Best MLB Singles Matchups — Friday, July 24, 2026
Top singles spot: Austin Martin
Austin Martin (MIN) tops the board at 100, facing LHP Jacob Lopez. The righty is lining singles at — 1B/PA against lefties this year, a solid bat that turns into a single in about 14% of his trips. And Jacob Lopez has been thin against lefties lately. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's just .000 in 2 career PA against Jacob Lopez, but that's a tiny sample and the matchup says regression. It all sets up in a neutral park, weather helping.
The rest of the top of the board
- Jacob Wilson (ATH) (100) vs RHP Zebby Matthews: a solid bat at .145 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hot bat.
- Trea Turner (PHI) (96) vs RHP Cam Schlittler: a solid bat at .145 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) (96) vs LHP Jesús Luzardo: a solid bat at .145 into an arm with little track record against the same side, due to bounce back.
- Luis Arraez (SF) (91) vs RHP Grayson Rodriguez: a solid bat at .145 into an arm with little track record against the same side, due to bounce back.
- Zach Neto (LAA) (91) vs RHP Logan Webb: a solid bat at .145 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- A.J. Ewing (NYM) (91) vs RHP Roki Sasaki: a solid bat at .145 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Shohei Ohtani (LAD) (91) vs LHP Sean Manaea: a solid bat at .145 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Jacob Wilson (ATH), Byron Buxton (MIN), Tyler Soderstrom (ATH), Shea Langeliers (ATH), Jake McCarthy (COL), and Jeremy Peña (HOU). Cold but due to bounce back: Austin Martin (MIN), Paul Goldschmidt (NYY), Luis Arraez (SF), Heliot Ramos (SF), and Juan Soto (NYM).
How it played out
3 of the top 10 singles matchups landed at least one single. Top play Austin Martin finished with 0 singles. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these singles matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's singles per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.