Who has the best hits matchup today (Thursday, August 13, 2026)?

Shohei Ohtani (LAD) — top of the board at 100, facing LHP Shane Drohan. An excellent bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.

What are the best MLB hits matchups today (Thursday, August 13, 2026)?

The top hits matchups on Thursday, August 13, 2026: Shohei Ohtani (100), Wade Meckler (100), Ceddanne Rafaela (87), Andy Pages (83), Steven Kwan (83). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by hits upside.

Did the top hits matchup get a hit on Thursday, August 13, 2026?

Yes — Shohei Ohtani got 1 hit.

Which hitters have a platoon edge today?

Wade Meckler (LAA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .278 against righties this year. Andy Pages (LAD) — righty bat vs LHP, .242 against lefties this year. Steven Kwan (CLE) — lefty bat vs RHP, .244 against righties this year. CJ Abrams (WSH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .256 against righties this year. Brandon Lowe (PIT) — lefty bat vs RHP, .242 against righties this year.

How is the hits matchup score calculated?

It's a weighted read of how often he gets a hit against the hand he's facing — last two weeks first, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then the opposing bullpen, his spot in the order, and the yard. Scores run 0–100 across the slate, so today's best matchup is always 100.

It's the share of a hitter's trips to the plate that end in a hit. Around .250 is league average. .300+ is elite. We use it instead of batting average because it's measured per plate appearance — exactly what a daily matchup is asking.

What does the score actually mean?

Higher is better for the hitter. 80s and 90s mean the bat, the arm, and the yard all point the same way. 40s and 50s mean it's neutral to tough. It ranks today's spots against each other — it isn't the odds of a hit.

What's the confidence meter?

It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a hit.

What is a platoon split (handedness split)?

Most bats hit the opposite hand better, and on a contact board that gap is mostly about seeing the ball early — a lefty picks up a righty's fastball a beat sooner and shoots it the other way. The score leans on each hitter's rate against the hand he's facing today, so the same guy can lead this board on Tuesday and sit mid-pack on Wednesday.

What are park factors?

Parks aren't neutral for base hits. Big outfield gaps and fast turf turn playable balls into singles and doubles; deep foul ground eats an extra out an inning. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it.

What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?

The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.

What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?

"≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a hit in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.

Can I use this for hits props or DFS?

That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ hit" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)

How accurate is the model?

We grade every board against the box score, and the top of the hits board lands a hit far more often than the slate as a whole. Weights are re-tuned weekly on a held-out split, and because results sit next to the projections you can audit any past date yourself.

When do lineups update?

Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.

Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Best MLB hits matchups — Thursday, August 13, 2026

Every hitter on the Thursday, August 13, 2026 slate — ranked by who's most likely to get a hit. Results show how each call played out.

How the model did — Thursday, August 13, 2026

Our top 5 hitters went 3/5 (60%) on 1+ hit, against 67% on the season.

Top 5

3/560%

season 67%

Top 10

6/1060%

season 68%

Full slate

86/16253%

season 58%

Top call Shohei Ohtani came through. Andy Pages didn't.

Each hitter below carries a 0–100 matchup score — a read on the spot in front of him, not a ranking of how good he is, so a star in a brutal matchup can sit below an average hitter in a soft one. Confidence next to it is coverage: how much real data backs the number. Every call here was graded against the box score — wins and misses both, with the record on this page. How this board is built →

