Who has the best total bases matchup today (Wednesday, June 3, 2026)?

Taylor Ward (BAL) — top of the board at 100, facing LHP Payton Tolle. A solid bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.

What are the best MLB total bases matchups today (Wednesday, June 3, 2026)?

The top total bases matchups on Wednesday, June 3, 2026: Taylor Ward (100), James Outman (91), Sam Antonacci (91), J.P. Crawford (91), Carson Benge (91). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by total bases upside.

Did the top total bases matchup get a total base on Wednesday, June 3, 2026?

Yes — Taylor Ward got 3 total bases.

Which pitchers are most vulnerable today?

LHP Payton Tolle has been giving up bases to lefties — .360 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Taylor Ward (BAL), Gunnar Henderson (BAL), and Adley Rutschman (BAL). RHP Erick Fedde has been giving up bases to righties — .360 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: James Outman (MIN), Brooks Lee (MIN), and Trevor Larnach (MIN). RHP Taj Bradley has been giving up bases to righties — .360 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Sam Antonacci (CWS), Luisangel Acuña (CWS), and Andrew Benintendi (CWS). RHP Freddy Peralta has been giving up bases to righties — .360 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: J.P. Crawford (SEA), Julio Rodríguez (SEA), and Josh Naylor (SEA).

How is the total bases matchup score calculated?

It's his bases-per-trip rate against that hand, recent form weighted heaviest, over a two-year baseline. Because this counts extra-base damage, slug matters as much as contact. Then the bullpen, order spot, and the yard. 0–100 across the slate.

What does TB/PA mean?

Total bases is 1 for a single, 2 for a double, 3 for a triple, 4 for a homer — so it rewards power, not just contact. Per plate appearance, around .37 is league average; .50+ is big-time slug. It's the cleanest power matchup we run: both the bat's slug and the arm's slug-against are real.

What does the score actually mean?

Higher is better. Total bases rewards the guys who do damage rather than just make contact, so this board leans slugger where the hits board leans average. It ranks today's spots, not the odds of any particular number.

What's the confidence meter?

It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a total base.

What is a platoon split (handedness split)?

Total bases blends contact and power, so the platoon gap cuts twice: the opposite hand means both more balls in play and more of them driven. A hitter with a big split can swing a full base per game between the two matchups.

What are park factors?

Every extra foot of outfield is a base. Gaps and altitude turn singles into doubles and doubles into triples, while a small park trades the same batted ball for a home run. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it.

What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?

The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.

What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?

"≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a total base in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.

Can I use this for total bases props or DFS?

That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ total base" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)

How accurate is the model?

We grade every board against the box score. Total bases is one of the steadier props we publish — more ways to clear the line means less variance — and the top of the board beats the slate consistently. Every past date is auditable.

When do lineups update?

Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.

Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Best MLB total bases matchups — Wednesday, June 3, 2026

Every hitter on the Wednesday, June 3, 2026 slate — ranked by total-base upside — the best power and extra-base spots. Results show how each call played out.

How the model did — Wednesday, June 3, 2026

Our top 5 hitters went 3/4 (75%) on our total-bases over/under, against 53% on the season.

Top 5

3/475%

season 53%

Top 10

3/743%

season 53%

Full slate

124/22854%

season 51%

Top call Taylor Ward came through. Carson Benge didn't.

Each hitter below carries a 0–100 matchup score — a read on the spot in front of him, not a ranking of how good he is, so a star in a brutal matchup can sit below an average hitter in a soft one. Confidence next to it is coverage: how much real data backs the number. Every call here was graded against the box score — wins and misses both, with the record on this page. How this board is built →

