Who has the best walks matchup today (Wednesday, August 5, 2026)?

Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) — top of the board at 100, facing LHP Mitch Bratt. An excellent bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.

What are the best MLB walks matchups today (Wednesday, August 5, 2026)?

The top walks matchups on Wednesday, August 5, 2026: Fernando Tatis Jr. (100), Yordan Alvarez (87), Luis Rengifo (84), Manny Machado (81), Sal Stewart (76). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by walks upside.

Did the top walks matchup get a walk on Wednesday, August 5, 2026?

No — Fernando Tatis Jr. didn't record a walk.

Which hitters have a platoon edge today?

Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) — righty bat vs LHP, .128 against lefties this year. Yordan Alvarez (HOU) — lefty bat vs RHP, .185 against righties this year. Luis Rengifo (SD) — righty bat vs LHP, .091 against lefties this year. Manny Machado (SD) — righty bat vs LHP, .099 against lefties this year. Sal Stewart (CIN) — righty bat vs LHP, .145 against lefties this year.

How is the walks matchup score calculated?

It's a weighted read of the hitter's walks per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — the last two weeks, the current season, and a two-year baseline, with recent form counting most. Then it folds in the opposing bullpen, his expected plate appearances from the batting order, and park and weather. Scores are set 0–100 across the day's slate, so the best matchup is always 100.

What does BB/PA mean?

Walks per plate appearance — how often a hitter draws a base on balls. Around .085 (one walk every ~12 trips) is league average; .12+ is elite plate discipline. The matchup pairs the hitter's walk rate with how freely the pitcher gives them up.

What does the score actually mean?

Higher is better for the hitter. 80s and 90s mean the bat, the pitcher, and the park all line up. 40s and 50s mean it's neutral to tough. It's a ranking of how today's spots stack up against each other — not the odds of a walk.

What's the confidence meter?

It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a walk.

What is a platoon split (handedness split)?

Most hitters do better against the opposite hand — a lefty bat vs. a righty arm, and vice versa. That gap is the platoon split. The score leans hard on each hitter's rate against the hand he's facing today, which is why the same guy can rank very differently day to day.

What are park factors?

Parks aren't neutral. Dimensions, altitude, and weather make some easier to hit in than others. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it — same hitter, higher grade in a hitter's park than a pitcher's.

What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?

The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.

What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?

"≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a walk in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.

Can I use this for walks props or DFS?

That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ walk" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)

How accurate is the model?

We grade every board against real results, and the top of the board lands a walk a lot more often than the slate as a whole. Weights get re-tuned weekly against actual outcomes on a held-out split, and since results sit next to projections, you can audit the hit rate yourself on any past date.

When do lineups update?

Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.

Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Best MLB walks matchups — Wednesday, August 5, 2026

Every hitter on the Wednesday, August 5, 2026 slate — ranked by who's most likely to draw a walk. Results show how each call played out.

How the model did — Wednesday, August 5, 2026

Our top 5 hitters went 2/5 (40%) on 1+ walk, against 41% on the season.

Top 5

2/540%

season 41%

Top 10

5/1050%

season 41%

Full slate

72/27027%

season 28%

Top call Yordan Alvarez came through. Fernando Tatis Jr. didn't.

