Best MLB Doubles Matchups — Tuesday, July 28, 2026
Top doubles spot: Jahmai Jones
Jahmai Jones (BOS) tops the board at 100, facing LHP Gage Jump. The righty is driving the ball at .032 2B/PA against lefties this year — and .143 over the last two weeks, a solid bat that turns into a double in about 5% of his trips. And Gage Jump has been getting squared up by lefties lately — .125 doubles per batter faced. The bullpen behind him hasn't been any better to that side, so there's no relief late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Gage Jump. It all sets up in a neutral park, weather helping.
The rest of the top of the board
- Andruw Monasterio (BOS) (93) vs LHP Gage Jump: an elite bat at .067 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.125), hot bat.
- Romy Gonzalez (BOS) (86) vs LHP Gage Jump: a league-average bat at .042 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.125).
- Willson Contreras (BOS) (85) vs LHP Gage Jump: a solid bat at .043 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.125), due to bounce back.
- Freddie Freeman (LAD) (83) vs RHP Luis Castillo: an elite bat at .065 into an arm tough to drive against the same side (.000), hot bat.
- Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) (82) vs LHP Gage Jump: a strong bat at .050 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.125).
- Alika Williams (ATH) (73) vs LHP Jake Bennett: an elite bat at .074 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Caleb Durbin (BOS) (69) vs LHP Gage Jump: a solid bat at .046 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.125).
Platoon edges to target
- Jahmai Jones (BOS) — righty bat vs LHP, .032 against lefties this year.
- Andruw Monasterio (BOS) — righty bat vs LHP, .098 against lefties this year.
- Romy Gonzalez (BOS) — righty bat vs LHP, .030 against lefties this year.
- Willson Contreras (BOS) — righty bat vs LHP, .037 against lefties this year.
- Freddie Freeman (LAD) — lefty bat vs RHP, .069 against righties this year.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Andruw Monasterio (BOS), Freddie Freeman (LAD), Jackson Chourio (MIL), Randy Arozarena (SEA), Jeremy Peña (HOU), and Luis Rengifo (SD). Cold but due to bounce back: Willson Contreras (BOS), Carlos Narváez (BOS), Rafael Devers (SF), Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD), and Max Muncy (LAD).
How it played out
1 of the top 10 doubles matchups landed at least one double. Top play Jahmai Jones finished with 1 double. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these doubles matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's doubles per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.