Final · 4–1

MIAaway

WSHhomeTop matchup78 Final · 7–2

DETaway

TBhomeTop matchup87 Final · 8–0

CWSaway

MINhomeTop matchup91 Final · 7–1

NYMaway

SEAhomeTop matchup91 Final · 2–3

SDaway

PHIhomeTop matchup87 Final · 1–8

BALaway

BOShomeTop matchup100 Final · 5–4

CLEaway

NYYhomeTop matchup91 Final · 5–2

KCaway

CINhomeTop matchup78 Final · 3–7

TORaway

ATLhomeTop matchup87 Final · 1–0

SFaway

MILhomeTop matchup78 Final · 3–5

TEXaway

STLhomeTop matchup78 Final · 5–4

ATHaway

CHChomeTop matchup78 Final · 9–11

PITaway

HOUhomeTop matchup87 Final · 4–11

COLaway

LAAhomeTop matchup91 Final · 7–0

LADaway

AZhomeTop matchup87

PosSort

#Hitter · MatchupScore

164 with a TBLive count — updates as games play

1
Kyle Manzardo1B
CLE@NYY· 3-for-4
8TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #88
2
J.P. CrawfordSS
SEAvsNYM· 3-for-4
7TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #4
3
Sam AntonacciLF
CWS@MIN· 4-for-4
6TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #3
T3
José Ramírez3B
CLE@NYY· 3-for-4
6TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #28
T3
Ozzie Albies2B
ATLvsTOR· 2-for-4
6TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #109
T3
Nick Gonzales3B
PIT@HOU· 2-for-5
6TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #112
T3
Kyle TuckerRF
LAD@AZ· 3-for-5
6TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #140
8
Nathan LukesRF
TOR@ATL· 2-for-5
5TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #20
T8
Blake DunnCF
CINvsKC· 2-for-5
5TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #35
T8
Andrew BenintendiDH
CWS@MIN· 2-for-3
5TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #54
T8
Wilyer AbreuRF
BOSvsBAL· 2-for-5
5TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #57
T8
Wade MecklerLF
LAAvsCOL· 4-for-5
5TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #59
T8
Willson Contreras1B
BOSvsBAL· 3-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #62
T8
Dillon DinglerC
DET@TB· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #75
T8
Vaughn Grissom2B
LAAvsCOL· 2-for-5
5TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #89
T8
Rhys Hoskins1B
CLE@NYY· 2-for-3
5TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #94
T8
Vinnie Pasquantino1B
KC@CIN· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #98
T8
Isaac Paredes3B
HOUvsPIT· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #111
T8
José CaballeroSS
NYYvsCLE· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #142
T8
Jake RogersC
DET@TB· 2-for-3
5TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #252
21
Bo Bichette3B
NYM@SEA· 4-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #13
T21
Ceddanne RafaelaCF
BOSvsBAL· 3-for-5
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #14
T21
Gleyber Torres2B
DET@TB· 3-for-5
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #16
T21
Kyle SchwarberDH
PHIvsSD· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #17
T21
Tyler FreemanRF
COL@LAA· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #30
T21
Adley RutschmanC
BAL@BOS· 2-for-5
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #31
T21
Pete Crow-ArmstrongCF
CHCvsATH· 1-for-5
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #72
T21
Jazz Chisholm Jr.2B
NYYvsCLE· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #118
T21
Seiya SuzukiRF
CHCvsATH· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #129
T21
Mauricio DubónLF
ATLvsTOR· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #135
T21
Cam SmithRF
HOUvsPIT· 2-for-5
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #137
T21
Ian HappLF
CHCvsATH· 2-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #151
T21
Nick Madrigal3B
LAAvsCOL· 4-for-5
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #179
T21
Cedric MullinsCF
TBvsDET· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #193
T21
J.T. RealmutoC
PHIvsSD· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #195
T21
Nick Loftin3B
KC@CIN· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #244
T21
Thomas SaggeseLF
STLvsTEX· 2-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #247
T21
Brandon ValenzuelaC
TOR@ATL· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #256
39
Taylor WardDH
BAL@BOS· 3-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #1
T39
Jeremy PeñaSS
HOUvsPIT· 2-for-3
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #21
T39
Spencer Horwitz1B
PIT@HOU· 3-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #22
T39
Shohei OhtaniTWP
LAD@AZ· 3-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #24
T39
Joc PedersonDH
TEX@STL· 1-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #40
T39
Kevin McGonigleSS
DET@TB· 2-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #44
T39
Matt Olson1B
ATLvsTOR· 3-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #78
T39
Jared Young1B
NYM@SEA· 2-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #86
T39
Kyle Stowers1B
MIA@WSH· 1-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #96
T39
Jordan WalkerRF
STLvsTEX· 3-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #101
T39
Oswald Peraza2B
LAAvsCOL· 2-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #119
T39
Troy JohnstonRF
COL@LAA· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #120
T39
Nelson VelázquezLF
STLvsTEX· 2-for-3
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #127
T39
Alec Burleson1B
STLvsTEX· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #149
T39
Mickey GasperC
BOSvsBAL· 1-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #156
T39
Ty France1B
SD@PHI· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #168
T39
A.J. EwingCF
NYM@SEA· 3-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #176
T39
Michael Busch1B
CHCvsATH· 1-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #219
T39
Luis TorrensC
NYM@SEA· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #223
T39
Caleb Durbin3B
BOSvsBAL· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #224
T39
Alex Freeland2B
LAD@AZ· 3-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #260
60
Ronald Acuña Jr.RF
ATLvsTOR· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #19
T60
Gunnar HendersonSS
BAL@BOS· 1-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #26
T60
Ben RiceDH
NYYvsCLE· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #27
T60
Paul Goldschmidt1B
NYYvsCLE· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #32
T60
Christian YelichDH
MILvsSF· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #37
T60
Nico Hoerner2B
CHCvsATH· 1-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #41
T60
Andy PagesCF
LAD@AZ· 1-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #52
T60
TJ Rumfield1B
COL@LAA· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #60
T60
Gabriel MorenoC
AZvsLAD· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #82
T60
Freddie Freeman1B
LAD@AZ· 2-for-6
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #83
T60
Chase Meidroth2B
CWS@MIN· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #92
T60
Sal Stewart1B
CINvsKC· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #97
T60
Shea LangeliersC
ATH@CHC· 1-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #104
T60
Brandon MarshLF
PHIvsSD· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #107
T60
Xavier Edwards2B
MIA@WSH· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #122
T60
Dane MyersCF
CINvsKC· 1-for-1
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #123
T60
Tyler SoderstromLF
ATH@CHC· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #130
T60
Riley GreeneLF
