Best MLB Doubles Matchups — Wednesday, August 5, 2026
Top doubles spot: Austin Martin
Austin Martin (MIN) tops the board at 100, facing LHP Noah Cameron. The righty is driving the ball at .065 2B/PA against lefties this year — and .133 over the last two weeks, an elite bat that turns into a double in about 6% of his trips. And Noah Cameron has been tough to drive against lefties lately — .026 doubles per batter faced. The bullpen behind him hasn't been any better to that side, so there's no relief late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's a fine .250 in 12 career PA against Noah Cameron. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Elly De La Cruz (CIN) (100) vs LHP Jacob Lopez: an elite bat at .071 into an arm tough to drive against the same side (.024).
- Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) (100) vs LHP Mitch Bratt: an excellent bat at .058 into an arm tough to drive against the same side (.032).
- Luis García Jr. (NYY) (98) vs RHP Andre Pallante: an elite bat at .064 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.091).
- Riley Greene (DET) (97) vs RHP Bryan Woo: an excellent bat at .058 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.067).
- Manny Machado (SD) (86) vs LHP Mitch Bratt: an excellent bat at .056 into an arm tough to drive against the same side (.032).
- Gabriel Moreno (AZ) (84) vs RHP Casey Mize: a strong bat at .048 into an arm tough to drive against the same side (.000), due to bounce back.
- Iván Herrera (STL) (84) vs RHP Will Warren: a strong bat at .049 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.118).
Platoon edges to target
- Austin Martin (MIN) — righty bat vs LHP, .065 against lefties this year.
- Elly De La Cruz (CIN) — righty bat vs LHP, .061 against lefties this year.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) — righty bat vs LHP, .069 against lefties this year.
- Luis García Jr. (NYY) — lefty bat vs RHP, .062 against righties this year.
- Riley Greene (DET) — lefty bat vs RHP, .053 against righties this year.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS), Yordan Alvarez (HOU), Jacob Wilson (ATH), Munetaka Murakami (CWS), Alec Burleson (STL), and Dillon Dingler (DET). Cold but due to bounce back: Austin Martin (MIN), Gabriel Moreno (AZ), Ben Rice (NYY), Garrett Mitchell (MIL), and Sam Antonacci (CWS).
How it played out
1 of the top 10 doubles matchups landed at least one double. Top play Austin Martin finished with 0 doubles. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these doubles matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's doubles per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.