MatchWiz

Best MLB fantasy points matchupsTuesday, August 4, 2026

Every hitter on the Tuesday, August 4, 2026 slate — ranked by projected DraftKings fantasy points. Results show how each call played out.

How the model did — Tuesday, August 4, 2026

Our top 5 hitters went 1/5 (20%) on 6+ fantasy points, against 53% on the season.

Top 5
1/520%
season 53%
Top 10
3/1030%
season 54%
Full slate
113/27042%
season 43%

Top call Bobby Witt Jr. came through. Jeremy Peña didn't.

Not starting67 not in the official lineup — moved to the bottom
#Hitter · Matchup · 337 shownScore

What the fantasy points board is

The Fantasy Points board projects a hitter's projected DraftKings fantasy points, with salary and value. One statistical model scores every matchup on the slate the same way — a star and a backup judged on the matchup in front of them, not their name — and every number is graded against the real box score once the games go final.

How the model gets its number

It isn't a gut call or a name game. The projection is built from a few things:

  • His hit, extra-base, run, RBI, walk and steal projections, run through the DK scoring formula.

Those pieces combine into one number, and the model re-tunes itself weekly against how its past calls actually landed.

Is there a betting edge here?

Built bottom-up from our tuned component boards, so it inherits all their tuning and stays internally consistent. This one's for DFS, not a book market — the value column (points per $1k) is the lever.

How to use it

Sort by value to find the cheap bats that project like expensive ones, then build with the optimizer.

Everything here is a research signal from the model, graded in public — not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.