Who has the best runs matchup today (Monday, August 10, 2026)?

Shohei Ohtani (LAD) — top of the board at 100, facing LHP Noah Cameron. A solid bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.

What are the best MLB runs matchups today (Monday, August 10, 2026)?

The top runs matchups on Monday, August 10, 2026: Shohei Ohtani (100), Wyatt Langford (100), Corbin Carroll (99), Geraldo Perdomo (97), JJ Wetherholt (97). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by runs upside.

Did the top runs matchup get a run on Monday, August 10, 2026?

Yes — Shohei Ohtani got 2 runs.

Which hitters have a platoon edge today?

Wyatt Langford (TEX) — righty bat vs LHP, .188 against lefties this year. Corbin Carroll (AZ) — lefty bat vs RHP, .144 against righties this year. Geraldo Perdomo (AZ) — lefty bat vs RHP, .130 against righties this year. JJ Wetherholt (STL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .178 against righties this year. Jake McCarthy (COL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .145 against righties this year.

How is the runs matchup score calculated?

It reads how often he scores against that hand, weighted to recent form, then asks how good the bats behind him are at bringing him home. Spot in the order matters more here than almost anywhere. Then the bullpen, park and weather. 0–100 across the slate.

It's the share of a hitter's plate appearances that end with him scoring a run. Around .117 is league average. Runs depend on getting on base and the bats behind you, so lineup spot and team context matter as much as the individual.

What does the score actually mean?

Higher is better. Runs scored is a team stat wearing one player's name — the top of the order in a good spot will out-grade a better hitter batting seventh, because he gets more trips and more help.

What's the confidence meter?

It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a run.

What is a platoon split (handedness split)?

Same idea as the other contact boards, with one wrinkle: scoring a run starts with reaching base. The score leans on his rate against today's hand, then asks whether the bats behind him can bring him around.

What are park factors?

A park that gives up hits gives up runs. Gaps, altitude, and weather all raise the odds a leadoff single turns into a crossed plate. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it.

What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?

The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.

What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?

"≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a run in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.

Can I use this for runs props or DFS?

That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ run" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)

How accurate is the model?

We grade every board against the box score. Runs scored leans on teammates, so the top of this board out-hits the slate by a smaller margin than the pure-contact boards do — the posted season rate shows exactly how much.

When do lineups update?

Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.

Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Best MLB runs matchups — Monday, August 10, 2026

Every hitter on the Monday, August 10, 2026 slate — ranked by who's most likely to score a run. Results show how each call played out.

How the model did — Monday, August 10, 2026

Our top 5 hitters went 5/5 (100%) on 1+ run, against 46% on the season.

Top 5

5/5100%

season 46%

Top 10

7/1070%

season 48%

Full slate

76/18042%

season 38%

Top call Shohei Ohtani came through. Jake McCarthy didn't.

Each hitter below carries a 0–100 matchup score — a read on the spot in front of him, not a ranking of how good he is, so a star in a brutal matchup can sit below an average hitter in a soft one. Confidence next to it is coverage: how much real data backs the number. Every call here was graded against the box score — wins and misses both, with the record on this page. How this board is built →

