Who has the best hits matchup today (Sunday, June 7, 2026)?

Jackson Chourio (MIL) — top of the board at 100, facing LHP Kyle Freeland. A strong bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.

What are the best MLB hits matchups today (Sunday, June 7, 2026)?

The top hits matchups on Sunday, June 7, 2026: Jackson Chourio (100), Andrew Vaughn (92), Nick Gonzales (91), Sam Antonacci (90), Jung Hoo Lee (86). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by hits upside.

Did the top hits matchup get a hit on Sunday, June 7, 2026?

Yes — Jackson Chourio got 3 hits.

Which hitters have a platoon edge today?

Jackson Chourio (MIL) — righty bat vs LHP, .250 against lefties this year. Andrew Vaughn (MIL) — righty bat vs LHP, .400 against lefties this year. Sam Antonacci (CWS) — lefty bat vs RHP, .277 against righties this year. Jung Hoo Lee (SF) — lefty bat vs RHP, .323 against righties this year. Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) — righty bat vs LHP, .323 against lefties this year.

Which pitchers are most vulnerable today?

RHP Bryce Elder has been vulnerable to righties — .287 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Nick Gonzales (PIT), Davis Wendzel (PIT), and Ryan O'Hearn (PIT). LHP Kyle Freeland has been vulnerable to lefties — .281 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Jackson Chourio (MIL), Andrew Vaughn (MIL), and William Contreras (MIL). RHP Mike Burrows has been vulnerable to righties — .260 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Nick Kurtz (ATH), Henry Bolte (ATH), and Tyler Soderstrom (ATH). RHP Sandy Alcantara has been giving up plenty to righties — .256 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Yandy Díaz (TB), Junior Caminero (TB), and Jonathan Aranda (TB).

How is the hits matchup score calculated?

It's a weighted read of how often he gets a hit against the hand he's facing — last two weeks first, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then the opposing bullpen, his spot in the order, and the yard. Scores run 0–100 across the slate, so today's best matchup is always 100.

It's the share of a hitter's trips to the plate that end in a hit. Around .250 is league average. .300+ is elite. We use it instead of batting average because it's measured per plate appearance — exactly what a daily matchup is asking.

What does the score actually mean?

Higher is better for the hitter. 80s and 90s mean the bat, the arm, and the yard all point the same way. 40s and 50s mean it's neutral to tough. It ranks today's spots against each other — it isn't the odds of a hit.

What's the confidence meter?

It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a hit.

What is a platoon split (handedness split)?

Most bats hit the opposite hand better, and on a contact board that gap is mostly about seeing the ball early — a lefty picks up a righty's fastball a beat sooner and shoots it the other way. The score leans on each hitter's rate against the hand he's facing today, so the same guy can lead this board on Tuesday and sit mid-pack on Wednesday.

What are park factors?

Parks aren't neutral for base hits. Big outfield gaps and fast turf turn playable balls into singles and doubles; deep foul ground eats an extra out an inning. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it.

What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?

The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.

What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?

"≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a hit in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.

Can I use this for hits props or DFS?

That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ hit" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)

How accurate is the model?

We grade every board against the box score, and the top of the hits board lands a hit far more often than the slate as a whole. Weights are re-tuned weekly on a held-out split, and because results sit next to the projections you can audit any past date yourself.

When do lineups update?

Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.

Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Best MLB hits matchups — Sunday, June 7, 2026

Every hitter on the Sunday, June 7, 2026 slate — ranked by who's most likely to get a hit. Results show how each call played out.

How the model did — Sunday, June 7, 2026

Our top 5 hitters went 4/5 (80%) on 1+ hit, against 64% on the season.

Top 5

4/580%

season 64%

Top 10

7/1070%

season 67%

Full slate

156/27058%

season 56%

Top call Jackson Chourio came through. Nick Gonzales didn't.

