Best MLB Singles Matchups — Monday, August 10, 2026
Top singles spot: Freddie Freeman
Freddie Freeman (LAD) tops the board at 100, facing LHP Noah Cameron. The lefty is lining singles at .175 1B/PA against lefties this year — and .381 over the last two weeks, an elite bat that turns into a single in about 19% of his trips. And Noah Cameron has been tough to string hits off lefties lately — .111 singles per batter faced. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. He's just .000 in 2 career PA against Noah Cameron, but that's a tiny sample and the matchup says regression. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Drake Baldwin (ATL) (100) vs RHP Christian Scott: an excellent bat at .178 into an arm getting picked apart by the same side (.243).
- Jake McCarthy (COL) (100) vs RHP Michael Soroka: an excellent bat at .173 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hot bat.
- Ryan Jeffers (MIN) (97) vs LHP Trevor Rogers: an excellent bat at .178 into an arm prone to base hits from the same side (.151).
- Jeff McNeil (ATH) (95) vs RHP Freddy Peralta: an excellent bat at .182 into an arm getting picked apart by the same side (.208).
- Yandy Díaz (TB) (91) vs LHP Jacob Lopez: a strong bat at .161 into an arm getting picked apart by the same side (.237).
- Yordan Alvarez (HOU) (91) vs RHP Blade Tidwell: a solid bat at .152 into an arm getting picked apart by the same side (.308), due to bounce back.
- TJ Rumfield (COL) (90) vs RHP Michael Soroka: an excellent bat at .175 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
Platoon edges to target
- Drake Baldwin (ATL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .181 against righties this year.
- Jake McCarthy (COL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .162 against righties this year.
- Ryan Jeffers (MIN) — righty bat vs LHP, .186 against lefties this year.
- Jeff McNeil (ATH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .188 against righties this year.
- Yandy Díaz (TB) — righty bat vs LHP, .183 against lefties this year.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Jake McCarthy (COL), Jordan Walker (STL), Jonathan Aranda (TB), Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD), Iván Herrera (STL), and Brandon Nimmo (TEX). Cold but due to bounce back: Yordan Alvarez (HOU), Jung Hoo Lee (SF), Jeremy Peña (HOU), Mike Trout (LAA), and Junior Caminero (TB).
How it played out
9 of the top 10 singles matchups landed at least one single. Top play Freddie Freeman finished with 3 singles. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these singles matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's singles per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.