Final · 1–2

BOSaway

TORhomeTop matchup93 Final · 8–5

NYMaway

ATLhomeTop matchup85 Final · 5–9

BALaway

MINhomeTop matchup92 Final · 6–5

PHIaway

STLhomeTop matchup97 Final · 4–1

TEXaway

LAAhomeTop matchup100 Final · 0–9

COLaway

AZhomeTop matchup99 Final · 10–6

TBaway

ATHhomeTop matchup93 Final · 2–3

MILaway

SDhomeTop matchup95 Final · 6–3

HOUaway

SFhomeTop matchup96 Final · 5–6

KCaway

LADhomeTop matchup100

Not starting43 not in the official lineup — moved to the bottom

PosSort

#Hitter · Matchup · 223 shownScore

79 with a RLive count — updates as games play

1
Austin MartinRF
MINvsBAL· 4-for-5
3RFinal
Proj 0.6 R, #15
T1
Francisco LindorSS
NYM@ATL· 3-for-5
3RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #58
3
Shohei OhtaniTWP
LADvsKC· 2-for-4
2RFinal
Proj 0.6 R, #1
T3
Yandy DíazDH
TB@ATH· 3-for-4
2RFinal
Proj 0.6 R, #10
T3
Iván HerreraDH
STLvsPHI· 2-for-5
2RFinal
Proj 0.6 R, #13
T3
Ryan JeffersC
MINvsBAL· 2-for-4
2RFinal
Proj 0.6 R, #21
T3
Jonny DeLucaRF
TB@ATH· 3-for-5
2RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #50
T3
Brandon MarshLF
PHI@STL· 1-for-4
2RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #105
T3
Ryan WaldschmidtCF
AZvsCOL· 2-for-3
2RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #114
T3
Ty France1B
SDvsMIL· 2-for-3
2RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #116
T3
Cam SmithRF
HOU@SF· 3-for-4
2RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #133
T3
Zack Gelof3B
ATHvsTB· 2-for-4
2RFinal
Proj 0.4 R, #169
13
Wyatt LangfordLF
TEX@LAA· 0-for-2
1RFinal
Proj 0.6 R, #2
T13
Corbin CarrollRF
AZvsCOL· 1-for-3
1RFinal
Proj 0.6 R, #3
T13
Geraldo PerdomoSS
AZvsCOL· 0-for-2
1RFinal
Proj 0.6 R, #4
T13
JJ Wetherholt2B
STLvsPHI· 0-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.6 R, #5
T13
Jeremy PeñaSS
HOU@SF· 1-for-5
1RFinal
Proj 0.6 R, #6
T13
Gunnar HendersonSS
BAL@MIN· 0-for-3
1RFinal
Proj 0.6 R, #11
T13
Tyler SoderstromLF
ATHvsTB· 1-for-5
1RFinal
Proj 0.6 R, #12
T13
Pete Alonso1B
BAL@MIN· 1-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.6 R, #14
T13
Drake BaldwinC
ATLvsNYM· 2-for-5
1RFinal
Proj 0.6 R, #16
T13
Matt Olson1B
ATLvsNYM· 1-for-5
1RFinal
Proj 0.6 R, #18
T13
Corey SeagerSS
TEX@LAA· 1-for-5
1RFinal
Proj 0.6 R, #19
T13
Royce Lewis1B
MINvsBAL· 2-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.6 R, #20
T13
Junior Caminero3B
TB@ATH· 1-for-5
1RFinal
Proj 0.6 R, #22
T13
Jackson Holliday2B
BAL@MIN· 2-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.6 R, #23
T13
Jeff McNeil2B
ATHvsTB· 2-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.6 R, #26
T13
Jonathan Aranda1B
TB@ATH· 2-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #27
T13
Gabriel MorenoC
AZvsCOL· 2-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #28
T13
Yordan AlvarezDH
HOU@SF· 2-for-5
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #29
T13
Jung Hoo LeeRF
SFvsHOU· 2-for-5
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #31
T13
Lars NootbaarLF
AZvsCOL· 0-for-3
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #33
T13
Alec Burleson1B
STLvsPHI· 2-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #34
T13
Ryan ViladeRF
TB@ATH· 0-for-3
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #35
T13
Ketel Marte2B
AZvsCOL· 2-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #37
T13
Josh BellDH
MINvsBAL· 2-for-5
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #38
T13
Mike TroutCF
LAAvsTEX· 1-for-2
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #40
T13
Michael Harris IICF
ATLvsNYM· 2-for-5
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #41
T13
Ezequiel DuranSS
TEX@LAA· 1-for-5
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #43
T13
Jordan WalkerRF
STLvsPHI· 1-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #46
T13
Kyle SchwarberDH
PHI@STL· 2-for-3
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #51
T13
Nick Loftin3B
KC@LAD· 2-for-2
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #55
T13
Leody TaverasCF
BAL@MIN· 1-for-3
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #60
T13
Bobby Witt Jr.SS
KC@LAD· 0-for-3
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #65
T13
Luke Keaschall2B
MINvsBAL· 1-for-3
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #68
T13
Nolan Arenado3B
AZvsCOL· 2-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #72
T13
A.J. EwingCF
NYM@ATL· 1-for-5
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #74
T13
Derek HillCF
PHI@STL· 0-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #76
T13
Bryce EldridgeDH
SFvsHOU· 1-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #80
T13
William ContrerasC
MIL@SD· 0-for-2
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #82
T13
Carson BengeRF
NYM@ATL· 0-for-3
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #85
T13
Chandler SimpsonLF
TB@ATH· 2-for-5
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #86
T13
George SpringerDH
TORvsBOS· 1-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #90
T13
Bo Bichette3B
NYM@ATL· 1-for-3
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #101
T13
Tommy Edman2B
LADvsKC· 1-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #104
T13
Coby Mayo3B
BAL@MIN· 2-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #106
T13
Jackson MerrillCF
SDvsMIL· 1-for-3
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #108
T13
Drew GilbertCF
SFvsHOU· 1-for-3
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #109
T13
Anthony Seigler2B
BOS@TOR· 1-for-3
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #113
T13
Donovan Walton2B
ATHvsTB· 0-for-2
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #117
T13
Jared Young1B
NYM@ATL· 2-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #118
T13
Jac CaglianoneRF
KC@LAD· 2-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #122
T13
Taylor WallsSS
TB@ATH· 1-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #123
T13
Jim JarvisSS
ATLvsNYM· 0-for-2
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R, #129
T13
Ryan KreidlerSS
MINvsBAL· 1-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.4 R, #138
T13
Christian YelichDH
MIL@SD· 1-for-3
1RFinal
Proj 0.4 R, #150
T13
Brett Baty3B
NYM@ATL· 1-for-3
1RFinal
Proj 0.4 R, #155
T13
Charles McAdoo2B
TORvsBOS· 1-for-2
1RFinal
Proj 0.4 R, #157
T13
Miguel Rojas2B
LADvsKC· 1-for-3
1RFinal
Proj 0.4 R, #158
T13
Austin Riley3B
ATLvsNYM· 1-for-3
1RFinal
Proj 0.4 R, #161
T13
Hunter FeducciaC
LADvsKC· 1-for-3
1RFinal
Proj 0.4 R, #162
T13
Justin CrawfordCF
PHI@STL· 1-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.4 R, #163
T13
Michael Massey2B
KC@LAD· 1-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.4 R, #165
T13
Henry BolteCF
ATHvsTB· 2-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.4 R, #171
T13
Garrett StubbsC
PHI@STL· 0-for-3
1RFinal
Proj 0.4 R, #173
T13
Kyle IsbelCF
KC@LAD· 1-for-4
1RFinal
Proj 0.4 R, #180
T13
Kyle TuckerRF
LADvsKC· 0-for-1
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R
T13
Cedric MullinsCF
TB@ATH
1RFinal
Proj 0.5 R
T13
LaMonte Wade Jr.LF
HOU@SF
1RFinal
Proj 0.4 R

