Best MLB RBIs Matchups — Friday, July 31, 2026
Top rbis spot: Nick Kurtz
Nick Kurtz (ATH) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Casey Mize. The lefty is driving in runs at .173 RBI/PA against righties this year — and 1.500 over the last two weeks, an elite bat that turns into a RBI in about 18% of his trips. And Casey Mize has been stingy with runs against righties lately — .053 RBIs per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. He's owned Casey Mize too — .667 across 3 career trips. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Sal Stewart (CIN) (97) vs RHP Paul Skenes: an elite bat at .174 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.250).
- Jo Adell (LAA) (88) vs LHP Shane Drohan: an elite bat at .173 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Brandon Lowe (PIT) (84) vs RHP Hunter Greene: an excellent bat at .157 into an arm mostly holding up against the same side (.100), hot bat.
- Blaze Jordan (STL) (84) vs RHP Dylan Cease: an elite bat at .184 into an arm stingy with runs against the same side (.080).
- Seiya Suzuki (CHC) (83) vs RHP Will Warren: an excellent bat at .149 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.375).
- Yordan Alvarez (HOU) (82) vs RHP Nathan Eovaldi: an excellent bat at .153 into an arm stingy with runs against the same side (.094).
- Christian Encarnacion-Strand (BAL) (82) vs RHP the starter: an elite bat at .164 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
Platoon edges to target
- Nick Kurtz (ATH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .173 against righties this year.
- Jo Adell (LAA) — righty bat vs LHP, .224 against lefties this year.
- Brandon Lowe (PIT) — lefty bat vs RHP, .189 against righties this year.
- Yordan Alvarez (HOU) — lefty bat vs RHP, .175 against righties this year.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .135 against righties this year.
Lineup watch
270 of today's hitters are still on projected lineups, drawn from each team's last game. Batting order drives the score, so these flip the moment official lineups post — usually about two hours before first pitch. Anyone who doesn't make the official card gets flagged "Not starting" and drops to the bottom.
How to read these rbis matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's RBIs per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.