Best MLB Singles Matchups — Tuesday, August 11, 2026
Top singles spot: Freddie Freeman
Freddie Freeman (LAD) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Michael Wacha. The lefty is lining singles at .186 1B/PA against righties this year — and .286 over the last two weeks, an excellent bat that turns into a single in about 19% of his trips. And Michael Wacha has been tough to string hits off righties lately — .069 singles per batter faced. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. He's owned Michael Wacha too — .400 across 20 career trips. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Chandler Simpson (TB) (100) vs RHP Mason Barnett: an elite bat at .240 into an arm tough to string hits off the same side (.111).
- Brice Turang (MIL) (90) vs RHP Walker Buehler: a strong bat at .157 into an arm getting picked apart by the same side (.400).
- Nick Loftin (KC) (89) vs LHP Blake Snell: a solid bat at .148 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Drake Baldwin (ATL) (89) vs RHP Nolan McLean: an excellent bat at .175 into an arm getting picked apart by the same side (.239).
- Brett Bateman (TOR) (87) vs LHP Patrick Sandoval: a strong bat at .168 into an arm getting picked apart by the same side (.214).
- Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) (86) vs LHP Blake Snell: a solid bat at .151 into an arm with little track record against the same side, due to bounce back.
- Steven Kwan (CLE) (86) vs RHP Drew Anderson: an elite bat at .196 into an arm getting picked apart by the same side (.188), hot bat.
Platoon edges to target
- Freddie Freeman (LAD) — lefty bat vs RHP, .186 against righties this year.
- Chandler Simpson (TB) — lefty bat vs RHP, .263 against righties this year.
- Brice Turang (MIL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .146 against righties this year.
- Nick Loftin (KC) — righty bat vs LHP, .165 against lefties this year.
- Drake Baldwin (ATL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .182 against righties this year.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Steven Kwan (CLE), Jonathan Aranda (TB), Gabriel Moreno (AZ), Jackson Merrill (SD), Jake McCarthy (COL), and Iván Herrera (STL). Cold but due to bounce back: Bobby Witt Jr. (KC), Luis Arraez (PHI), Jose Altuve (HOU), Gleyber Torres (DET), and Heliot Ramos (NYY).
How it played out
5 of the top 10 singles matchups landed at least one single. Top play Freddie Freeman finished with 0 singles. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these singles matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's singles per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.