Each hitter below carries a 0–100 matchup score — a read on the spot in front of him, not a ranking of how good he is, so a star in a brutal matchup can sit below an average hitter in a soft one. Confidence next to it is coverage: how much real data backs the number. Every call here was graded against the box score — wins and misses both, with the record on this page. How this board is built →

Final · 2–3

PITaway

ATLhomeTop matchup91 Final · 5–9

CWSaway

PHIhomeTop matchup90 Final · 1–6

BOSaway

NYYhomeTop matchup84 Final · 4–6

BALaway

TORhomeTop matchup62 Final · 4–5

SEAaway

DEThomeTop matchup61 Final · 1–4

TBaway

MIAhomeTop matchup80 Final · 5–0

ATHaway

HOUhomeTop matchup77 Final · 6–5

KCaway

MINhomeTop matchup70 Final · 3–5

CINaway

STLhomeTop matchup73 Final · 0–10

CLEaway

TEXhomeTop matchup79 Final · 12–4

MILaway

COLhomeTop matchup100 Final · 1–5

WSHaway

AZhomeTop matchup68 Final · 13–5

LAAaway

LADhomeTop matchup74 Final · 7–3

NYMaway

SDhomeTop matchup57 Final · 2–1

SFaway

CHChomeTop matchup86

Not starting85 not in the official lineup — moved to the bottom

PosSort

#Hitter · Matchup · 355 shownScore

174 with a HLive count — updates as games play

1
Carson BengeRF
NYM@SD· 5-for-5
5HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #76
T1
Sebastián RiveroC
LAA@LAD· 5-for-5
5HFinal
Proj 0.8 H, #261
3
Ezequiel DuranSS
TEXvsCLE· 4-for-5
4HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #156
T3
Dalton RushingC
LADvsLAA· 4-for-4
4HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #163
T3
Jo AdellRF
LAA@LAD· 4-for-5
4HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #249
6
Jackson ChourioLF
MIL@COL· 3-for-6
3HFinal
Proj 1.3 H, #1
T6
Andrew Vaughn1B
MIL@COL· 3-for-5
3HFinal
Proj 1.3 H, #2
T6
Garrett MitchellCF
MIL@COL· 3-for-5
3HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #29
T6
Trent GrishamCF
NYYvsBOS· 3-for-4
3HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #110
T6
Jake Burger1B
TEXvsCLE· 3-for-4
3HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #161
T6
Jose SiriCF
LAA@LAD· 3-for-3
3HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #227
T6
Tyler StephensonC
CIN@STL· 3-for-4
3HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #234
13
Sam AntonacciLF
CWS@PHI· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.3 H, #4
T13
Paul Goldschmidt1B
NYYvsBOS· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #6
T13
William ContrerasC
MIL@COL· 2-for-5
2HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #7
T13
Willi Castro2B
COLvsMIL· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #12
T13
Shohei OhtaniTWP
LADvsLAA· 2-for-5
2HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #18
T13
Gary SánchezC
MIL@COL· 2-for-5
2HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #22
T13
Otto LopezSS
MIAvsTB· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #24
T13
Cody BellingerLF
NYYvsBOS· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #26
T13
Freddie Freeman1B
LADvsLAA· 2-for-5
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #28
T13
Tristan PetersCF
CWS@PHI· 2-for-3
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #32
T13
Brandon MarshLF
PHIvsCWS· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #38
T13
Josh Jung3B
TEXvsCLE· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #42
T13
Kevin McGonigleSS
DETvsSEA· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #44
T13
Cole Young2B
SEA@DET· 2-for-5
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #48
T13
Jordan WalkerRF
STLvsCIN· 2-for-5
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #49
T13
Ceddanne RafaelaCF
BOS@NYY· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #54
T13
Bo Bichette3B
NYM@SD· 2-for-5
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #67
T13
Gabriel MorenoC
AZvsWSH· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #68
T13
Yohendrick PiñangoLF
TORvsBAL· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #86
T13
Bryce Harper1B
PHIvsCWS· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #93
T13
Trea TurnerSS
PHIvsCWS· 2-for-5
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #98
T13
Cam SmithRF
HOUvsATH· 2-for-3
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #107
T13
Josh Naylor1B
SEA@DET· 2-for-5
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #139
T13
Alec Bohm3B
PHIvsCWS· 2-for-3
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #141
T13
Colton CowserCF
BAL@TOR· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #152
T13
Randal GrichukDH
CWS@PHI· 2-for-3
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #153
T13
Kody Clemens1B
MINvsKC· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #158
T13
Nick Loftin3B
KC@MIN· 2-for-3
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #183
T13
Vinnie Pasquantino1B
KC@MIN· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #185
T13
Brent RookerDH
ATH@HOU· 2-for-3
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #186
T13
Geraldo PerdomoSS
AZvsWSH· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #193
T13
Lawrence ButlerRF
ATH@HOU· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #211
T13
Marcus Semien2B
NYM@SD· 2-for-5
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #218
T13
Matt Chapman3B
SF@CHC· 2-for-3
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #220
T13
Blaze Alexander3B
BAL@TOR· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #229
T13
Matt McLain2B
CIN@STL· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #244