Final · 0–3

CLEaway

DEThomeTop matchup83 Final · 9–8

CINaway

CWShomeTop matchup74 Final · 13–1

PITaway

MIAhomeTop matchup76 Final · 1–0

SEAaway

NYYhomeTop matchup73 Final · 7–0

BOSaway

TORhomeTop matchup87 Final · 0–7

CHCaway

WSHhomeTop matchup78 Final · 7–1

PHIaway

MINhomeTop matchup82 Final · 0–7

TEXaway

LAAhomeTop matchup100 Final · 5–4

MILaway

LADhomeTop matchup100

Not starting41 not in the official lineup — moved to the bottom

PosSort

#Hitter · Matchup · 203 shownScore

89 with a HLive count — updates as games play

1
Luis Arraez2B
PHI@MIN· 3-for-5
3HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #29
T1
Mike TroutCF
LAAvsTEX· 3-for-5
3HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #58
T1
Jake MangumCF
PIT@MIA· 3-for-4
3HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #63
T1
Denzer Guzman3B
LAAvsTEX· 3-for-4
3HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #78
T1
Caleb Durbin3B
BOS@TOR· 3-for-5
3HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #133
T1
Jared TrioloSS
PIT@MIA· 3-for-4
3HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #140
T1
Edgar QueroC
CWSvsCIN· 3-for-5
3HFinal
Proj 0.8 H, #146
8
Ceddanne RafaelaCF
BOS@TOR· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #3
T8
Abimelec Ortiz1B
WSHvsCHC· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #7
T8
Chase Meidroth2B
CWSvsCIN· 2-for-3
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #12
T8
Spencer Torkelson1B
DETvsCLE· 2-for-3
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #13
T8
Randal GrichukDH
CWSvsCIN· 2-for-3
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #14
T8
Luis García Jr.1B
NYYvsSEA· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #15
T8
Spencer Horwitz1B
PIT@MIA· 2-for-6
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #22
T8
Sal Stewart1B
CIN@CWS· 2-for-3
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #24
T8
Daylen LileLF
WSHvsCHC· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #25
T8
Nick Gonzales3B
PIT@MIA· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #26
T8
Ryan JeffersC
MINvsPHI· 2-for-3
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #38
T8
Tyler StephensonC
CIN@CWS· 2-for-3
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #39
T8
Chase DeLauterRF
CLE@DET· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #47
T8
Trevor LarnachLF
MINvsPHI· 2-for-5
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #54
T8
Masataka YoshidaDH
BOS@TOR· 2-for-3
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #66
T8
Kyle SchwarberDH
PHI@MIN· 2-for-5
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #73
T8
Andrew Vaughn1B
MIL@LAD· 2-for-2
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #85
T8
Dylan CrewsRF
WSHvsCHC· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #93
T8
Brandon MarshLF
PHI@MIN· 2-for-2
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #105
T8
Luke Keaschall2B
MINvsPHI· 2-for-3
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #107
T8
Esmerlyn ValdezRF
PIT@MIA· 2-for-5
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #108
T8
Josh LoweLF
LAAvsTEX· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #114
T8
Adam Frazier2B
LAAvsTEX· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #116
T8
Sam AntonacciLF
CWSvsCIN· 2-for-5
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #117
T8
Rafael Flores Jr.C
PIT@MIA· 2-for-5
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #138
33
Shohei OhtaniTWP
LADvsMIL· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #1
T33
Wade MecklerLF
LAAvsTEX· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #2
T33
Byron BuxtonCF
MINvsPHI· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #6
T33
CJ AbramsSS
WSHvsCHC· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #8
T33
Brandon Lowe2B
PIT@MIA· 1-for-6
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #11
T33
Trea TurnerSS
PHI@MIN· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #20
T33
Teoscar HernándezLF
LADvsMIL· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #23
T33
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.1B
TORvsBOS· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #31
T33
Randy ArozarenaLF
SEA@NYY· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #33
T33
Nolan Schanuel1B
LAAvsTEX· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #34
T33
Andrés Chaparro1B
WSHvsCHC· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #35
T33
Trent GrishamCF
NYYvsSEA· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #42
T33
Bryce Harper1B
PHI@MIN· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #44
T33
Wilyer AbreuRF
BOS@TOR· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #48
T33
Michael Busch1B
CHC@WSH· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #49
T33
Bryson Stott2B
PHI@MIN· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #50
T33
Elly De La CruzSS
CIN@CWS· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #51
T33
Josh Naylor1B
SEA@NYY· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #52
T33
Eduardo ValenciaDH
DETvsCLE· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #53
T33
Wyatt LangfordLF
TEX@LAA· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #57
T33
Jakob MarseeCF
MIAvsPIT· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #59
T33
Vaughn Grissom2B
LAAvsTEX· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #61
T33
Griffin ConineRF
MIAvsPIT· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #65
T33
Brenton DoyleCF
CWSvsCIN· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #72
T33
Javier BáezSS
DETvsCLE· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #74
T33
Moisés BallesterosDH
LAAvsTEX· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #76
T33
Kevin McGonigleSS
DETvsCLE· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #79
T33
Willson Contreras1B
BOS@TOR· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #80
T33
Julio RodríguezCF
SEA@NYY· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #81
T33
Jose SiriCF
LAAvsTEX· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #83
T33
Jacob GonzalezSS
PIT@MIA· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #87
T33
Eugenio SuárezDH
CIN@CWS· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #88
T33
Jorbit Vivas3B
WSHvsCHC· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #89
T33
Gary SánchezC
MIL@LAD· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #95
T33
Dane MyersCF
CIN@CWS· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #97
T33
Nicky Lopez2B
TEX@LAA· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #109
T33
Ali SánchezC
NYYvsSEA· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #113
T33
Andruw MonasterioSS
BOS@TOR· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #119
T33
Justin CrawfordCF
PHI@MIN· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #120
T33
Ben RortvedtC
LADvsMIL· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #121
T33
Jhonny PeredaC
SEA@NYY· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #125
T33
Ben MalgeriRF
DETvsCLE· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #126
T33
Brady House3B
WSHvsCHC· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #127
T33
Austin WynnsC
TEX@LAA· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #129
T33
Alec Bohm3B
PHI@MIN· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #137
T33
Kaelen CulpepperSS
MINvsPHI· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #143
T33
Weston Wilson3B
SEA@NYY· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 0.8 H, #144
T33
Luisangel AcuñaSS
CWSvsCIN· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 0.8 H, #145
T33
Christian YelichDH
MIL@LAD· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #147
T33
Owen CaissieRF
MIAvsPIT· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.8 H, #148
T33
Evan CarterCF
TEX@LAA· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #151
T33
Ke'Bryan Hayes3B
CIN@CWS· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.8 H, #152
T33
Nathan LukesRF
TORvsBOS· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #154
T33
Brayan RocchioSS
CLE@DET· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.8 H, #159
T33
Andrew BenintendiDH
CWSvsCIN· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H
T33
Max Muncy3B
LADvsMIL· 1-for-1
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H
T33
Angel MartínezLF
CLE@DET· 1-for-1
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H