Final · 5–4

TORaway

HOUhomeTop matchup87 Final · 6–7

LADaway

CHChomeTop matchup56 Final · 0–6

SFaway

TEXhomeTop matchup56 Final · 4–0

TBaway

COLhomeTop matchup44 Final · 2–5

LAAaway

BALhomeTop matchup56 Final · 6–5

NYMaway

CLEhomeTop matchup63 Final · 2–3

ATHaway

CINhomeTop matchup76 Final · 10–4

WSHaway

PHIhomeTop matchup71 Final · 3–1

STLaway

NYYhomeTop matchup67 Final · 0–4

CWSaway

BOShomeTop matchup64 Final · 1–4

MIAaway

ATLhomeTop matchup65 Final · 1–2

MINaway

KChomeTop matchup70 Final · 2–4

PITaway

MILhomeTop matchup66 Final · 4–10

SDaway

AZhomeTop matchup100 Final · 2–4

DETaway

SEAhomeTop matchup66

Not starting55 not in the official lineup — moved to the bottom

PosSort

#Hitter · Matchup · 325 shownScore

75 with a BBLive count — updates as games play

1
Ben RiceDH
NYYvsSTL· 0-for-2
3BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #44
2
JJ Wetherholt2B
STL@NYY· 1-for-3
2BBFinal
Proj 0.5 BB, #10
T2
Garrett MitchellCF
MILvsPIT· 0-for-2
2BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #26
T2
Chase DeLauterRF
CLEvsNYM· 0-for-4
2BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #29
T2
Tyler SoderstromLF
ATH@CIN· 1-for-2
2BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #31
T2
Bryce Harper1B
PHIvsWSH· 0-for-3
2BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #32
T2
Gabriel MorenoC
AZvsSD· 0-for-2
2BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #95
T2
Jazz Chisholm Jr.2B
NYYvsSTL· 0-for-2
2BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #116
T2
Bryson Stott2B
PHIvsWSH· 1-for-2
2BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #125
T2
Jacob YoungCF
WSH@PHI· 2-for-3
2BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #177
T2
Ryan McMahon3B
NYYvsSTL· 0-for-2
2BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #186
12
Yordan AlvarezDH
HOUvsTOR· 1-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.5 BB, #2
T12
Manny Machado3B
SD@AZ· 0-for-2
1BBFinal
Proj 0.5 BB, #4
T12
Elly De La CruzSS
CINvsATH· 1-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.5 BB, #6
T12
Kyle SchwarberDH
PHIvsWSH· 0-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.5 BB, #7
T12
Brice Turang2B
MILvsPIT· 0-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.5 BB, #14
T12
Nick Sogard2B
BOSvsCWS· 0-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.5 BB, #18
T12
Steven KwanLF
CLEvsNYM· 1-for-5
1BBFinal
Proj 0.5 BB, #21
T12
Xander BogaertsSS
SD@AZ· 0-for-2
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #22
T12
Daulton VarshoCF
HOUvsTOR· 1-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #24
T12
Ezequiel DuranSS
TEXvsSF· 0-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #35
T12
Wyatt LangfordLF
TEXvsSF· 1-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #36
T12
Brandon NimmoRF
TEXvsSF· 2-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #37
T12
Munetaka Murakami1B
CWS@BOS· 0-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #38
T12
Gunnar HendersonSS
BALvsLAA· 1-for-2
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #39
T12
Esmerlyn ValdezRF
PIT@MIL· 0-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #48
T12
Jackson Holliday2B
BALvsLAA· 0-for-2
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #50
T12
Lars NootbaarLF
AZvsSD· 1-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #53
T12
Wilyer AbreuRF
BOSvsCWS· 2-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #59
T12
Jake Burger1B
TEXvsSF· 1-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #60
T12
Jesús SánchezRF
TOR@HOU· 1-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #62
T12
Luis LaraRF
MILvsPIT· 0-for-2
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #64
T12
Jo AdellRF
CLEvsNYM· 0-for-5
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #71
T12
Dylan CrewsRF
WSH@PHI· 1-for-5
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #72
T12
Jakob MarseeCF
MIA@ATL· 1-for-2
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #77
T12
Liam HicksC
TB@COL· 0-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #80
T12
Evan CarterCF
TEXvsSF· 0-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #87
T12
Owen CaissieRF
MIA@ATL· 0-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #89
T12
George SpringerDH
TOR@HOU· 0-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #93
T12
Julio RodríguezCF
SEAvsDET· 2-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #96
T12
Cole CarriggCF
COLvsTB· 0-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #98
T12
Josh BellDH
MIN@KC· 0-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #102
T12
John RaveRF
KCvsMIN· 0-for-2
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #104
T12
Corbin CarrollRF
AZvsSD· 2-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #106
T12
Dominic CanzoneDH
SEAvsDET· 0-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB, #109
T12
Ozzie Albies2B
ATLvsMIA· 0-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #126
T12
Bryan TorresLF
STL@NYY· 0-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #127
T12
Miguel Vargas3B
CWS@BOS· 2-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #140
T12
Bobby Witt Jr.SS
KCvsMIN· 0-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #146
T12
Jorbit Vivas3B
WSH@PHI· 0-for-1
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #148
T12
Alec Bohm3B
PHIvsWSH· 1-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #150
T12
Colson MontgomerySS
CWS@BOS· 0-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #161
T12
Brayan RocchioSS
CLEvsNYM· 0-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #163
T12
Keibert RuizC
WSH@PHI· 1-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #171
T12
Grant McCrayCF
SF@TEX· 0-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #172
T12
William ContrerasC
MILvsPIT· 1-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #175
T12
Andrew Vaughn1B
MILvsPIT· 1-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #176
T12
Taylor WallsSS
TB@COL· 0-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #178
T12
Jared Young1B
NYM@CLE· 2-for-4
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #184
T12
Nasim Nuñez2B
WSH@PHI· 0-for-5
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #185
T12
Willson Contreras1B
BOSvsCWS· 1-for-1
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #187
T12
Luis García Jr.1B
NYYvsSTL· 0-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #190
T12
Edouard Julien2B
COLvsTB· 0-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #195
T12
Rafael Flores Jr.C
PIT@MIL· 0-for-1
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #209
T12
Willy AdamesSS
SF@TEX· 0-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #220
T12
Lane ThomasCF
ATLvsMIA· 0-for-2
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #228
T12
Junior Caminero3B
TB@COL· 1-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #230
T12
Marcus Semien2B
NYM@CLE· 0-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #245
T12
Jackson MerrillCF
SD@AZ· 0-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #246
T12
Jake Cronenworth2B
SD@AZ· 0-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #251
T12
Ceddanne RafaelaCF
BOSvsCWS· 0-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB, #260
T12
Dillon DinglerC
DET@SEA· 2-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.2 BB, #266
T12
Harry FordC
WSH@PHI· 0-for-1
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB
T12
Andrés Chaparro1B
WSH@PHI· 1-for-3
1BBFinal
Proj 0.4 BB
T12
Sung-Mun Song2B
SD@AZ
1BBFinal
Proj 0.3 BB

