Best MLB Triples Matchups — Sunday, August 30, 2026
Top triples spot: Jakob Marsee
Jakob Marsee (MIA) tops the board at 100, facing LHP Andrew Alvarez. The lefty is running the bases at .026 3B/PA against lefties this year — and .077 over the last two weeks, an elite bat that turns into a triple in about 2% of his trips. And Andrew Alvarez has been tough to triple against lefties lately — .000 triples per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 3.9 trips, so the volume's there. He's just .000 in 2 career PA against Andrew Alvarez, but that's a tiny sample and the matchup says regression. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Brett Callahan (DET) (100) vs RHP Tyler Glasnow: an elite bat at .016 into an arm tough to triple against the same side (.000).
- Pedro Ramírez (CHC) (100) vs RHP Chase Burns: an elite bat at .012 into an arm vulnerable to the gaps against the same side (.037).
- Kody Clemens (MIN) (90) vs RHP Jordan Hicks: an elite bat at .013 into an arm tough to triple against the same side (.000).
- Oneil Cruz (PIT) (89) vs LHP Matthew Liberatore: an elite bat at .013 into an arm tough to triple against the same side (.000).
- Yordan Alvarez (HOU) (86) vs LHP Zac Thornton: an elite bat at .013 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) (81) vs RHP Chase Burns: a strong bat at .005 into an arm vulnerable to the gaps against the same side (.037).
- Gunnar Henderson (BAL) (81) vs LHP Jeffrey Springs: an excellent bat at .008 into an arm tough to triple against the same side (.000).
Platoon edges to target
- Brett Callahan (DET) — lefty bat vs RHP, .038 against righties this year.
- Pedro Ramírez (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .013 against righties this year.
- Kody Clemens (MIN) — lefty bat vs RHP, .011 against righties this year.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .010 against righties this year.
- Jarren Duran (BOS) — lefty bat vs RHP, .010 against righties this year.
Parks where triples happen today
Angel Stadium is playing as hitter-friendly today (+3% triple park). Top bat there: Trea Turner (PHI) at 53.
How it played out
1 of the top 10 triples matchups landed at least one triple. Top play Jakob Marsee finished with 0 triples. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these triples matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's triples per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.