Best MLB Runs Matchups — Monday, August 10, 2026

Shohei Ohtani (LAD) is the top runs matchup on the Monday, August 10, 2026 board at 100, with Wyatt Langford (TEX) and Corbin Carroll (AZ) right behind. Every hitter on the slate is ranked by who's most likely to score a run — on-base ability, the arm and bullpen they face, lineup spot, park, and weather. It's the read DFS and prop players make before lock.

Top runs spot: Shohei Ohtani

Shohei Ohtani (LAD) tops the board at 100, facing LHP Noah Cameron. The lefty is scoring at .148 R/PA against lefties this year — and .167 over the last two weeks, a solid bat that turns into a run in about 13% of his trips. And Noah Cameron has been stingy with runs against lefties lately — .000 runs per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's owned Noah Cameron too — .667 across 3 career trips. It all sets up in a neutral park.

The rest of the top of the board

Wyatt Langford (TEX) (100) vs LHP Reid Detmers: a strong bat at .137 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.143).
Corbin Carroll (AZ) (99) vs RHP Gabriel Hughes: a strong bat at .140 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
Geraldo Perdomo (AZ) (97) vs RHP Gabriel Hughes: a solid bat at .127 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
JJ Wetherholt (STL) (97) vs RHP Andrew Painter: a strong bat at .145 into an arm stingy with runs against the same side (.037).
Jeremy Peña (HOU) (96) vs RHP Blade Tidwell: a strong bat at .149 into an arm mostly holding up against the same side (.111), due to bounce back.
Jake McCarthy (COL) (96) vs RHP Michael Soroka: a strong bat at .135 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hot bat.
Jackson Chourio (MIL) (95) vs RHP Casey Mize: a strong bat at .132 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.545).