DET@TB· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #132
T60
Jung Hoo LeeRF
SF@MIL· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #148
T60
Jacob GonzalezSS
CWS@MIN· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #154
T60
Angel MartínezLF
CLE@NYY· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #158
T60
Isiah Kiner-Falefa2B
BOSvsBAL· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #163
T60
Bryson Stott2B
PHIvsSD· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #167
T60
Tristan PetersCF
CWS@MIN· 1-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #175
T60
Spencer Steer1B
CINvsKC· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #183
T60
José FermínLF
STLvsTEX· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #187
T60
Dansby SwansonSS
CHCvsATH· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #189
T60
Jhostynxon GarciaRF
PIT@HOU· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #200
T60
Drew RomoC
CWS@MIN· 1-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #203
T60
MJ MelendezDH
NYM@SEA· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #204
T60
Jose SiriCF
LAAvsCOL· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #209
T60
Michael Massey2B
KC@CIN· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #214
T60
Justin Foscue2B
TEX@STL· 1-for-2
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #218
T60
Zack Gelof3B
ATH@CHC· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #220
T60
Adolis GarcíaRF
PHIvsSD· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #228
T60
Nick AllenSS
HOUvsPIT· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #232
T60
Edouard Julien2B
COL@LAA· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #240
T60
Daniel SusacC
SF@MIL· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #246
T60
Christian VázquezC
HOUvsPIT· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #257
T60
Joe MackC
MIA@WSH· 2-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #262
100
Carson BengeRF
NYM@SEA· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #5
T100
Jarren DuranLF
BOSvsBAL· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #6
T100
Jo AdellRF
LAAvsCOL· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #9
T100
Fernando Tatis Jr.RF
SD@PHI· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #18
T100
Geraldo PerdomoSS
AZvsLAD· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #23
T100
Heriberto HernándezLF
MIA@WSH· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #34
T100
Junior Caminero3B
TBvsDET· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #43
T100
Trea TurnerSS
PHIvsSD· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #45
T100
Miguel AndujarDH
SD@PHI· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #46
T100
Juan SotoLF
NYM@SEA· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #56
T100
Pete Alonso1B
BAL@BOS· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #63
T100
Otto LopezSS
MIA@WSH· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #65
T100
JJ BledayLF
CINvsKC· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #66
T100
Bobby Witt Jr.SS
KC@CIN· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #67
T100
Iván HerreraDH
STLvsTEX· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #70
T100
Josh Jung3B
TEX@STL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #71
T100
Nick Kurtz1B
ATH@CHC· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #73
T100
Manny Machado3B
SD@PHI· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #77
T100
Christian Walker1B
HOUvsPIT· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #80
T100
Bryan ReynoldsLF
PIT@HOU· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #81
T100
Josh BellDH
MINvsCWS· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #84
T100
Austin MartinRF
MINvsCWS· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #91
T100
Coby Mayo3B
BAL@BOS· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #93
T100
Curtis Mead3B
WSHvsMIA· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #95
T100
Brice Turang2B
MILvsSF· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #99
T100
Luis Arraez2B
SF@MIL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #100
T100
Brandon NimmoRF
TEX@STL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #102
T100
Alex Bregman3B
CHCvsATH· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #103
T100
Yandy DíazDH
TBvsDET· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #105
T100
Kerry CarpenterRF
DET@TB· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #106
T100
Masataka YoshidaDH
BOSvsBAL· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #117
T100
Salvador PerezDH
KC@CIN· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #124
T100
Alec Bohm3B
PHIvsSD· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #133
T100
Ernie Clement2B
TOR@ATL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #136
T100
Jacob YoungCF
WSHvsMIA· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #143
T100
Brent RookerDH
ATH@CHC· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #152
T100
Victor CaratiniC
MINvsCWS· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #153
T100
Cole Young2B
SEAvsNYM· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #155
T100
Donovan Walton2B
LAAvsCOL· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #159
T100
Luke Keaschall2B
MINvsCWS· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #161
T100
Austin Riley3B
ATLvsTOR· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #169
T100
Daulton VarshoCF
TOR@ATL· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #170
T100
Sterlin ThompsonRF
COL@LAA· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #180
T100
Jakob MarseeCF
MIA@WSH· 1-for-1
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #182
T100
Jackson ChourioLF
MILvsSF· 1-for-1
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #185
T100
Cody Freeman3B
TEX@STL· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #188
T100
Jhonny PeredaC
SEAvsNYM· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #192
T100
Jackson MerrillCF
SD@PHI· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #196
T100
Kazuma Okamoto3B
TOR@ATL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #198
T100
Will SmithC
LAD@AZ· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #202
T100
Marcelo Mayer2B
BOSvsBAL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #205
T100
Jackson Holliday2B
BAL@BOS· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #206
T100
Keibert RuizC
WSHvsMIA· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #211
T100
Will BensonRF
CINvsKC· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #213
T100
Bryce EldridgeDH
SF@MIL· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #216
T100
Nick FortesC
TBvsDET· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #226
T100
Matt VierlingCF
DET@TB· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #227
T100
Ha-Seong KimSS
ATLvsTOR· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #230
T100
Andrés GiménezSS
TOR@ATL· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #231
T100
Jared TrioloSS
PIT@HOU· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #233
T100
Alex CallLF
LAD@AZ· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #235
T100
Logan O'HoppeC
LAAvsCOL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #239
T100
Kyle HigashiokaC
TEX@STL· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #248
T100
Jeff McNeil2B
ATH@CHC· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #250
T100
Alika WilliamsSS
ATH@CHC· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #270

