Best MLB Runs Matchups — Tuesday, May 26, 2026
Top runs spot: Konnor Griffin
Konnor Griffin (PIT) tops the board at 100, facing LHP Jordan Wicks. The righty is scoring at — R/PA against lefties this year, a solid bat that turns into a run in about 12% of his trips. And Jordan Wicks has been thin against lefties lately. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's just .000 in 3 career PA against Jordan Wicks, but that's a tiny sample and the matchup says regression. It all sets up in a neutral park, weather helping.
The rest of the top of the board
- Kevin Alcántara (CHC) (100) vs RHP Mitch Keller: a solid bat at .117 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Taylor Ward (BAL) (96) vs RHP Griffin Jax: a solid bat at .117 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Blake Dunn (CIN) (96) vs LHP David Peterson: a solid bat at .117 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Henry Bolte (ATH) (96) vs RHP Emerson Hancock: a solid bat at .117 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Jarren Duran (BOS) (92) vs RHP Spencer Strider: a solid bat at .117 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Ronald Acuña Jr. (ATL) (92) vs LHP Ranger Suarez: a solid bat at .117 into an arm with little track record against the same side, due to bounce back.
- Jared Triolo (PIT) (91) vs LHP Jordan Wicks: a solid bat at .117 into an arm with little track record against the same side, due to bounce back.
How it played out
5 of the top 10 runs matchups landed at least one run. Top play Konnor Griffin finished with 2 runs. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these runs matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's runs scored per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.