Best MLB Doubles Matchups — Saturday, August 1, 2026
Top doubles spot: Shohei Ohtani
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) tops the board at 100, facing LHP Payton Tolle. The lefty is driving the ball at .049 2B/PA against lefties this year — and .105 over the last two weeks, a strong bat that turns into a double in about 5% of his trips. And Payton Tolle has been getting squared up by lefties lately — .200 doubles per batter faced. The bullpen behind him hasn't been any better to that side, so there's no relief late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Payton Tolle. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Carter Jensen (KC) (100) vs RHP Ryan Feltner: an elite bat at .073 into an arm around league average against the same side (.043).
- Alika Williams (ATH) (100) vs LHP Framber Valdez: an elite bat at .081 into an arm tough to drive against the same side (.036).
- Andrew Vaughn (MIL) (91) vs LHP Brent Suter: an elite bat at .066 into an arm tough to drive against the same side (.000), hot bat.
- Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) (86) vs RHP Yoshinobu Yamamoto: an elite bat at .068 into an arm tough to drive against the same side (.000), hot bat.
- Anthony Seigler (BOS) (84) vs RHP Yoshinobu Yamamoto: an excellent bat at .061 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.056).
- Jackson Chourio (MIL) (79) vs LHP Brent Suter: a strong bat at .050 into an arm tough to drive against the same side (.000).
- Freddie Freeman (LAD) (79) vs LHP Payton Tolle: a solid bat at .047 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.200), hot bat.
Platoon edges to target
- Carter Jensen (KC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .057 against righties this year.
- Alika Williams (ATH) — righty bat vs LHP, .115 against lefties this year.
- Andrew Vaughn (MIL) — righty bat vs LHP, .139 against lefties this year.
- Anthony Seigler (BOS) — lefty bat vs RHP, .078 against righties this year.
- Jackson Chourio (MIL) — righty bat vs LHP, .044 against lefties this year.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Andrew Vaughn (MIL), Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS), Freddie Freeman (LAD), Bryce Harper (PHI), Jake Bauers (MIL), and Dalton Rushing (LAD). Cold but due to bounce back: Riley Greene (DET), Trevor Larnach (MIN), Nolan Arenado (AZ), Nick Loftin (KC), and Hunter Goodman (COL).
How it played out
1 of the top 10 doubles matchups landed at least one double. Top play Shohei Ohtani finished with 0 doubles. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these doubles matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's doubles per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.