Best MLB Doubles Matchups — Thursday, July 30, 2026
Top doubles spot: Austin Martin
Austin Martin (MIN) tops the board at 100, facing LHP Noah Cameron. The righty is driving the ball at .069 2B/PA against lefties this year — and .133 over the last two weeks, an elite bat that turns into a double in about 6% of his trips. And Noah Cameron has been getting squared up by lefties lately — .077 doubles per batter faced. The bullpen behind him hasn't been any better to that side, so there's no relief late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's owned Noah Cameron too — .333 across 9 career trips. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Freddie Freeman (LAD) (100) vs RHP Bryan Woo: an elite bat at .065 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.063), hot bat.
- Andruw Monasterio (BOS) (100) vs RHP Mason Barnett: an elite bat at .078 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.200).
- Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) (94) vs RHP Mason Barnett: an excellent bat at .058 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.200).
- Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) (94) vs RHP Andre Pallante: an excellent bat at .061 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.087).
- Carter Jensen (KC) (92) vs RHP Bailey Ober: an elite bat at .071 into an arm tough to drive against the same side (.032).
- Tyler Soderstrom (ATH) (86) vs RHP Sonny Gray: an excellent bat at .057 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.063), due to bounce back.
- Michael Harris II (ATL) (83) vs RHP Jake Irvin: an elite bat at .064 into an arm with little track record against the same side, due to bounce back.
Platoon edges to target
- Austin Martin (MIN) — righty bat vs LHP, .069 against lefties this year.
- Freddie Freeman (LAD) — lefty bat vs RHP, .068 against righties this year.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .053 against righties this year.
- Carter Jensen (KC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .055 against righties this year.
- Tyler Soderstrom (ATH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .077 against righties this year.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Freddie Freeman (LAD), Miguel Vargas (CWS), Ryan Jeffers (MIN), Jake Mangum (PIT), Seiya Suzuki (CHC), and Luis Arraez (SF). Cold but due to bounce back: Tyler Soderstrom (ATH), Michael Harris II (ATL), Anthony Seigler (BOS), Nick Kurtz (ATH), and Randal Grichuk (CWS).
How it played out
2 of the top 10 doubles matchups landed at least one double. Top play Austin Martin finished with 0 doubles. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these doubles matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's doubles per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.