Who has the best total bases matchup today (Tuesday, May 26, 2026)?

Konnor Griffin (PIT) — top of the board at 100, facing LHP Jordan Wicks. A solid bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.

What are the best MLB total bases matchups today (Tuesday, May 26, 2026)?

The top total bases matchups on Tuesday, May 26, 2026: Konnor Griffin (100), Kevin Alcántara (100), Taylor Ward (96), Blake Dunn (96), Henry Bolte (96). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by total bases upside.

Did the top total bases matchup get a total base on Tuesday, May 26, 2026?

Yes — Konnor Griffin got 1 total base.

Which pitchers are most vulnerable today?

LHP Jordan Wicks has been giving up bases to lefties — .360 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Konnor Griffin (PIT), Jared Triolo (PIT), and Jhostynxon Garcia (PIT). RHP Mitch Keller has been giving up bases to righties — .360 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Kevin Alcántara (CHC), Nico Hoerner (CHC), and Michael Busch (CHC). RHP Griffin Jax has been giving up bases to righties — .360 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Taylor Ward (BAL), Gunnar Henderson (BAL), and Pete Alonso (BAL). LHP David Peterson has been giving up bases to lefties — .360 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Blake Dunn (CIN), Elly De La Cruz (CIN), and Sal Stewart (CIN).

How is the total bases matchup score calculated?

It's his bases-per-trip rate against that hand, recent form weighted heaviest, over a two-year baseline. Because this counts extra-base damage, slug matters as much as contact. Then the bullpen, order spot, and the yard. 0–100 across the slate.

What does TB/PA mean?

Total bases is 1 for a single, 2 for a double, 3 for a triple, 4 for a homer — so it rewards power, not just contact. Per plate appearance, around .37 is league average; .50+ is big-time slug. It's the cleanest power matchup we run: both the bat's slug and the arm's slug-against are real.

What does the score actually mean?

Higher is better. Total bases rewards the guys who do damage rather than just make contact, so this board leans slugger where the hits board leans average. It ranks today's spots, not the odds of any particular number.

What's the confidence meter?

It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a total base.

What is a platoon split (handedness split)?

Total bases blends contact and power, so the platoon gap cuts twice: the opposite hand means both more balls in play and more of them driven. A hitter with a big split can swing a full base per game between the two matchups.

What are park factors?

Every extra foot of outfield is a base. Gaps and altitude turn singles into doubles and doubles into triples, while a small park trades the same batted ball for a home run. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it.

What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?

The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.

What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?

"≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a total base in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.

Can I use this for total bases props or DFS?

That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ total base" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)

How accurate is the model?

We grade every board against the box score. Total bases is one of the steadier props we publish — more ways to clear the line means less variance — and the top of the board beats the slate consistently. Every past date is auditable.

When do lineups update?

Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.

Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Best MLB total bases matchups — Tuesday, May 26, 2026

Every hitter on the Tuesday, May 26, 2026 slate — ranked by total-base upside — the best power and extra-base spots. Results show how each call played out.

How the model did — Tuesday, May 26, 2026

Our top 5 hitters went 1/3 (33%) on our total-bases over/under, against 43% on the season.

Top 5

1/333%

season 43%

Top 10

3/743%

season 48%

Full slate

122/21856%

season 50%

Top call Blake Dunn came through. Konnor Griffin didn't.

Each hitter below carries a 0–100 matchup score — a read on the spot in front of him, not a ranking of how good he is, so a star in a brutal matchup can sit below an average hitter in a soft one. Confidence next to it is coverage: how much real data backs the number. Every call here was graded against the box score — wins and misses both, with the record on this page. How this board is built →