T13
Andrés GiménezSS
TORvsBAL· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 0.8 H, #258
T13
Freddy FerminC
SDvsNYM· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 0.7 H, #269
T13
Wenceel PérezRF
DETvsSEA· 2-for-3
2HFinal
Proj 0.7 H, #270
T13
Nathaniel Lowe1B
CIN@STL· 2-for-3
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H
T13
Jesús SánchezRF
TORvsBAL· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H
T13
Spencer Horwitz1B
PIT@ATL· 2-for-3
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H
T13
Luke RaleyRF
SEA@DET· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H
T13
Steven KwanLF
CLE@TEX· 2-for-3
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H
57
Jung Hoo LeeRF
SF@CHC· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #5
T57
Yandy DíazDH
TB@MIA· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #8
T57
Brice Turang2B
MIL@COL· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #11
T57
Yordan AlvarezDH
HOUvsATH· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #13
T57
Luis Arraez2B
SF@CHC· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #15
T57
Pete Crow-ArmstrongCF
CHCvsSF· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #16
T57
Blake DunnCF
CIN@STL· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #19
T57
Alec Burleson1B
STLvsCIN· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #21
T57
Maikel Garcia3B
KC@MIN· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #27
T57
Nicky Lopez2B
TEXvsCLE· 1-for-1
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #31
T57
Lane ThomasLF
KC@MIN· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #36
T57
Wade MecklerLF
LAA@LAD· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #37
T57
Ernie Clement2B
TORvsBAL· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #40
T57
Ozzie Albies2B
ATLvsPIT· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #41
T57
Nick Kurtz1B
ATH@HOU· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #45
T57
Ian HappLF
CHCvsSF· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #47
T57
Zach NetoSS
LAA@LAD· 1-for-6
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #50
T57
Jake McCarthyLF
COLvsMIL· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #53
T57
Julio RodríguezCF
SEA@DET· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #55
T57
Jared Young1B
NYM@SD· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #59
T57
CJ AbramsSS
WSH@AZ· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #60
T57
Fernando Tatis Jr.RF
SDvsNYM· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #62
T57
Tristan GraySS
MINvsKC· 1-for-1
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #63
T57
Hunter GoodmanC
COLvsMIL· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #66
T57
Jonathan Aranda1B
TB@MIA· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #70
T57
Corbin CarrollRF
AZvsWSH· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #73
T57
Chase Meidroth2B
CWS@PHI· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #74
T57
Miguel Vargas3B
CWS@PHI· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #77
T57
Willson Contreras1B
BOS@NYY· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #79
T57
Michael Busch1B
CHCvsSF· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #80
T57
A.J. EwingCF
NYM@SD· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #81
T57
Max Muncy3B
LADvsLAA· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #85
T57
Nolan Arenado3B
AZvsWSH· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #90
T57
Ezequiel TovarSS
COLvsMIL· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #91
T57
Colson MontgomerySS
CWS@PHI· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #92
T57
Kyle Stowers1B
MIAvsTB· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #100
T57
Nick Madrigal3B
LAA@LAD· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #101
T57
Randy ArozarenaLF
SEA@DET· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #102
T57
Starling MarteRF
KC@MIN· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #104
T57
Dane MyersCF
CIN@STL· 1-for-1
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #105
T57
Adley RutschmanC
BAL@TOR· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #106
T57
Justin Foscue2B
TEXvsCLE· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #109
T57
Mickey GasperC
BOS@NYY· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #111
T57
José FermínLF
STLvsCIN· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #114
T57
Bryson Stott2B
PHIvsCWS· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #115
T57
Jazz Chisholm Jr.2B
NYYvsBOS· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #116
T57
Taylor WardDH
BAL@TOR· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #123
T57
Bryan TorresLF
STLvsCIN· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #126
T57
Luis RengifoLF
MIL@COL· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #128
T57
Jake MangumCF
PIT@ATL· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #131
T57
Joey OrtizSS
MIL@COL· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #135
T57
Keibert RuizC
WSH@AZ· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #138
T57
Ryan WardLF
LADvsLAA· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #144
T57
Curtis Mead3B
WSH@AZ· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #146
T57
Jhonny PeredaC
SEA@DET· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #148
T57
Ryan WaldschmidtCF
