Best MLB home runs matchups — Tuesday, August 4, 2026

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.059

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs LHB4.2%

How often this starter gives up home runs to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season9 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-1

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.060

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs LHB2.4%

How often this starter gives up home runs to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.066

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs LHB5.3%

How often this starter gives up home runs to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.038

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-3

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.070

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs RHB3.4%

How often this starter gives up home runs to RHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season22 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +7%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-5

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.056

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs LHB2.3%

How often this starter gives up home runs to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season4 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-5

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.052

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs LHB5.3%

How often this starter gives up home runs to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.038

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-6

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.052

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs LHB3.8%

How often this starter gives up home runs to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season20 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-6

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.057

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs LHB3.8%

How often this starter gives up home runs to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season20 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-2

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.059

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs RHB3.2%

How often this starter gives up home runs to RHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season4 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +8%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.055

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs LHB3.2%

How often this starter gives up home runs to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season9 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.052

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs LHB4.1%

How often this starter gives up home runs to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season0 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.021

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.057

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs LHB3.1%

How often this starter gives up home runs to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season22 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-10

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.051

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs RHB3.0%

How often this starter gives up home runs to RHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season9 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.049

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs LHB4.1%

How often this starter gives up home runs to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season0 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.021

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.049

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs LHB3.6%

How often this starter gives up home runs to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-5

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.047

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs LHB3.6%

How often this starter gives up home runs to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-3

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.049

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs LHB3.2%

How often this starter gives up home runs to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.038

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs RHB3.6%

How often this starter gives up home runs to RHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season21 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-1

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.046

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs RHB2.9%

How often this starter gives up home runs to RHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-1

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.052

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs RHB3.6%

How often this starter gives up home runs to RHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season1 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.055

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs LHB3.8%

How often this starter gives up home runs to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season20 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.042

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs LHB4.5%

How often this starter gives up home runs to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season22 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-9

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.051

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs RHB2.7%

How often this starter gives up home runs to RHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season19 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.038

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.048

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs LHB3.8%

How often this starter gives up home runs to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season20 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.041

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs LHB2.7%

How often this starter gives up home runs to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head5-for-12

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.043

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs RHB3.6%

How often this starter gives up home runs to RHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season1 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-1

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.043

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs RHB3.6%

How often this starter gives up home runs to RHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season21 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-3

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.049

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs LHB3.2%

How often this starter gives up home runs to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season4 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.042

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +8%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.039

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs LHB3.2%

How often this starter gives up home runs to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season4 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.042

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +8%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.047

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs RHB2.5%

How often this starter gives up home runs to RHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-6

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.043

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs LHB1.42%

How often this starter gives up home runs to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season22 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-10

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.048

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs RHB2.7%

How often this starter gives up home runs to RHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season20 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-1

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.041

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs LHB4.5%

How often this starter gives up home runs to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season22 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-7

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.038

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs RHB2.7%

How often this starter gives up home runs to RHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season19 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.038

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-5

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.044

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs RHB2.9%

How often this starter gives up home runs to RHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.041

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Starter allows · home runs vs RHB3.2%

How often this starter gives up home runs to RHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Bullpen · HR allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

Projection

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.