Best MLB Doubles Matchups — Thursday, July 30, 2026
Top doubles spot: Carter Jensen
Carter Jensen (KC) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Bailey Ober. The lefty is driving the ball at .055 2B/PA against righties this year — and .147 over the last two weeks, an elite bat that turns into a double in about 7% of his trips. And Bailey Ober has been tough to drive against righties lately — .032 doubles per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Bailey Ober. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Andruw Monasterio (BOS) (97) vs RHP the starter: an elite bat at .083 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) (91) vs RHP Andre Pallante: an excellent bat at .061 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.087).
- Freddie Freeman (LAD) (87) vs RHP Bryan Woo: an elite bat at .065 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.063), hot bat.
- Jahmai Jones (BOS) (86) vs RHP the starter: an excellent bat at .056 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Brandon Nimmo (TEX) (86) vs LHP Shane McClanahan: an elite bat at .067 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.091).
- Tyler Soderstrom (ATH) (82) vs RHP Sonny Gray: an excellent bat at .057 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.063), due to bounce back.
- Brandon Lowe (PIT) (80) vs RHP Rhett Lowder: an excellent bat at .057 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.115).
Platoon edges to target
- Carter Jensen (KC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .055 against righties this year.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .053 against righties this year.
- Freddie Freeman (LAD) — lefty bat vs RHP, .068 against righties this year.
- Tyler Soderstrom (ATH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .077 against righties this year.
- Brandon Lowe (PIT) — lefty bat vs RHP, .064 against righties this year.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Freddie Freeman (LAD), Miguel Vargas (CWS), Luis Arraez (SF), Ty France (SD), Seiya Suzuki (CHC), and Munetaka Murakami (CWS). Cold but due to bounce back: Tyler Soderstrom (ATH), Michael Harris II (ATL), Romy Gonzalez (BOS), Nick Kurtz (ATH), and Colson Montgomery (CWS).
Lineup watch
180 of today's hitters are still on projected lineups, drawn from each team's last game. Batting order drives the score, so these flip the moment official lineups post — usually about two hours before first pitch. Anyone who doesn't make the official card gets flagged "Not starting" and drops to the bottom.
How to read these doubles matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's doubles per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.