Best MLB Doubles Matchups — Friday, August 28, 2026
Top doubles spot: Esmerlyn Valdez
Esmerlyn Valdez (PIT) tops the board at 100, facing LHP Quinn Mathews. The righty is driving the ball at .073 2B/PA against lefties this year — and .115 over the last two weeks, an elite bat that turns into a double in about 7% of his trips. And Quinn Mathews has been getting squared up by lefties lately — .061 doubles per batter faced. The bullpen behind him hasn't been any better to that side, so there's no relief late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Quinn Mathews. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Shay Whitcomb (SF) (100) vs LHP Kohl Drake: an excellent bat at .057 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Jeff McNeil (ATH) (100) vs RHP Brandon Young: an excellent bat at .060 into an arm keeping the ball in front of the same side (.040).
- Coby Mayo (BAL) (93) vs LHP Jacob Lopez: an excellent bat at .059 into an arm tough to drive against the same side (.029).
- Gabriel Moreno (AZ) (92) vs RHP Blade Tidwell: an elite bat at .062 into an arm tough to drive against the same side (.000).
- Seiya Suzuki (CHC) (92) vs RHP Rhett Lowder: an elite bat at .065 into an arm tough to drive against the same side (.033).
- Alec Burleson (STL) (90) vs RHP Jared Jones: an excellent bat at .056 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.111), hot bat.
- Rafael Devers (SF) (89) vs LHP Kohl Drake: a strong bat at .052 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
Platoon edges to target
- Esmerlyn Valdez (PIT) — righty bat vs LHP, .073 against lefties this year.
- Shay Whitcomb (SF) — righty bat vs LHP, .100 against lefties this year.
- Jeff McNeil (ATH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .047 against righties this year.
- Coby Mayo (BAL) — righty bat vs LHP, .065 against lefties this year.
- Alec Burleson (STL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .069 against righties this year.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Alec Burleson (STL), Zach Neto (LAA), Tristan Peters (CWS), Elly De La Cruz (CIN), Lawrence Butler (ATH), and Jonny DeLuca (TB). Cold but due to bounce back: William Contreras (MIL), Heliot Ramos (NYY), Wilyer Abreu (BOS), Agustín Ramírez (MIA), and Trea Turner (PHI).
How it played out
1 of the top 10 doubles matchups landed at least one double. Top play Esmerlyn Valdez finished with 0 doubles. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these doubles matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's doubles per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.