Best MLB Runs Matchups — Wednesday, July 22, 2026
Top runs spot: James Wood
James Wood (WSH) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Gabriel Hughes. The lefty is scoring at .221 R/PA against righties this year — and .400 over the last two weeks, an elite bat that turns into a run in about 17% of his trips. And Gabriel Hughes has been thin against righties lately. The bullpen behind him hasn't been any better to that side, so there's no relief late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Gabriel Hughes. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Trent Grisham (NYY) (97) vs RHP Bubba Chandler: a strong bat at .132 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.167).
- Ben Rice (NYY) (97) vs RHP Bubba Chandler: a strong bat at .141 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.167), hot bat.
- Trent Grisham (NYY) (92) vs RHP Mitch Keller: a strong bat at .132 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.167).
- Ben Rice (NYY) (92) vs RHP Mitch Keller: a strong bat at .141 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.167), hot bat.
- Cole Carrigg (COL) (84) vs RHP Cade Cavalli: a strong bat at .137 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.148).
- Jake McCarthy (COL) (84) vs RHP Cade Cavalli: a solid bat at .127 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.148), hot bat.
- Jazz Chisholm Jr. (NYY) (83) vs RHP Bubba Chandler: a strong bat at .142 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.167), hot bat.
Platoon edges to target
- James Wood (WSH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .221 against righties this year.
- Trent Grisham (NYY) — lefty bat vs RHP, .160 against righties this year.
- Ben Rice (NYY) — lefty bat vs RHP, .181 against righties this year.
- Trent Grisham (NYY) — lefty bat vs RHP, .160 against righties this year.
- Ben Rice (NYY) — lefty bat vs RHP, .181 against righties this year.
Lineup watch
288 of today's hitters are still on projected lineups, drawn from each team's last game. Batting order drives the score, so these flip the moment official lineups post — usually about two hours before first pitch. Anyone who doesn't make the official card gets flagged "Not starting" and drops to the bottom.
How to read these runs matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's runs scored per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.