Best MLB Walks Matchups — Wednesday, August 5, 2026

Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) is the top walks matchup on the Wednesday, August 5, 2026 board at 100, with Yordan Alvarez (HOU) and Luis Rengifo (SD) right behind. Every hitter on the slate is ranked by who's most likely to draw a walk — plate discipline and how freely the pitcher and bullpen issue walks, plus lineup spot. It's the read DFS and prop players make before lock.

Top walks spot: Fernando Tatis Jr.

Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) tops the board at 100, facing LHP Mitch Bratt. The righty is working counts at .128 BB/PA against lefties this year — and .263 over the last two weeks, an excellent bat that turns into a walk in about 13% of his trips. And Mitch Bratt has been handing out free passes to lefties lately — .290 walks per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Mitch Bratt. It all sets up in a neutral park.

The rest of the top of the board

Yordan Alvarez (HOU) (87) vs RHP Jameson Taillon: an elite bat at .162 into an arm fairly stingy with walks against the same side (.077), hot bat.
Luis Rengifo (SD) (84) vs LHP Mitch Bratt: a solid bat at .091 into an arm handing out free passes to the same side (.290).
Manny Machado (SD) (81) vs LHP Mitch Bratt: a solid bat at .088 into an arm handing out free passes to the same side (.290).
Sal Stewart (CIN) (76) vs LHP Jacob Lopez: a strong bat at .117 into an arm handing out free passes to the same side (.143).
Elly De La Cruz (CIN) (74) vs LHP Jacob Lopez: a solid bat at .099 into an arm handing out free passes to the same side (.143).
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) (71) vs RHP Jake Irvin: an excellent bat at .141 into an arm tough to walk against the same side (.067), due to bounce back.
Carter Jensen (KC) (70) vs RHP Dean Kremer: a strong bat at .114 into an arm handing out free passes to the same side (.174), due to bounce back.