Final · 6–3

WSHaway

CLEhomeTop matchup75 Final · 1–6

TBaway

BALhomeTop matchup96 Final · 10–6

LAAaway

DEThomeTop matchup75 Final · 1–12

CHCaway

PIThomeTop matchup100 Final · 7–6

ATLaway

BOShomeTop matchup92 Final · 1–8

MIAaway

TORhomeTop matchup83 Final · 7–2

CINaway

NYMhomeTop matchup96 Final · 5–3

MINaway

CWShomeTop matchup75 Final · 15–1

NYYaway

KChomeTop matchup83 Final · 0–6

STLaway

MILhomeTop matchup83 Final · 7–10

HOUaway

TEXhomeTop matchup83 Final · 4–1

SEAaway

ATHhomeTop matchup96 Final · 4–3

PHIaway

SDhomeTop matchup87 Final · 7–5

AZaway

SFhomeTop matchup87 Final · 6–15

COLaway

LADhomeTop matchup87

PosSort

#Hitter · MatchupScore

163 with a TBLive count — updates as games play

1
Amed Rosario3B
NYY@KC· 4-for-6
10TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #173
2
Andy PagesCF
LADvsCOL· 4-for-5
9TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #40
T2
Mookie BettsSS
LADvsCOL· 3-for-5
9TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #100
4
Yordan AlvarezDH
HOU@TEX· 2-for-5
8TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #88
T4
Evan CarterCF
TEXvsHOU· 3-for-4
8TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #176
T4
Michael Harris IICF
ATL@BOS· 4-for-4
8TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #180
7
Willy AdamesSS
SFvsAZ· 2-for-5
7TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #15
T7
Anthony VolpeSS
NYY@KC· 3-for-6
7TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #235
9
Trent GrishamCF
NYY@KC· 3-for-7
6TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #26
T9
James WoodRF
WSH@CLE· 3-for-4
6TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #47
T9
Jesús SánchezRF
TORvsMIA· 2-for-4
6TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #81
T9
Vaughn Grissom2B
LAA@DET· 3-for-5
6TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #109
13
Jarren DuranLF
BOSvsATL· 2-for-5
5TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #6
T13
Trea TurnerSS
PHI@SD· 2-for-5
5TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #37
T13
Casey SchmittLF
SFvsAZ· 2-for-5
5TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #38
T13
Kevin McGonigleSS
DETvsLAA· 3-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #48
T13
Tyler SoderstromLF
ATHvsSEA· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #124
T13
Jake Bauers1B
MILvsSTL· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #143
T13
J.T. RealmutoC
PHI@SD· 2-for-3
5TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #187
T13
Will SmithC
LADvsCOL· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #190
T13
Jazz Chisholm Jr.2B
NYY@KC· 2-for-5
5TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #203
T13
Spencer Horwitz1B
PITvsCHC· 2-for-3
5TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #208
T13
Isiah Kiner-Falefa2B
BOSvsATL· 2-for-3
5TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #240
24
Ketel Marte2B
AZ@SF· 1-for-5
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #16
T24
Christian YelichDH
MILvsSTL· 3-for-5
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #27
T24
Joc PedersonDH
TEXvsHOU· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #29
T24
Jeremy PeñaSS
HOU@TEX· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #30
T24
Ceddanne RafaelaCF
BOSvsATL· 1-for-5
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #31
T24
Zach NetoSS
LAA@DET· 3-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #49
T24
Matt Olson1B
ATL@BOS· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #62
T24
Juan SotoLF
NYMvsCIN· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #65
T24
Bryce Harper1B
PHI@SD· 1-for-2
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #67
T24
Munetaka Murakami1B
CWSvsMIN· 1-for-5
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #79
T24
Samuel BasalloC
BALvsTB· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #93
T24
Manny Machado3B
SDvsPHI· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #96
T24
Brett SullivanC
COL@LAD· 1-for-2
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #101
T24
Yohendrick PiñangoLF
TORvsMIA· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #139
T24
Ben RiceDH
NYY@KC· 3-for-5
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #142
T24
Jose SiriCF
LAA@DET· 1-for-1
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #157
T24
Esmerlyn ValdezRF
PITvsCHC· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #160
T24
Ernie Clement2B
TORvsMIA· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #170
T24
Garrett MitchellCF
MILvsSTL· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #174
T24
Cam SmithRF
HOU@TEX· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #177
T24
Kyle Karros3B
COL@LAD· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #191
T24
Jo AdellRF
LAA@DET· 1-for-5
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #195
T24
Ramón LaureanoLF
SDvsPHI· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #217
T24
Wenceel PérezRF
DETvsLAA· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #267
48
Chandler SimpsonLF
TB@BAL· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #10
T48
Elly De La CruzSS
CIN@NYM· 2-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #21
T48
George SpringerDH
TORvsMIA· 3-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #23
