Best MLB Doubles Matchups — Wednesday, July 29, 2026
Top doubles spot: Carter Jensen
Carter Jensen (KC) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Joe Ryan. The lefty is driving the ball at .055 2B/PA against righties this year — and .147 over the last two weeks, an elite bat that turns into a double in about 7% of his trips. And Joe Ryan has been getting squared up by righties lately — .056 doubles per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's just .167 in 6 career PA against Joe Ryan, but that's a tiny sample and the matchup says regression. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Freddie Freeman (LAD) (100) vs RHP Emerson Hancock: an elite bat at .065 into an arm tough to drive against the same side (.000), hot bat.
- Jahmai Jones (BOS) (100) vs LHP Jacob Lopez: an excellent bat at .059 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.061).
- Cole Carrigg (COL) (90) vs LHP Kyle Hart: an elite bat at .067 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.111).
- Wyatt Langford (TEX) (90) vs RHP Casey Legumina: an elite bat at .064 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.067).
- Yordan Alvarez (HOU) (89) vs RHP Grayson Rodriguez: a strong bat at .054 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.080).
- Shohei Ohtani (LAD) (86) vs RHP Emerson Hancock: a strong bat at .054 into an arm tough to drive against the same side (.000).
- Andruw Monasterio (BOS) (83) vs LHP Jacob Lopez: an elite bat at .064 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.061).
Platoon edges to target
- Carter Jensen (KC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .055 against righties this year.
- Freddie Freeman (LAD) — lefty bat vs RHP, .068 against righties this year.
- Jahmai Jones (BOS) — righty bat vs LHP, .041 against lefties this year.
- Cole Carrigg (COL) — righty bat vs LHP, .083 against lefties this year.
- Yordan Alvarez (HOU) — lefty bat vs RHP, .052 against righties this year.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Freddie Freeman (LAD), Michael Harris II (ATL), Nick Gonzales (PIT), Ezequiel Duran (TEX), Ty France (SD), and Pedro Ramírez (CHC). Cold but due to bounce back: Carter Jensen (KC), Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC), Nick Kurtz (ATH), Jac Caglianone (KC), and Willson Contreras (BOS).
How it played out
2 of the top 10 doubles matchups landed at least one double. Top play Carter Jensen finished with 1 double. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these doubles matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's doubles per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.