Platoon edges to target

Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) — righty bat vs LHP, .128 against lefties this year.
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) — lefty bat vs RHP, .185 against righties this year.
Luis Rengifo (SD) — righty bat vs LHP, .091 against lefties this year.
Manny Machado (SD) — righty bat vs LHP, .099 against lefties this year.
Sal Stewart (CIN) — righty bat vs LHP, .145 against lefties this year.

How it played out

5 of the top 10 walks matchups landed at least one walk. Top play Fernando Tatis Jr. finished with 0 walks. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.

How to read these walks matchups

Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's walks per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.

Keep reading

Frequently asked questions

Who has the best walks matchup today (Wednesday, August 5, 2026)?: Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) — top of the board at 100, facing LHP Mitch Bratt. An excellent bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.
What are the best MLB walks matchups today (Wednesday, August 5, 2026)?: The top walks matchups on Wednesday, August 5, 2026: Fernando Tatis Jr. (100), Yordan Alvarez (87), Luis Rengifo (84), Manny Machado (81), Sal Stewart (76). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by walks upside.
Did the top walks matchup get a walk on Wednesday, August 5, 2026?: No — Fernando Tatis Jr. didn't record a walk.
Which hitters have a platoon edge today?: Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) — righty bat vs LHP, .128 against lefties this year. Yordan Alvarez (HOU) — lefty bat vs RHP, .185 against righties this year. Luis Rengifo (SD) — righty bat vs LHP, .091 against lefties this year. Manny Machado (SD) — righty bat vs LHP, .099 against lefties this year. Sal Stewart (CIN) — righty bat vs LHP, .145 against lefties this year.
How is the walks matchup score calculated?: It's a weighted read of the hitter's walks per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — the last two weeks, the current season, and a two-year baseline, with recent form counting most. Then it folds in the opposing bullpen, his expected plate appearances from the batting order, and park and weather. Scores are set 0–100 across the day's slate, so the best matchup is always 100.
What does BB/PA mean?: Walks per plate appearance — how often a hitter draws a base on balls. Around .085 (one walk every ~12 trips) is league average; .12+ is elite plate discipline. The matchup pairs the hitter's walk rate with how freely the pitcher gives them up.
What does the score actually mean?: Higher is better for the hitter. 80s and 90s mean the bat, the pitcher, and the park all line up. 40s and 50s mean it's neutral to tough. It's a ranking of how today's spots stack up against each other — not the odds of a walk.
What's the confidence meter?: It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a walk.
What is a platoon split (handedness split)?: Most hitters do better against the opposite hand — a lefty bat vs. a righty arm, and vice versa. That gap is the platoon split. The score leans hard on each hitter's rate against the hand he's facing today, which is why the same guy can rank very differently day to day.
What are park factors?: Parks aren't neutral. Dimensions, altitude, and weather make some easier to hit in than others. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it — same hitter, higher grade in a hitter's park than a pitcher's.
What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?: The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.
What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?: "≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a walk in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.
Can I use this for walks props or DFS?: That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ walk" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)
How accurate is the model?: We grade every board against real results, and the top of the board lands a walk a lot more often than the slate as a whole. Weights get re-tuned weekly against actual outcomes on a held-out split, and since results sit next to projections, you can audit the hit rate yourself on any past date.
When do lineups update?: Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

What the walks board is

The Walks board projects the chance a hitter draws a walk. One statistical model scores every matchup on the slate the same way — a star and a backup judged on the matchup in front of them, not their name — and every number is graded against the real box score once the games go final.

How the model gets its number

It isn't a gut call or a name game. The projection is built from a few things:

His plate discipline.
The pitcher's control.
The count leverage in the matchup.

Those pieces combine into one number, and the model re-tunes itself weekly against how its past calls actually landed.

Is there a betting edge here?

An over-only market with heavy juice; our overs grade anti-predictive and lose to the vig. No edge — transparency board.

How to use it

Spot the patient-hitter-vs-wild-arm setups; not a bettable edge.

Everything here is a research signal from the model, graded in public — not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Learn more: How the model works · The picks story · Today's plays