Best MLB Singles Matchups — Sunday, June 7, 2026
Top singles spot: Willi Castro
Willi Castro (COL) tops the board at 100, facing LHP Shane Drohan. The righty is lining singles at — 1B/PA against lefties this year, a solid bat that turns into a single in about 14% of his trips. And Shane Drohan has been thin against lefties lately. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Shane Drohan. It all sets up in a hitter's park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Jackson Chourio (MIL) (100) vs LHP Kyle Freeland: a solid bat at .145 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hitter's park, due to bounce back.
- Kyle Schwarber (PHI) (97) vs LHP Tyler Gilbert: a solid bat at .145 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Sam Antonacci (CWS) (97) vs RHP Aaron Nola: a solid bat at .145 into an arm with little track record against the same side, due to bounce back.
- Brice Turang (MIL) (91) vs LHP Kyle Freeland: a solid bat at .145 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hitter's park, hot bat.
- Ezequiel Tovar (COL) (91) vs LHP Shane Drohan: a solid bat at .145 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hitter's park.
- Shohei Ohtani (LAD) (85) vs RHP José Soriano: a solid bat at .145 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Zach Neto (LAA) (85) vs RHP Emmet Sheehan: a solid bat at .145 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
Where singles fall in today
Coors Field is playing as a real hitter's park today (+6% single park). Top bat there: Willi Castro (COL) at 100.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Brice Turang (MIL), Miguel Vargas (CWS), Jeremy Peña (HOU), Cole Young (SEA), Brandon Marsh (PHI), and Alec Burleson (STL). Cold but due to bounce back: Jackson Chourio (MIL), Sam Antonacci (CWS), TJ Rumfield (COL), Mike Trout (LAA), and Nick Kurtz (ATH).
How it played out
6 of the top 10 singles matchups landed at least one single. Top play Willi Castro finished with 2 singles. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these singles matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's singles per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.