MLB DFS Projections — Best Daily Fantasy Baseball Plays — Sunday, June 7, 2026
Top fantasy points spot: Willi Castro
Willi Castro (COL) tops the board at 100, facing LHP Shane Drohan. The righty is piling up fantasy points at — fantasy/PA against lefties this year, a solid bat worth about 1.63 fantasy points a trip. And Shane Drohan has been thin against lefties lately. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Shane Drohan. It all sets up in a hitter's park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Jackson Chourio (MIL) (100) vs LHP Kyle Freeland: a solid bat at 1.630 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hitter's park, due to bounce back.
- Kyle Schwarber (PHI) (97) vs LHP Tyler Gilbert: a solid bat at 1.630 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Sam Antonacci (CWS) (97) vs RHP Aaron Nola: a solid bat at 1.630 into an arm with little track record against the same side, due to bounce back.
- Brice Turang (MIL) (91) vs LHP Kyle Freeland: a solid bat at 1.630 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hitter's park, hot bat.
- Ezequiel Tovar (COL) (91) vs LHP Shane Drohan: a solid bat at 1.630 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hitter's park.
- Shohei Ohtani (LAD) (85) vs RHP José Soriano: a solid bat at 1.630 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Zach Neto (LAA) (85) vs RHP Emmet Sheehan: a solid bat at 1.630 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
Arms giving up fantasy points today
- LHP Shane Drohan has been giving up points to lefties — 1.600 fantasy points per batter faced. Bats to target: Willi Castro (COL), Ezequiel Tovar (COL), and TJ Rumfield (COL).
- LHP Kyle Freeland has been giving up points to lefties — 1.600 fantasy points per batter faced. Bats to target: Jackson Chourio (MIL), Brice Turang (MIL), and William Contreras (MIL).
- LHP Tyler Gilbert has been giving up points to lefties — 1.600 fantasy points per batter faced. Bats to target: Kyle Schwarber (PHI), Trea Turner (PHI), and Bryce Harper (PHI).
- RHP Aaron Nola has been giving up points to righties — 1.600 fantasy points per batter faced. Bats to target: Sam Antonacci (CWS), Miguel Vargas (CWS), and Edgar Quero (CWS).
Best parks for fantasy points today
Coors Field is playing as a real hitter's park today (+6% fantasy park). Top bat there: Willi Castro (COL) at 100.
How it played out
10 of the top 10 fantasy points matchups landed at least one fantasy point. Top play Willi Castro finished with 8 fantasy points. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these fantasy points matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's fantasy points per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.
What the fantasy points board is
The Fantasy Points board projects a hitter's projected DraftKings fantasy points, with salary and value. One statistical model scores every matchup on the slate the same way — a star and a backup judged on the matchup in front of them, not their name — and every number is graded against the real box score once the games go final.
How the model gets its number
It isn't a gut call or a name game. The projection is built from a few things:
- His hit, extra-base, run, RBI, walk and steal projections, run through the DK scoring formula.
Those pieces combine into one number, and the model re-tunes itself weekly against how its past calls actually landed.
Is there a betting edge here?
Built bottom-up from our tuned component boards, so it inherits all their tuning and stays internally consistent. This one's for DFS, not a book market — the value column (points per $1k) is the lever.
How to use it
Sort by value to find the cheap bats that project like expensive ones, then build with the optimizer.
Everything here is a research signal from the model, graded in public — not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.
Learn more: How the model works · The picks story · Today's plays