AZvsWSH· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #149
T57
Nelson VelázquezLF
STLvsCIN· 1-for-1
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #150
T57
Evan CarterCF
TEXvsCLE· 1-for-1
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #154
T57
Jackson MerrillCF
SDvsNYM· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #157
T57
Shea LangeliersC
ATH@HOU· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #160
T57
Chase DeLauterRF
CLE@TEX· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #162
T57
Nathan LukesRF
TORvsBAL· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #166
T57
Zack Gelof3B
ATH@HOU· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #167
T57
Ryan ViladeRF
TB@MIA· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #171
T57
Brandon ValenzuelaC
TORvsBAL· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #173
T57
Richie Palacios2B
TB@MIA· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #174
T57
Pavin Smith1B
AZvsWSH· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #176
T57
Edwin Arroyo2B
CIN@STL· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #177
T57
Kazuma Okamoto3B
TORvsBAL· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #180
T57
Carter JensenC
KC@MIN· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #182
T57
Angel MartínezLF
CLE@TEX· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #184
T57
Patrick Wisdom3B
SEA@DET· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #188
T57
Colt EmersonSS
SEA@DET· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #198
T57
Michael HelmanCF
TEXvsCLE· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #199
T57
David FryRF
CLE@TEX· 1-for-1
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #200
T57
Brett Baty3B
NYM@SD· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #201
T57
Luke Keaschall2B
MINvsKC· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #202
T57
Justin CrawfordCF
PHIvsCWS· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #204
T57
José CaballeroSS
NYYvsBOS· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #205
T57
Alex CallLF
LADvsLAA· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #210
T57
Victor Mesa Jr.RF
TB@MIA· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #213
T57
Josh BellDH
MINvsKC· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #217
T57
Xander BogaertsSS
SDvsNYM· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #221
T57
Rafael MarchánC
PHIvsCWS· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #222
T57
Tyler TolbertSS
KC@MIN· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #223
T57
Royce Lewis1B
MINvsKC· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #224
T57
Trevor LarnachLF
MINvsKC· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #231
T57
Tyler O'NeillRF
BAL@TOR· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #232
T57
Hunter FeducciaC
TB@MIA· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #235
T57
Jakob MarseeCF
MIAvsTB· 1-for-1
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #239
T57
Seiya SuzukiRF
CHCvsSF· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #241
T57
Andruw MonasterioSS
BOS@NYY· 1-for-1
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #242
T57
Jackson Holliday2B
BAL@TOR· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #243
T57
Elias DíazC
TEXvsCLE· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #245
T57
Patrick BaileyC
CLE@TEX· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #246
T57
Troy JohnstonRF
COLvsMIL· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #247
T57
MJ MelendezDH
NYM@SD· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #248
T57
Spencer Torkelson1B
DETvsSEA· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #250
T57
Samad TaylorLF
SDvsNYM· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #251
T57
Victor CaratiniC
MINvsKC· 1-for-1
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #252
T57
Alika WilliamsSS
ATH@HOU· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #253
T57
Nico Hoerner2B
CHCvsSF· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.8 H, #263
T57
Carson KellyC
CHCvsSF· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.8 H, #266
T57
Endy RodríguezC
PIT@ATL· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 0.8 H, #267
T57
Zach McKinstry2B
DETvsSEA· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.8 H, #268
T57
Wyatt LangfordLF
TEXvsCLE· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H
T57
Moisés BallesterosDH
CHCvsSF· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H
T57
Amed Rosario3B
NYYvsBOS· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H
T57
Heriberto HernándezLF
MIAvsTB· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H
T57
Blake PerkinsCF
MIL@COL· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H
T57
Brandon NimmoRF
TEXvsCLE· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H
T57
Rikuu NishidaRF
CWS@PHI· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H
T57
Nick AllenSS
HOUvsATH· 1-for-1
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H
T57
LuJames Groover1B
AZvsWSH· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H
T57
Miguel AndujarDH
SDvsNYM· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H
T57
Braxton FulfordDH
COLvsMIL· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H
T57
Anthony Seigler2B
BOS@NYY· 1-for-1
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H
T57
Sandy LeónC
ATLvsPIT· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H

