Best MLB Walks Matchups — Friday, July 31, 2026
Top walks spot: Nick Sogard
Nick Sogard (BOS) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Edgardo Henriquez. The lefty is working counts at .129 BB/PA against righties this year — and .000 over the last two weeks, a solid bat that turns into a walk in about 9% of his trips. And Edgardo Henriquez has been handing out free passes to righties lately — .250 walks per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Edgardo Henriquez. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Brice Turang (MIL) (100) vs RHP Ryan Johnson: a strong bat at .110 into an arm handing out free passes to the same side (.136).
- James Wood (WSH) (100) vs RHP Bryce Elder: an elite bat at .163 into an arm handing out free passes to the same side (.158).
- Christian Yelich (MIL) (95) vs RHP Ryan Johnson: a strong bat at .113 into an arm handing out free passes to the same side (.136).
- Cal Raleigh (SEA) (95) vs RHP Zebby Matthews: a strong bat at .112 into an arm handing out free passes to the same side (.182), due to bounce back.
- Cole Young (SEA) (94) vs RHP Zebby Matthews: a league-average bat at .070 into an arm handing out free passes to the same side (.182), hot bat.
- Dominic Canzone (SEA) (92) vs RHP Zebby Matthews: a league-average bat at .080 into an arm handing out free passes to the same side (.182).
- Corey Seager (TEX) (90) vs RHP Hunter Brown: a strong bat at .118 into an arm around league average against the same side (.094).
Platoon edges to target
- Nick Sogard (BOS) — lefty bat vs RHP, .129 against righties this year.
- Brice Turang (MIL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .136 against righties this year.
- James Wood (WSH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .203 against righties this year.
- Christian Yelich (MIL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .109 against righties this year.
- Cal Raleigh (SEA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .124 against righties this year.
How it played out
4 of the top 10 walks matchups landed at least one walk. Top play Nick Sogard finished with 2 walks. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these walks matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's walks per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.