Best MLB Triples Matchups — Tuesday, July 7, 2026
Top triples spot: Jake Mangum
Jake Mangum (PIT) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Hurston Waldrep. The lefty is running the bases at — 3B/PA against righties this year, a solid bat that turns into a triple in about 0% of his trips. And Hurston Waldrep has been thin against righties lately. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Hurston Waldrep. It all sets up in a neutral park, weather helping.
The rest of the top of the board
- Michael Harris II (ATL) (100) vs RHP Paul Skenes: a solid bat at .004 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hot bat.
- Elly De La Cruz (CIN) (96) vs RHP Zack Wheeler: a solid bat at .004 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Brandon Lowe (PIT) (92) vs RHP Hurston Waldrep: a solid bat at .004 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hot bat.
- Ozzie Albies (ATL) (92) vs RHP Paul Skenes: a solid bat at .004 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Trea Turner (PHI) (89) vs LHP Andrew Abbott: a solid bat at .004 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Kyle Schwarber (PHI) (88) vs LHP Andrew Abbott: a solid bat at .004 into an arm with little track record against the same side, due to bounce back.
- Ernie Clement (TOR) (85) vs RHP Trevor McDonald: a solid bat at .004 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
How it played out
8 of the top 10 triples matchups landed at least one triple. Top play Jake Mangum finished with 1 triple. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these triples matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's triples per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.