Best MLB Doubles Matchups — Tuesday, September 15, 2026
Top doubles spot: Dominic Canzone
Dominic Canzone (SEA) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Ryan Johnson. The lefty is driving the ball at .061 2B/PA against righties this year — and .100 over the last two weeks, an excellent bat that turns into a double in about 6% of his trips. And Ryan Johnson has been getting squared up by righties lately — .067 doubles per batter faced. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. He's just .000 in 2 career PA against Ryan Johnson, but that's a tiny sample and the matchup says regression. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Austin Hays (SD) (100) vs LHP Kyle Freeland: an elite bat at .063 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Randal Grichuk (CWS) (94) vs LHP Foster Griffin: an elite bat at .080 into an arm tough to drive against the same side (.032), hot bat.
- Gabriel Moreno (AZ) (93) vs RHP Janson Junk: an excellent bat at .058 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.067).
- Ketel Marte (AZ) (93) vs RHP Janson Junk: a strong bat at .053 into an arm tough to drive against the same side (.000).
- Yohandy Morales (WSH) (90) vs LHP Cristopher Sánchez: an elite bat at .069 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.100).
- Cal Raleigh (SEA) (89) vs RHP Ryan Johnson: an excellent bat at .059 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.067).
- Justin Foscue (TEX) (87) vs LHP Patrick Sandoval: an elite bat at .063 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.059).
Platoon edges to target
- Dominic Canzone (SEA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .061 against righties this year.
- Austin Hays (SD) — righty bat vs LHP, .065 against lefties this year.
- Randal Grichuk (CWS) — righty bat vs LHP, .115 against lefties this year.
- Ketel Marte (AZ) — lefty bat vs RHP, .045 against righties this year.
- Yohandy Morales (WSH) — righty bat vs LHP, .167 against lefties this year.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Dominic Canzone (SEA), Randal Grichuk (CWS), Trevor Story (BOS), Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD), Coby Mayo (BAL), and Jackson Merrill (SD). Cold but due to bounce back: Luis García Jr. (NYY), Rece Hinds (BAL), Tyrone Taylor (CHC), Freddie Freeman (LAD), and Harry Ford (WSH).
How it played out
2 of the top 10 doubles matchups landed at least one double. Top play Dominic Canzone finished with 0 doubles. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these doubles matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's doubles per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.