Best MLB Hits Matchups — Thursday, August 13, 2026

Shohei Ohtani (LAD) is the top hits matchup on the Thursday, August 13, 2026 board at 100, with Wade Meckler (LAA) and Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) right behind. Every hitter on the slate is ranked by who's most likely to get a hit — handedness splits, the pitcher and bullpen they're facing, batting order, park, and weather. It's the read DFS and prop players make before lock.

Top hits spot: Shohei Ohtani

Shohei Ohtani (LAD) tops the board at 100, facing LHP Shane Drohan. The lefty is hitting .270 H/PA against lefties this year — and .407 over the last two weeks, an excellent bat that turns into a hit in about 28% of his trips. And Shane Drohan has been thin against lefties lately. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's just .000 in 1 career PA against Shane Drohan, but that's a tiny sample and the matchup says regression. It all sets up in a neutral park.

The rest of the top of the board

Wade Meckler (LAA) (100) vs RHP Jacob deGrom: a strong bat at .255 into an arm mostly holding up against the same side (.235), hot bat.
Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) (87) vs RHP Max Scherzer: an excellent bat at .278 into an arm tough on the same side (.167).
Andy Pages (LAD) (83) vs LHP Shane Drohan: a strong bat at .256 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
Steven Kwan (CLE) (83) vs RHP Keider Montero: an excellent bat at .272 into an arm tough on the same side (.133), hot bat.
Byron Buxton (MIN) (82) vs RHP Aaron Nola: a solid bat at .239 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.444), due to bounce back.
Abimelec Ortiz (WSH) (78) vs RHP Kevin Gausman: a solid bat at .245 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.308).
CJ Abrams (WSH) (78) vs RHP Kevin Gausman: a solid bat at .234 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.308).

Pitchers getting tattooed today

RHP Aaron Nola has been vulnerable to righties — .271 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Byron Buxton (MIN), Royce Lewis (MIN), and Ryan Jeffers (MIN).

Platoon edges to target

Wade Meckler (LAA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .278 against righties this year.
Andy Pages (LAD) — righty bat vs LHP, .242 against lefties this year.
Steven Kwan (CLE) — lefty bat vs RHP, .244 against righties this year.
CJ Abrams (WSH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .256 against righties this year.
Brandon Lowe (PIT) — lefty bat vs RHP, .242 against righties this year.

Hot bats and bounce-back spots

Swinging hot bats: Wade Meckler (LAA), Steven Kwan (CLE), Spencer Torkelson (DET), Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR), Keibert Ruiz (WSH), and Bryson Stott (PHI). Cold but due to bounce back: Byron Buxton (MIN), Jackson Chourio (MIL), Spencer Horwitz (PIT), Dillon Dingler (DET), and Andrés Chaparro (WSH).