T48
Nick Gonzales3B
PITvsCHC· 2-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #63
T48
Jonathan Aranda1B
TB@BAL· 3-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #64
T48
Brooks Lee3B
MIN@CWS· 2-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #80
T48
Eugenio SuárezDH
CIN@NYM· 2-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #104
T48
Paul Goldschmidt1B
NYY@KC· 2-for-6
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #115
T48
William ContrerasC
MILvsSTL· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #116
T48
Austin Riley3B
ATL@BOS· 1-for-3
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #122
T48
Colson MontgomerySS
CWSvsMIN· 2-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #137
T48
Kody Clemens1B
MIN@CWS· 1-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #138
T48
Mitch GarverC
SEA@ATH· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #151
T48
Lane ThomasLF
KCvsNYY· 2-for-3
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #172
T48
JJ BledayLF
CIN@NYM· 3-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #184
T48
Tyler StephensonC
CIN@NYM· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #199
T48
Ezequiel DuranSS
TEXvsHOU· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #206
T48
Miguel Rojas2B
LADvsCOL· 2-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #221
T48
Luis TorrensC
NYMvsCIN· 2-for-3
3TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #229
T48
Austin WellsC
NYY@KC· 3-for-6
3TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #260
T48
Brayan RocchioSS
CLEvsWSH· 3-for-3
3TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #265
T48
Logan O'HoppeC
LAA@DET· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #268
70
Sal Stewart1B
CIN@NYM· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #43
T70
Travis Bazzana2B
CLEvsWSH· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #46
T70
Daulton VarshoCF
TORvsMIA· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #52
T70
Freddie Freeman1B
LADvsCOL· 2-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #70
T70
José Ramírez3B
CLEvsWSH· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #75
T70
Willson Contreras1B
BOSvsATL· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #90
T70
Josh Naylor1B
SEA@ATH· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #95
T70
Rafael Devers1B
SFvsAZ· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #98
T70
Ian HappLF
CHC@PIT· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #120
T70
Leody TaverasCF
BALvsTB· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #123
T70
Ryan WaldschmidtCF
AZ@SF· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #128
T70
Carter JensenC
KCvsNYY· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #141
T70
Dane MyersCF
CIN@NYM· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #149
T70
Chase Meidroth2B
CWSvsMIN· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #158
T70
Ildemaro Vargas1B
AZ@SF· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #165
T70
Jake McCarthyLF
COL@LAD· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #167
T70
Zack Gelof3B
ATHvsSEA· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #169
T70
Nick Sogard2B
BOSvsATL· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #179
T70
Carson KellyC
CHC@PIT· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #181
T70
Bryce EldridgeDH
SFvsAZ· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #188
T70
Bryan TorresLF
STL@MIL· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #205
T70
Zach DezenzoLF
HOU@TEX· 1-for-1
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #207
T70
Troy JohnstonRF
COL@LAD· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #222
T70
Brandon ValenzuelaC
TORvsMIA· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #232
T70
Sal FrelickRF
MILvsSTL· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #236
T70
Jackson Holliday2B
BALvsTB· 2-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #242
T70
Nasim Nuñez2B
WSH@CLE· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #252
T70
Donovan Walton2B
LAA@DET· 1-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #254
T70
Javier Sanoja3B
MIA@TOR· 2-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #258
T70
Keibert RuizC
WSH@CLE· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #266
100
Konnor GriffinSS
PITvsCHC· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #1
T100
Blake DunnCF
CIN@NYM· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #4
T100
Ronald Acuña Jr.RF
ATL@BOS· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #7
T100
Jared TrioloSS
PITvsCHC· 1-for-1
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #8
T100
Nico Hoerner2B
CHC@PIT· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #9
T100
J.P. CrawfordSS
SEA@ATH· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #12
T100
Fernando Tatis Jr.RF
SDvsPHI· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #13
T100
Kyle SchwarberDH
PHI@SD· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #14
T100
Sterlin ThompsonRF
COL@LAD· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #18
T100
Junior Caminero3B
TB@BAL· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #19
T100
Bo Bichette3B
NYMvsCIN· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #20
T100
Julio RodríguezCF
