Best MLB Singles Matchups — Sunday, June 14, 2026
Top singles spot: Willi Castro
Willi Castro (COL) tops the board at 100, facing LHP Jeffrey Springs. The righty is lining singles at — 1B/PA against lefties this year, a solid bat that turns into a single in about 14% of his trips. And Jeffrey Springs has been thin against lefties lately. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's just .000 in 5 career PA against Jeffrey Springs, but that's a tiny sample and the matchup says regression. It all sets up in a neutral park, weather helping.
The rest of the top of the board
- Taylor Ward (BAL) (96) vs RHP Walker Buehler: a solid bat at .145 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) (96) vs LHP Trevor Rogers: a solid bat at .145 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Lawrence Butler (ATH) (92) vs RHP Tomoyuki Sugano: a solid bat at .145 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Michael Harris II (ATL) (92) vs RHP Freddy Peralta: a solid bat at .145 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Carson Benge (NYM) (92) vs RHP Bryce Elder: a solid bat at .145 into an arm with little track record against the same side, due to bounce back.
- Tyler Freeman (COL) (91) vs LHP Jeffrey Springs: a solid bat at .145 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Mauricio Dubón (ATL) (91) vs RHP Freddy Peralta: a solid bat at .145 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: James Wood (WSH), Shohei Ohtani (LAD), Liam Hicks (MIA), Otto Lopez (MIA), Nick Kurtz (ATH), and Paul Goldschmidt (NYY). Cold but due to bounce back: Carson Benge (NYM), Trevor Larnach (MIN), Hunter Goodman (COL), Sal Stewart (CIN), and Freddie Freeman (LAD).
How it played out
8 of the top 10 singles matchups landed at least one single. Top play Willi Castro finished with 2 singles. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these singles matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's singles per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.