Platoon edges to target

Wyatt Langford (TEX) — righty bat vs LHP, .188 against lefties this year.
Corbin Carroll (AZ) — lefty bat vs RHP, .144 against righties this year.
Geraldo Perdomo (AZ) — lefty bat vs RHP, .130 against righties this year.
JJ Wetherholt (STL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .178 against righties this year.
Jake McCarthy (COL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .145 against righties this year.

How it played out

7 of the top 10 runs matchups landed at least one run. Top play Shohei Ohtani finished with 2 runs. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.

How to read these runs matchups

Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's runs scored per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.

Keep reading

What the runs board is

The Runs board projects the chance a hitter scores a run. One statistical model scores every matchup on the slate the same way — a star and a backup judged on the matchup in front of them, not their name — and every number is graded against the real box score once the games go final.

How the model gets its number

It isn't a gut call or a name game. The projection is built from a few things:

His on-base ability at the top of the order.
The bats due up behind him.
The opposing run-prevention.

Those pieces combine into one number, and the model re-tunes itself weekly against how its past calls actually landed.

Is there a betting edge here?

Like RBIs, runs is a lumpy market that grades efficient once you model the clustering honestly. Transparency board — our number set beside the line, graded.

How to use it

Useful context for top-of-the-order run creation, not a lean.

Everything here is a research signal from the model, graded in public — not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Learn more: How the model works · The picks story · Today's plays

Frequently asked questions

Who has the best runs matchup today (Monday, August 10, 2026)?: Shohei Ohtani (LAD) — top of the board at 100, facing LHP Noah Cameron. A solid bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.
What are the best MLB runs matchups today (Monday, August 10, 2026)?: The top runs matchups on Monday, August 10, 2026: Shohei Ohtani (100), Wyatt Langford (100), Corbin Carroll (99), Geraldo Perdomo (97), JJ Wetherholt (97). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by runs upside.
Did the top runs matchup get a run on Monday, August 10, 2026?: Yes — Shohei Ohtani got 2 runs.
Which hitters have a platoon edge today?: Wyatt Langford (TEX) — righty bat vs LHP, .188 against lefties this year. Corbin Carroll (AZ) — lefty bat vs RHP, .144 against righties this year. Geraldo Perdomo (AZ) — lefty bat vs RHP, .130 against righties this year. JJ Wetherholt (STL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .178 against righties this year. Jake McCarthy (COL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .145 against righties this year.
How is the runs matchup score calculated?: It reads how often he scores against that hand, weighted to recent form, then asks how good the bats behind him are at bringing him home. Spot in the order matters more here than almost anywhere. Then the bullpen, park and weather. 0–100 across the slate.
What does R/PA mean?: It's the share of a hitter's plate appearances that end with him scoring a run. Around .117 is league average. Runs depend on getting on base and the bats behind you, so lineup spot and team context matter as much as the individual.
What does the score actually mean?: Higher is better. Runs scored is a team stat wearing one player's name — the top of the order in a good spot will out-grade a better hitter batting seventh, because he gets more trips and more help.
What's the confidence meter?: It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a run.
What is a platoon split (handedness split)?: Same idea as the other contact boards, with one wrinkle: scoring a run starts with reaching base. The score leans on his rate against today's hand, then asks whether the bats behind him can bring him around.
What are park factors?: A park that gives up hits gives up runs. Gaps, altitude, and weather all raise the odds a leadoff single turns into a crossed plate. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it.
What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?: The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.
What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?: "≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a run in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.
Can I use this for runs props or DFS?: That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ run" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)
How accurate is the model?: We grade every board against the box score. Runs scored leans on teammates, so the top of this board out-hits the slate by a smaller margin than the pure-contact boards do — the posted season rate shows exactly how much.
When do lineups update?: Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.