Best MLB Singles Matchups — Wednesday, July 8, 2026
Top singles spot: Masyn Winn
Masyn Winn (STL) tops the board at 100, facing LHP Kyle Harrison. The righty is lining singles at — 1B/PA against lefties this year, a solid bat that turns into a single in about 14% of his trips. And Kyle Harrison has been thin against lefties lately. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's just .000 in 2 career PA against Kyle Harrison, but that's a tiny sample and the matchup says regression. It all sets up in a neutral park, weather helping.
The rest of the top of the board
- Christian Yelich (MIL) (92) vs RHP Michael McGreevy: a solid bat at .145 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Shohei Ohtani (LAD) (92) vs RHP Gabriel Hughes: a solid bat at .145 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Jake McCarthy (COL) (92) vs RHP Roki Sasaki: a solid bat at .145 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Iván Herrera (STL) (91) vs LHP Kyle Harrison: a solid bat at .145 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Jackson Chourio (MIL) (91) vs RHP Michael McGreevy: a solid bat at .145 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Heliot Ramos (SF) (88) vs RHP Dylan Cease: a solid bat at .145 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hot bat.
- Ernie Clement (TOR) (88) vs RHP Logan Webb: a solid bat at .145 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Heliot Ramos (SF), Michael Harris II (ATL), Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC), Brandon Lowe (PIT), Ozzie Albies (ATL), and Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS). Cold but due to bounce back: David Fry (CLE), Paul Goldschmidt (NYY), William Contreras (MIL), Ildemaro Vargas (AZ), and Nick Kurtz (ATH).
How it played out
6 of the top 10 singles matchups landed at least one single. Top play Masyn Winn finished with 1 single. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these singles matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's singles per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.