Best MLB Doubles Matchups — Friday, July 10, 2026
Top doubles spot: Ketel Marte
Ketel Marte (AZ) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Kyle Hurt. The lefty is driving the ball at — 2B/PA against righties this year, a solid bat that turns into a double in about 5% of his trips. And Kyle Hurt has been thin against righties lately. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's just .000 in 2 career PA against Kyle Hurt, but that's a tiny sample and the matchup says regression. It all sets up in a neutral park, weather helping.
The rest of the top of the board
- Shohei Ohtani (LAD) (100) vs LHP Eduardo Rodriguez: a solid bat at .045 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- A.J. Ewing (NYM) (100) vs RHP Sonny Gray: a solid bat at .045 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Anthony Seigler (BOS) (100) vs RHP Nolan McLean: a solid bat at .045 into an arm with little track record against the same side, due to bounce back.
- Elly De La Cruz (CIN) (100) vs LHP Shota Imanaga: a solid bat at .045 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Lawrence Butler (ATH) (100) vs RHP Sean Burke: a solid bat at .045 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Sam Antonacci (CWS) (100) vs LHP Jacob Lopez: a solid bat at .045 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Trevor Larnach (MIN) (100) vs RHP Grayson Rodriguez: a solid bat at .045 into an arm with little track record against the same side, due to bounce back.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Heliot Ramos (SF), Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC), Michael Harris II (ATL), Otto Lopez (MIA), Jeremy Peña (HOU), and Ben Rice (NYY). Cold but due to bounce back: Anthony Seigler (BOS), Trevor Larnach (MIN), Gunnar Henderson (BAL), Alex Bregman (CHC), and Joc Pederson (TEX).
How it played out
9 of the top 10 doubles matchups landed at least one double. Top play Ketel Marte finished with 1 double. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these doubles matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's doubles per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.