Best MLB Doubles Matchups — Friday, July 31, 2026
Top doubles spot: Shohei Ohtani
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) tops the board at 100, facing LHP Ranger Suarez. The lefty is driving the ball at .043 2B/PA against lefties this year — and .063 over the last two weeks, a solid bat that turns into a double in about 5% of his trips. And Ranger Suarez has been getting squared up by lefties lately — .200 doubles per batter faced. The bullpen behind him hasn't been any better to that side, so there's no relief late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's owned Ranger Suarez too — .333 across 3 career trips. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Carter Jensen (KC) (100) vs RHP Tomoyuki Sugano: an elite bat at .074 into an arm tough to drive against the same side (.000).
- Gleyber Torres (DET) (100) vs LHP Jeffrey Springs: a strong bat at .055 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.107).
- Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) (98) vs RHP Edgardo Henriquez: an elite bat at .069 into an arm tough to drive against the same side (.000), hot bat.
- Dillon Dingler (DET) (93) vs LHP Jeffrey Springs: a strong bat at .053 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.107).
- Freddie Freeman (LAD) (92) vs LHP Ranger Suarez: a strong bat at .049 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.200), hot bat.
- Dominic Canzone (SEA) (84) vs RHP Zebby Matthews: a strong bat at .053 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.091).
- Andruw Monasterio (BOS) (83) vs RHP Edgardo Henriquez: an elite bat at .073 into an arm tough to drive against the same side (.000).
Platoon edges to target
- Carter Jensen (KC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .057 against righties this year.
- Gleyber Torres (DET) — righty bat vs LHP, .067 against lefties this year.
- Dillon Dingler (DET) — righty bat vs LHP, .062 against lefties this year.
- Dominic Canzone (SEA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .058 against righties this year.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .058 against righties this year.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS), Freddie Freeman (LAD), Ernie Clement (TOR), Luis García Jr. (WSH), Josh Naylor (SEA), and Kyle Schwarber (PHI). Cold but due to bounce back: Dylan Beavers (BAL), Kyle Tucker (LAD), Junior Caminero (TB), Trevor Larnach (MIN), and Miguel Rojas (LAD).
How it played out
3 of the top 10 doubles matchups landed at least one double. Top play Shohei Ohtani finished with 1 double. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these doubles matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's doubles per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.