arm setups; not a bettable edge.

Everything here is a research signal from the model, graded in public — not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Learn more: How the model works · The picks story · Today's plays