Best MLB Hits Matchups — Saturday, July 25, 2026
Top hits spot: Jacob Wilson
Jacob Wilson (ATH) tops the board at 100, facing RHP the starter. The righty is hitting .275 H/PA against righties this year — and .395 over the last two weeks, an excellent bat that turns into a hit in about 29% of his trips. And the starter has been thin against righties lately. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against the starter. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Yordan Alvarez (HOU) (93) vs RHP Sean Burke: an elite bat at .304 into an arm tough on the same side (.120), hot bat.
- Drake Baldwin (ATL) (91) vs RHP Brandon Young: an excellent bat at .279 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.296).
- Curtis Mead (WSH) (91) vs LHP Mitch Bratt: a strong bat at .265 into an arm giving up plenty to the same side (.259), due to bounce back.
- Ketel Marte (AZ) (90) vs LHP Foster Griffin: a strong bat at .264 into an arm vulnerable to the same side (.280).
- Nick Gonzales (PIT) (89) vs LHP Shota Imanaga: a strong bat at .253 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.302), hot bat.
- Jeremy Peña (HOU) (89) vs RHP Sean Burke: an excellent bat at .276 into an arm tough on the same side (.136), hot bat.
- Elly De La Cruz (CIN) (89) vs RHP Andre Pallante: a strong bat at .254 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.400).
Pitchers getting tattooed today
- RHP Andre Pallante has been vulnerable to righties — .272 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Elly De La Cruz (CIN), JJ Bleday (CIN), and Nathaniel Lowe (CIN).
- RHP Nathan Eovaldi has been giving up plenty to righties — .259 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Dominic Canzone (SEA), Julio Rodríguez (SEA), and Josh Naylor (SEA).
- LHP JP Sears has been giving up plenty to lefties — .255 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Otto Lopez (MIA), Heriberto Hernández (MIA), and Xavier Edwards (MIA).
Platoon edges to target
- Yordan Alvarez (HOU) — lefty bat vs RHP, .284 against righties this year.
- Drake Baldwin (ATL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .246 against righties this year.
- Curtis Mead (WSH) — righty bat vs LHP, .252 against lefties this year.
- Ketel Marte (AZ) — righty bat vs LHP, .278 against lefties this year.
- Nick Gonzales (PIT) — righty bat vs LHP, .250 against lefties this year.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Yordan Alvarez (HOU), Nick Gonzales (PIT), Jeremy Peña (HOU), Jake McCarthy (COL), Joc Pederson (TEX), and Tyler Soderstrom (ATH). Cold but due to bounce back: Curtis Mead (WSH), Esmerlyn Valdez (PIT), Bryan Reynolds (PIT), Garrett Mitchell (MIL), and Trea Turner (PHI).
Lineup watch
270 of today's hitters are still on projected lineups, drawn from each team's last game. Batting order drives the score, so these flip the moment official lineups post — usually about two hours before first pitch. Anyone who doesn't make the official card gets flagged "Not starting" and drops to the bottom.
How to read these hits matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's hits per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.