Best MLB Total Bases Matchups — Wednesday, June 3, 2026

Taylor Ward (BAL) is the top total bases matchup on the Wednesday, June 3, 2026 board at 100, with James Outman (MIN) and Sam Antonacci (CWS) right behind. Every hitter on the slate is ranked by total-base upside — the best power and extra-base spots — raw power, the arm and bullpen they face, batting order, park, and weather. It's the read DFS and prop players make before lock.

Top total bases spot: Taylor Ward

Taylor Ward (BAL) tops the board at 100, facing LHP Payton Tolle. The righty is racking up bases at — TB/PA against lefties this year, a solid bat that turns into a total base in about 37% of his trips. And Payton Tolle has been thin against lefties lately. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's owned Payton Tolle too — .667 across 3 career trips. It all sets up in a neutral park, weather helping.

The rest of the top of the board

James Outman (MIN) (91) vs RHP Erick Fedde: a solid bat at .370 into an arm with little track record against the same side, due to bounce back.
Sam Antonacci (CWS) (91) vs RHP Taj Bradley: a solid bat at .370 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
J.P. Crawford (SEA) (91) vs RHP Freddy Peralta: a solid bat at .370 into an arm with little track record against the same side, due to bounce back.
Carson Benge (NYM) (91) vs RHP George Kirby: a solid bat at .370 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
Jarren Duran (BOS) (91) vs RHP Chris Bassitt: a solid bat at .370 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hot bat.
Trent Grisham (NYY) (91) vs RHP Gavin Williams: a solid bat at .370 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
Travis Bazzana (CLE) (91) vs RHP Gerrit Cole: a solid bat at .370 into an arm with little track record against the same side.