Best MLB Hits Matchups — Sunday, June 7, 2026

Jackson Chourio (MIL) is the top hits matchup on the Sunday, June 7, 2026 board at 100, with Andrew Vaughn (MIL) and Nick Gonzales (PIT) right behind. Every hitter on the slate is ranked by who's most likely to get a hit — handedness splits, the pitcher and bullpen they're facing, batting order, park, and weather. It's the read DFS and prop players make before lock.

Top hits spot: Jackson Chourio

Jackson Chourio (MIL) tops the board at 100, facing LHP Kyle Freeland. The righty is hitting .250 H/PA against lefties this year — and .222 over the last two weeks, a strong bat that turns into a hit in about 25% of his trips. And Kyle Freeland has been getting tattooed by lefties lately — .333 hits per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's owned Kyle Freeland too — .333 across 9 career trips. It all sets up in a hitter's park.

The rest of the top of the board

Andrew Vaughn (MIL) (92) vs LHP Kyle Freeland: an excellent bat at .285 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.333), hitter's park.
Nick Gonzales (PIT) (91) vs RHP Bryce Elder: an excellent bat at .280 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.421), hot bat.
Sam Antonacci (CWS) (90) vs RHP Aaron Nola: a strong bat at .265 into an arm tough on the same side (.182), due to bounce back.
Jung Hoo Lee (SF) (86) vs RHP Jameson Taillon: an elite bat at .344 into an arm vulnerable to the same side (.280), hot bat.
Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) (84) vs LHP Ranger Suarez: an elite bat at .302 into an arm mostly holding up against the same side (.229).
William Contreras (MIL) (83) vs LHP Kyle Freeland: a solid bat at .248 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.333), hitter's park.
Yandy Díaz (TB) (80) vs RHP Sandy Alcantara: an excellent bat at .285 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.350).

Pitchers getting tattooed today

RHP Bryce Elder has been vulnerable to righties — .287 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Nick Gonzales (PIT), Davis Wendzel (PIT), and Ryan O'Hearn (PIT).
LHP Kyle Freeland has been vulnerable to lefties — .281 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Jackson Chourio (MIL), Andrew Vaughn (MIL), and William Contreras (MIL).
RHP Mike Burrows has been vulnerable to righties — .260 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Nick Kurtz (ATH), Henry Bolte (ATH), and Tyler Soderstrom (ATH).
RHP Sandy Alcantara has been giving up plenty to righties — .256 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Yandy Díaz (TB), Junior Caminero (TB), and Jonathan Aranda (TB).

Platoon edges to target

Jackson Chourio (MIL) — righty bat vs LHP, .250 against lefties this year.
Andrew Vaughn (MIL) — righty bat vs LHP, .400 against lefties this year.
Sam Antonacci (CWS) — lefty bat vs RHP, .277 against righties this year.
Jung Hoo Lee (SF) — lefty bat vs RHP, .323 against righties this year.
Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) — righty bat vs LHP, .323 against lefties this year.

Best parks to hit in today

Coors Field is playing as a real hitter's park today (+6% hits park). Top bat there: Jackson Chourio (MIL) at 100.

Hot bats and bounce-back spots

Swinging hot bats: Nick Gonzales (PIT), Jung Hoo Lee (SF), Brice Turang (MIL), Yordan Alvarez (HOU), Jeremy Peña (HOU), and Luis Arraez (SF). Cold but due to bounce back: Jackson Chourio (MIL), Sam Antonacci (CWS), TJ Rumfield (COL), Nicky Lopez (TEX), and Ozzie Albies (ATL).

How it played out

7 of the top 10 hits matchups landed at least one hit. Top play Jackson Chourio finished with 3 hits. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.

How to read these hits matchups

Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's hits per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.

Keep reading

What the hits board is

The Hits board projects the chance a hitter records at least one hit, matchup-adjusted. One statistical model scores every matchup on the slate the same way — a star and a backup judged on the matchup in front of them, not their name — and every number is graded against the real box score once the games go final.

How the model gets its number

It isn't a gut call or a name game. The projection is built from a few things:

The hitter's contact rate vs this pitcher's hand.
The starter's hit-suppression and the park.
Recent form, without over-reacting to a hot or cold week.

Those pieces combine into one number, and the model re-tunes itself weekly against how its past calls actually landed.

Is there a betting edge here?

