Best MLB Hits Matchups — Friday, July 24, 2026
Top hits spot: Jacob Wilson
Jacob Wilson (ATH) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Zebby Matthews. The righty is hitting .291 H/PA against righties this year — and .407 over the last two weeks, an excellent bat that turns into a hit in about 29% of his trips. And Zebby Matthews has been getting tattooed by righties lately — .333 hits per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's owned Zebby Matthews too — .667 across 3 career trips. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Luis Arraez (SF) (93) vs RHP Grayson Rodriguez: a strong bat at .262 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.333), due to bounce back.
- Yordan Alvarez (HOU) (90) vs RHP Davis Martin: an elite bat at .302 into an arm mostly holding up against the same side (.210), hot bat.
- Jeremy Peña (HOU) (89) vs RHP Davis Martin: an excellent bat at .276 into an arm giving up plenty to the same side (.250), hot bat.
- Yohendrick Piñango (TOR) (86) vs LHP Patrick Sandoval: a solid bat at .245 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.545).
- Jake McCarthy (COL) (85) vs LHP Shane Drohan: an excellent bat at .272 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hot bat.
- Tyler Soderstrom (ATH) (85) vs RHP Zebby Matthews: a solid bat at .245 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.429), hot bat.
- Drake Baldwin (ATL) (78) vs RHP the starter: a strong bat at .265 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
Pitchers getting tattooed today
- LHP Patrick Sandoval has been getting tattooed by lefties — .299 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Yohendrick Piñango (TOR), Ernie Clement (TOR), and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR).
- RHP Grayson Rodriguez has been vulnerable to righties — .281 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Luis Arraez (SF), Bryce Eldridge (SF), and Rafael Devers (SF).
- RHP Rhett Lowder has been vulnerable to righties — .278 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Alec Burleson (STL), JJ Wetherholt (STL), and Jordan Walker (STL).
- RHP Zebby Matthews has been vulnerable to righties — .260 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Jacob Wilson (ATH), Tyler Soderstrom (ATH), and Carlos Cortes (ATH).
Platoon edges to target
- Luis Arraez (SF) — lefty bat vs RHP, .290 against righties this year.
- Yordan Alvarez (HOU) — lefty bat vs RHP, .284 against righties this year.
- Tyler Soderstrom (ATH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .223 against righties this year.
- Byron Buxton (MIN) — righty bat vs LHP, .255 against lefties this year.
- Garrett Mitchell (MIL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .251 against righties this year.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Jacob Wilson (ATH), Yordan Alvarez (HOU), Jeremy Peña (HOU), Jake McCarthy (COL), Tyler Soderstrom (ATH), and Nick Gonzales (PIT). Cold but due to bounce back: Luis Arraez (SF), Garrett Mitchell (MIL), Max Kepler (AZ), Carlos Cortes (ATH), and Geraldo Perdomo (AZ).
Lineup watch
270 of today's hitters are still on projected lineups, drawn from each team's last game. Batting order drives the score, so these flip the moment official lineups post — usually about two hours before first pitch. Anyone who doesn't make the official card gets flagged "Not starting" and drops to the bottom.
How to read these hits matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's hits per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.