Best MLB Runs Matchups — Saturday, July 25, 2026
Top runs spot: Jackson Chourio
Jackson Chourio (MIL) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Ryan Feltner. The righty is scoring at .170 R/PA against righties this year — and .303 over the last two weeks, a strong bat that turns into a run in about 15% of his trips. And Ryan Feltner has been getting lit up by righties lately — .286 runs per batter faced. The bullpen behind him hasn't been any better to that side, so there's no relief late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. He's just .091 in 11 career PA against Ryan Feltner, but that's a tiny sample and the matchup says regression. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Christian Yelich (MIL) (85) vs RHP Ryan Feltner: a solid bat at .127 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.300).
- Brice Turang (MIL) (81) vs RHP Ryan Feltner: a strong bat at .140 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.300).
- Sam Antonacci (CWS) (75) vs RHP Hunter Brown: a strong bat at .141 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.200).
- Cole Carrigg (COL) (74) vs LHP Robert Gasser: a strong bat at .131 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.292).
- Elly De La Cruz (CIN) (74) vs RHP Andre Pallante: a strong bat at .138 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.240).
- Dillon Dingler (DET) (74) vs RHP Michael Wacha: a strong bat at .133 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.200).
- Munetaka Murakami (CWS) (73) vs RHP Hunter Brown: a strong bat at .146 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.200).
Platoon edges to target
- Christian Yelich (MIL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .162 against righties this year.
- Brice Turang (MIL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .176 against righties this year.
- Sam Antonacci (CWS) — lefty bat vs RHP, .174 against righties this year.
- Cole Carrigg (COL) — righty bat vs LHP, .200 against lefties this year.
- Elly De La Cruz (CIN) — lefty bat vs RHP, .154 against righties this year.
Lineup watch
270 of today's hitters are still on projected lineups, drawn from each team's last game. Batting order drives the score, so these flip the moment official lineups post — usually about two hours before first pitch. Anyone who doesn't make the official card gets flagged "Not starting" and drops to the bottom.
How to read these runs matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's runs scored per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.