Best MLB Doubles Matchups — Saturday, July 25, 2026
Top doubles spot: Trevor Larnach
Trevor Larnach (MIN) tops the board at 100, facing LHP Brady Basso. The lefty is driving the ball at — 2B/PA against lefties this year, a solid bat that turns into a double in about 5% of his trips. And Brady Basso has been thin against lefties lately. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Brady Basso. It all sets up in a neutral park, weather helping.
The rest of the top of the board
- Jacob Wilson (ATH) (92) vs LHP Kendry Rojas: a solid bat at .045 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Jake Mangum (PIT) (92) vs LHP Shota Imanaga: a solid bat at .045 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Nick Kurtz (ATH) (91) vs LHP Kendry Rojas: a solid bat at .045 into an arm with little track record against the same side, due to bounce back.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) (84) vs RHP Paul Skenes: a solid bat at .045 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Byron Buxton (MIN) (84) vs LHP Brady Basso: a solid bat at .045 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Nick Gonzales (PIT) (84) vs LHP Shota Imanaga: a solid bat at .045 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hot bat.
- Seiya Suzuki (CHC) (84) vs RHP Paul Skenes: a solid bat at .045 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Nick Gonzales (PIT), Tyler Soderstrom (ATH), Zach Neto (LAA), Joc Pederson (TEX), Jake McCarthy (COL), and Jeremy Peña (HOU). Cold but due to bounce back: Nick Kurtz (ATH), Trea Turner (PHI), Amed Rosario (NYY), Bryan Reynolds (PIT), and Heliot Ramos (SF).
How it played out
1 of the top 10 doubles matchups landed at least one double. Top play Trevor Larnach finished with 0 doubles. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these doubles matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's doubles per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.