Arms giving up extra bases today

LHP Payton Tolle has been giving up bases to lefties — .360 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Taylor Ward (BAL), Gunnar Henderson (BAL), and Adley Rutschman (BAL).
RHP Erick Fedde has been giving up bases to righties — .360 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: James Outman (MIN), Brooks Lee (MIN), and Trevor Larnach (MIN).
RHP Taj Bradley has been giving up bases to righties — .360 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Sam Antonacci (CWS), Luisangel Acuña (CWS), and Andrew Benintendi (CWS).
RHP Freddy Peralta has been giving up bases to righties — .360 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: J.P. Crawford (SEA), Julio Rodríguez (SEA), and Josh Naylor (SEA).

How it played out

6 of the top 10 total bases matchups landed at least one total base. Top play Taylor Ward finished with 3 total bases. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.

How to read these total bases matchups

Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's total bases per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.

Keep reading

What the total bases board is

The Total Bases board projects how many bases a hitter racks up vs the posted total-bases line. One statistical model scores every matchup on the slate the same way — a star and a backup judged on the matchup in front of them, not their name — and every number is graded against the real box score once the games go final.

How the model gets its number

It isn't a gut call or a name game. The projection is built from a few things:

His extra-base pop vs this arm.
The park.
Recent contact quality.

Those pieces combine into one number, and the model re-tunes itself weekly against how its past calls actually landed.

Is there a betting edge here?

Total bases grades right at break-even even when we tune it to the hilt — the book prices the marginal leans efficiently. Transparency board.

How to use it

See who the model projects for extra-base damage; no systematic edge to bet.

Everything here is a research signal from the model, graded in public — not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Learn more: How the model works · The picks story · Today's plays

Frequently asked questions

Who has the best total bases matchup today (Wednesday, June 3, 2026)?: Taylor Ward (BAL) — top of the board at 100, facing LHP Payton Tolle. A solid bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.
What are the best MLB total bases matchups today (Wednesday, June 3, 2026)?: The top total bases matchups on Wednesday, June 3, 2026: Taylor Ward (100), James Outman (91), Sam Antonacci (91), J.P. Crawford (91), Carson Benge (91). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by total bases upside.
Did the top total bases matchup get a total base on Wednesday, June 3, 2026?: Yes — Taylor Ward got 3 total bases.
Which pitchers are most vulnerable today?: LHP Payton Tolle has been giving up bases to lefties — .360 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Taylor Ward (BAL), Gunnar Henderson (BAL), and Adley Rutschman (BAL). RHP Erick Fedde has been giving up bases to righties — .360 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: James Outman (MIN), Brooks Lee (MIN), and Trevor Larnach (MIN). RHP Taj Bradley has been giving up bases to righties — .360 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Sam Antonacci (CWS), Luisangel Acuña (CWS), and Andrew Benintendi (CWS). RHP Freddy Peralta has been giving up bases to righties — .360 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: J.P. Crawford (SEA), Julio Rodríguez (SEA), and Josh Naylor (SEA).
How is the total bases matchup score calculated?: It's his bases-per-trip rate against that hand, recent form weighted heaviest, over a two-year baseline. Because this counts extra-base damage, slug matters as much as contact. Then the bullpen, order spot, and the yard. 0–100 across the slate.
What does TB/PA mean?: Total bases is 1 for a single, 2 for a double, 3 for a triple, 4 for a homer — so it rewards power, not just contact. Per plate appearance, around .37 is league average; .50+ is big-time slug. It's the cleanest power matchup we run: both the bat's slug and the arm's slug-against are real.
What does the score actually mean?: Higher is better. Total bases rewards the guys who do damage rather than just make contact, so this board leans slugger where the hits board leans average. It ranks today's spots, not the odds of any particular number.
What's the confidence meter?: It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a total base.
What is a platoon split (handedness split)?: Total bases blends contact and power, so the platoon gap cuts twice: the opposite hand means both more balls in play and more of them driven. A hitter with a big split can swing a full base per game between the two matchups.
What are park factors?: Every extra foot of outfield is a base. Gaps and altitude turn singles into doubles and doubles into triples, while a small park trades the same batted ball for a home run. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it.
What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?: The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.
What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?: "≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a total base in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.
Can I use this for total bases props or DFS?: That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ total base" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)
How accurate is the model?: We grade every board against the box score. Total bases is one of the steadier props we publish — more ways to clear the line means less variance — and the top of the board beats the slate consistently. Every past date is auditable.
When do lineups update?: Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.