Best MLB Singles Matchups — Tuesday, October 6, 2026
Top singles spot: Jackson Chourio
Jackson Chourio (MIL) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Nick Pivetta. The righty is lining singles at .169 1B/PA against righties this year — and .267 over the last two weeks, a strong bat that turns into a single in about 17% of his trips. And Nick Pivetta has been getting picked apart by righties lately — .286 singles per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's just .000 in 3 career PA against Nick Pivetta, but that's a tiny sample and the matchup says regression. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) (89) vs RHP Dustin May: an excellent bat at .171 into an arm getting picked apart by the same side (.250).
- Dustin Harris (SD) (81) vs RHP Dustin May: an excellent bat at .173 into an arm tough to string hits off the same side (.000).
- Drake Baldwin (ATL) (80) vs RHP Yoshinobu Yamamoto: an excellent bat at .171 into an arm tough to string hits off the same side (.091).
- Freddie Freeman (LAD) (78) vs LHP Chris Sale: an excellent bat at .170 into an arm with little track record against the same side, due to bounce back.
- William Contreras (MIL) (78) vs RHP Nick Pivetta: a strong bat at .163 into an arm getting picked apart by the same side (.286).
- Shohei Ohtani (LAD) (73) vs LHP Chris Sale: a solid bat at .151 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Cooper Pratt (MIL) (72) vs RHP Nick Pivetta: an excellent bat at .189 into an arm getting picked apart by the same side (.286).
Platoon edges to target
- Dustin Harris (SD) — lefty bat vs RHP, .209 against righties this year.
- Drake Baldwin (ATL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .189 against righties this year.
- Brice Turang (MIL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .140 against righties this year.
- Teoscar Hernández (LAD) — righty bat vs LHP, .176 against lefties this year.
- Mookie Betts (LAD) — righty bat vs LHP, .141 against lefties this year.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Jackson Chourio (MIL) and Brice Turang (MIL). Cold but due to bounce back: Freddie Freeman (LAD), Ronald Acuña Jr. (ATL), Sal Frelick (MIL), Ozzie Albies (ATL), and Austin Riley (ATL).
Lineup watch
36 of today's hitters are still on projected lineups, drawn from each team's last game. Batting order drives the score, so these flip the moment official lineups post — usually about two hours before first pitch. Anyone who doesn't make the official card gets flagged "Not starting" and drops to the bottom.
How to read these singles matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's singles per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.