Hits is an efficient market — the book prices a 1+ hit line about as well as we do, so we publish our number as graded transparency, not a play. Our projection is sharp (the ranking is well-calibrated); the book just isn't leaving room on it.

How to use it

Use it to see who the model likes to square one up, and how that squares with the price — but there's no systematic edge here, so treat it as research, not a lean.

Everything here is a research signal from the model, graded in public — not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Learn more: How the model works · The picks story · Today's plays

Frequently asked questions

Who has the best hits matchup today (Sunday, June 7, 2026)?: Jackson Chourio (MIL) — top of the board at 100, facing LHP Kyle Freeland. A strong bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.
What are the best MLB hits matchups today (Sunday, June 7, 2026)?: The top hits matchups on Sunday, June 7, 2026: Jackson Chourio (100), Andrew Vaughn (92), Nick Gonzales (91), Sam Antonacci (90), Jung Hoo Lee (86). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by hits upside.
Did the top hits matchup get a hit on Sunday, June 7, 2026?: Yes — Jackson Chourio got 3 hits.
Which hitters have a platoon edge today?: Jackson Chourio (MIL) — righty bat vs LHP, .250 against lefties this year. Andrew Vaughn (MIL) — righty bat vs LHP, .400 against lefties this year. Sam Antonacci (CWS) — lefty bat vs RHP, .277 against righties this year. Jung Hoo Lee (SF) — lefty bat vs RHP, .323 against righties this year. Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) — righty bat vs LHP, .323 against lefties this year.
Which parks favor hits today?: Coors Field is playing as a real hitter's park today (+6% hits park). Top bat there: Jackson Chourio (MIL) at 100.
Which pitchers are most vulnerable today?: RHP Bryce Elder has been vulnerable to righties — .287 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Nick Gonzales (PIT), Davis Wendzel (PIT), and Ryan O'Hearn (PIT). LHP Kyle Freeland has been vulnerable to lefties — .281 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Jackson Chourio (MIL), Andrew Vaughn (MIL), and William Contreras (MIL). RHP Mike Burrows has been vulnerable to righties — .260 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Nick Kurtz (ATH), Henry Bolte (ATH), and Tyler Soderstrom (ATH). RHP Sandy Alcantara has been giving up plenty to righties — .256 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Yandy Díaz (TB), Junior Caminero (TB), and Jonathan Aranda (TB).
Are any hitters hot or due today?: Swinging hot bats: Nick Gonzales (PIT), Jung Hoo Lee (SF), Brice Turang (MIL), Yordan Alvarez (HOU), Jeremy Peña (HOU), and Luis Arraez (SF). Cold but due to bounce back: Jackson Chourio (MIL), Sam Antonacci (CWS), TJ Rumfield (COL), Nicky Lopez (TEX), and Ozzie Albies (ATL).
How is the hits matchup score calculated?: It's a weighted read of how often he gets a hit against the hand he's facing — last two weeks first, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then the opposing bullpen, his spot in the order, and the yard. Scores run 0–100 across the slate, so today's best matchup is always 100.
What does H/PA mean?: It's the share of a hitter's trips to the plate that end in a hit. Around .250 is league average. .300+ is elite. We use it instead of batting average because it's measured per plate appearance — exactly what a daily matchup is asking.
What does the score actually mean?: Higher is better for the hitter. 80s and 90s mean the bat, the arm, and the yard all point the same way. 40s and 50s mean it's neutral to tough. It ranks today's spots against each other — it isn't the odds of a hit.
What's the confidence meter?: It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a hit.
What is a platoon split (handedness split)?: Most bats hit the opposite hand better, and on a contact board that gap is mostly about seeing the ball early — a lefty picks up a righty's fastball a beat sooner and shoots it the other way. The score leans on each hitter's rate against the hand he's facing today, so the same guy can lead this board on Tuesday and sit mid-pack on Wednesday.
What are park factors?: Parks aren't neutral for base hits. Big outfield gaps and fast turf turn playable balls into singles and doubles; deep foul ground eats an extra out an inning. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it.
What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?: The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.
What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?: "≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a hit in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.
Can I use this for hits props or DFS?: That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ hit" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)
How accurate is the model?: We grade every board against the box score, and the top of the hits board lands a hit far more often than the slate as a whole. Weights are re-tuned weekly on a held-out split, and because results sit next to the projections you can audit any past date yourself.
When do lineups update?: Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.