How it played out

6 of the top 10 hits matchups landed at least one hit. Top play Shohei Ohtani finished with 1 hit. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.

How to read these hits matchups

Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's hits per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.

Keep reading

What the hits board is

The Hits board projects the chance a hitter records at least one hit, matchup-adjusted. One statistical model scores every matchup on the slate the same way — a star and a backup judged on the matchup in front of them, not their name — and every number is graded against the real box score once the games go final.

How the model gets its number

It isn't a gut call or a name game. The projection is built from a few things:

The hitter's contact rate vs this pitcher's hand.
The starter's hit-suppression and the park.
Recent form, without over-reacting to a hot or cold week.

Those pieces combine into one number, and the model re-tunes itself weekly against how its past calls actually landed.

Is there a betting edge here?

Hits is an efficient market — the book prices a 1+ hit line about as well as we do, so we publish our number as graded transparency, not a play. Our projection is sharp (the ranking is well-calibrated); the book just isn't leaving room on it.

How to use it

Use it to see who the model likes to square one up, and how that squares with the price — but there's no systematic edge here, so treat it as research, not a lean.

Everything here is a research signal from the model, graded in public — not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Learn more: How the model works · The picks story · Today's plays

Frequently asked questions

Who has the best hits matchup today (Thursday, August 13, 2026)?: Shohei Ohtani (LAD) — top of the board at 100, facing LHP Shane Drohan. An excellent bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.
What are the best MLB hits matchups today (Thursday, August 13, 2026)?: The top hits matchups on Thursday, August 13, 2026: Shohei Ohtani (100), Wade Meckler (100), Ceddanne Rafaela (87), Andy Pages (83), Steven Kwan (83). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by hits upside.
Did the top hits matchup get a hit on Thursday, August 13, 2026?: Yes — Shohei Ohtani got 1 hit.
Which hitters have a platoon edge today?: Wade Meckler (LAA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .278 against righties this year. Andy Pages (LAD) — righty bat vs LHP, .242 against lefties this year. Steven Kwan (CLE) — lefty bat vs RHP, .244 against righties this year. CJ Abrams (WSH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .256 against righties this year. Brandon Lowe (PIT) — lefty bat vs RHP, .242 against righties this year.
Which pitchers are most vulnerable today?: RHP Aaron Nola has been vulnerable to righties — .271 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Byron Buxton (MIN), Royce Lewis (MIN), and Ryan Jeffers (MIN).
Are any hitters hot or due today?: Swinging hot bats: Wade Meckler (LAA), Steven Kwan (CLE), Spencer Torkelson (DET), Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR), Keibert Ruiz (WSH), and Bryson Stott (PHI). Cold but due to bounce back: Byron Buxton (MIN), Jackson Chourio (MIL), Spencer Horwitz (PIT), Dillon Dingler (DET), and Andrés Chaparro (WSH).
How is the hits matchup score calculated?: It's a weighted read of how often he gets a hit against the hand he's facing — last two weeks first, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then the opposing bullpen, his spot in the order, and the yard. Scores run 0–100 across the slate, so today's best matchup is always 100.
What does H/PA mean?: It's the share of a hitter's trips to the plate that end in a hit. Around .250 is league average. .300+ is elite. We use it instead of batting average because it's measured per plate appearance — exactly what a daily matchup is asking.
What does the score actually mean?: Higher is better for the hitter. 80s and 90s mean the bat, the arm, and the yard all point the same way. 40s and 50s mean it's neutral to tough. It ranks today's spots against each other — it isn't the odds of a hit.
What's the confidence meter?: It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a hit.
What is a platoon split (handedness split)?: Most bats hit the opposite hand better, and on a contact board that gap is mostly about seeing the ball early — a lefty picks up a righty's fastball a beat sooner and shoots it the other way. The score leans on each hitter's rate against the hand he's facing today, so the same guy can lead this board on Tuesday and sit mid-pack on Wednesday.
What are park factors?: Parks aren't neutral for base hits. Big outfield gaps and fast turf turn playable balls into singles and doubles; deep foul ground eats an extra out an inning. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it.
What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?: The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.
What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?: "≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a hit in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.
Can I use this for hits props or DFS?: That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ hit" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)
How accurate is the model?: We grade every board against the box score, and the top of the hits board lands a hit far more often than the slate as a whole. Weights are re-tuned weekly on a held-out split, and because results sit next to the projections you can audit any past date yourself.
When do lineups update?: Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.