Best MLB home runs matchups — Friday, July 31, 2026

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.061

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs LHB3.6%

How often this starter gives up home runs to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season20 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head6-for-17

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.071

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs LHB2.7%

How often this starter gives up home runs to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season20 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.060

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs LHB1.75%

How often this starter gives up home runs to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-2

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.066

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs RHB3.6%

How often this starter gives up home runs to RHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season21 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +7%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.050

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs LHB3.2%

How often this starter gives up home runs to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season20 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-11

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.057

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs RHB3.5%

How often this starter gives up home runs to RHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season4 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.053

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs LHB3.0%

How often this starter gives up home runs to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season4 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-5

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.057

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs RHB4.5%

How often this starter gives up home runs to RHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.024

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.053

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs LHB3.0%

How often this starter gives up home runs to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.063

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs RHB3.2%

How often this starter gives up home runs to RHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.054

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs LHB2.8%

How often this starter gives up home runs to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-2

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.056

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs LHB3.2%

How often this starter gives up home runs to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season20 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head6-for-19

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.051

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs LHB3.6%

How often this starter gives up home runs to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season20 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-3

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.060

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs LHB1.98%

How often this starter gives up home runs to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season21 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-3

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.048

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs LHB3.1%

How often this starter gives up home runs to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season22 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-8

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.049

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs LHB3.2%

How often this starter gives up home runs to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season20 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head5-for-17

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.051

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs LHB1.20%

How often this starter gives up home runs to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season3 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.053

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs LHB3.1%

How often this starter gives up home runs to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season22 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.047

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs RHB3.2%

How often this starter gives up home runs to RHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.049

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs LHB4.4%

How often this starter gives up home runs to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.040

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs LHB5.7%

How often this starter gives up home runs to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +7%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.051

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs RHB4.6%

How often this starter gives up home runs to RHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season21 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-10

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.054

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs RHB2.3%

How often this starter gives up home runs to RHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season20 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.043

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs LHB5.4%

How often this starter gives up home runs to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.040

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs LHB1.20%

How often this starter gives up home runs to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season3 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.041

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs LHB4.0%

How often this starter gives up home runs to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season22 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-6

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.039

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs LHB3.4%

How often this starter gives up home runs to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.024

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.048

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs LHB3.5%

How often this starter gives up home runs to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.043

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs RHB3.5%

How often this starter gives up home runs to RHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season4 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.057

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs LHB2.7%

How often this starter gives up home runs to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season20 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.042

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs RHB3.6%

How often this starter gives up home runs to RHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season20 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head5-for-16

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.045

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs RHB5.3%

How often this starter gives up home runs to RHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season3 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.045

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs RHB2.3%

How often this starter gives up home runs to RHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season20 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-1

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.051

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs LHB4.1%

How often this starter gives up home runs to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season21 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.047

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs RHB2.1%

How often this starter gives up home runs to RHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season22 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.019

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-7

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.041

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs LHB3.1%

How often this starter gives up home runs to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season21 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.042

HR EnvironmentFavorable +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-3

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context