Best MLB Hits Matchups — Sunday, June 7, 2026
Top hits spot: Jackson Chourio
Jackson Chourio (MIL) tops the board at 100, facing LHP Kyle Freeland. The righty is hitting .250 H/PA against lefties this year — and .222 over the last two weeks, a strong bat that turns into a hit in about 25% of his trips. And Kyle Freeland has been getting tattooed by lefties lately — .333 hits per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's owned Kyle Freeland too — .333 across 9 career trips. It all sets up in a hitter's park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Andrew Vaughn (MIL) (92) vs LHP Kyle Freeland: an excellent bat at .285 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.333), hitter's park.
- Nick Gonzales (PIT) (91) vs RHP Bryce Elder: an excellent bat at .280 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.421), hot bat.
- Sam Antonacci (CWS) (90) vs RHP Aaron Nola: a strong bat at .265 into an arm tough on the same side (.182), due to bounce back.
- Jung Hoo Lee (SF) (86) vs RHP Jameson Taillon: an elite bat at .344 into an arm vulnerable to the same side (.280), hot bat.
- Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) (84) vs LHP Ranger Suarez: an elite bat at .302 into an arm mostly holding up against the same side (.229).
- William Contreras (MIL) (83) vs LHP Kyle Freeland: a solid bat at .248 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.333), hitter's park.
- Yandy Díaz (TB) (80) vs RHP Sandy Alcantara: an excellent bat at .285 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.350).
Pitchers getting tattooed today
- RHP Bryce Elder has been vulnerable to righties — .287 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Nick Gonzales (PIT), Davis Wendzel (PIT), and Ryan O'Hearn (PIT).
- LHP Kyle Freeland has been vulnerable to lefties — .281 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Jackson Chourio (MIL), Andrew Vaughn (MIL), and William Contreras (MIL).
- RHP Mike Burrows has been vulnerable to righties — .260 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Nick Kurtz (ATH), Henry Bolte (ATH), and Tyler Soderstrom (ATH).
- RHP Sandy Alcantara has been giving up plenty to righties — .256 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Yandy Díaz (TB), Junior Caminero (TB), and Jonathan Aranda (TB).
Platoon edges to target
- Jackson Chourio (MIL) — righty bat vs LHP, .250 against lefties this year.
- Andrew Vaughn (MIL) — righty bat vs LHP, .400 against lefties this year.
- Sam Antonacci (CWS) — lefty bat vs RHP, .277 against righties this year.
- Jung Hoo Lee (SF) — lefty bat vs RHP, .323 against righties this year.
- Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) — righty bat vs LHP, .323 against lefties this year.
Best parks to hit in today
Coors Field is playing as a real hitter's park today (+6% hits park). Top bat there: Jackson Chourio (MIL) at 100.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Nick Gonzales (PIT), Jung Hoo Lee (SF), Brice Turang (MIL), Yordan Alvarez (HOU), Jeremy Peña (HOU), and Luis Arraez (SF). Cold but due to bounce back: Jackson Chourio (MIL), Sam Antonacci (CWS), TJ Rumfield (COL), Nicky Lopez (TEX), and Ozzie Albies (ATL).
How it played out
7 of the top 10 hits matchups landed at least one hit. Top play Jackson Chourio finished with 3 hits. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these hits matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's hits per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.