SEA@ATH· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #22
T100
Mauricio DubónLF
ATL@BOS· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #32
T100
Xander BogaertsSS
SDvsPHI· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #36
T100
Tyler FreemanRF
COL@LAD· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #41
T100
Randy ArozarenaLF
SEA@ATH· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #45
T100
Jackson ChourioLF
MILvsSTL· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #56
T100
Iván HerreraDH
STL@MIL· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #57
T100
Michael Busch1B
CHC@PIT· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #60
T100
Geraldo PerdomoSS
AZ@SF· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #69
T100
Ezequiel TovarSS
COL@LAD· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #71
T100
Yandy DíazDH
TB@BAL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #72
T100
Otto LopezSS
MIA@TOR· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #82
T100
Jordan WalkerRF
STL@MIL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #86
T100
Brandon NimmoRF
TEXvsHOU· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #87
T100
A.J. EwingCF
NYMvsCIN· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #94
T100
Ryan ViladeRF
TB@BAL· 1-for-1
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #102
T100
Rob RefsnyderDH
SEA@ATH· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #105
T100
Chase DeLauterRF
CLEvsWSH· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #106
T100
Andrés Chaparro1B
WSH@CLE· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #107
T100
Kazuma Okamoto3B
TORvsMIA· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #112
T100
Alec Burleson1B
STL@MIL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #117
T100
Josh Jung3B
TEXvsHOU· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #118
T100
Alec Bohm3B
PHI@SD· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #126
T100
Kyle TuckerRF
LADvsCOL· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #129
T100
Braxton FulfordDH
COL@LAD· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #130
T100
Marcell OzunaDH
PITvsCHC· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #131
T100
Kyle Manzardo1B
CLEvsWSH· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #133
T100
CJ AbramsSS
WSH@CLE· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #134
T100
Jahmai JonesDH
DETvsLAA· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #135
T100
Jorge SolerDH
LAA@DET· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #136
T100
Jake Burger1B
TEXvsHOU· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #145
T100
Jeremiah Jackson2B
BALvsTB· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #147
T100
Mickey GasperC
BOSvsATL· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #152
T100
Mike YastrzemskiLF
ATL@BOS· 1-for-1
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #153
T100
Dylan CrewsRF
WSH@CLE· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #155
T100
Austin MartinRF
MIN@CWS· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #159
T100
Jakob MarseeCF
MIA@TOR· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #171
T100
Colton CowserCF
BALvsTB· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #182
T100
Victor Mesa Jr.RF
TB@BAL· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #183
T100
Gabriel MorenoC
AZ@SF· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #189
T100
Daylen LileLF
WSH@CLE· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #193
T100
Blaze Alexander3B
BALvsTB· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #198
T100
Heriberto HernándezLF
MIA@TOR· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #201
T100
Jac CaglianoneRF
KCvsNYY· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #202
T100
Steven KwanLF
CLEvsWSH· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #223
T100
Jacob YoungCF
WSH@CLE· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #224
T100
Oswald Peraza2B
LAA@DET· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #226
T100
Matt McLain2B
CIN@NYM· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #230
T100
Brice MatthewsCF
HOU@TEX· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #239
T100
Matt VierlingCF
DETvsLAA· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #253
T100
Luke Keaschall2B
MIN@CWS· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #256
T100
Victor Scott IICF
STL@MIL· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #262
T100
Rikuu NishidaRF
CWSvsMIN· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #269

Best MLB Total Bases Matchups — Tuesday, May 26, 2026

Konnor Griffin (PIT) is the top total bases matchup on the Tuesday, May 26, 2026 board at 100, with Kevin Alcántara (CHC) and Taylor Ward (BAL) right behind. Every hitter on the slate is ranked by total-base upside — the best power and extra-base spots — raw power, the arm and bullpen they face, batting order, park, and weather. It's the read DFS and prop players make before lock.

Top total bases spot: Konnor Griffin

Konnor Griffin (PIT) tops the board at 100, facing LHP Jordan Wicks. The righty is racking up bases at — TB/PA against lefties this year, a solid bat that turns into a total base in about 37% of his trips. And Jordan Wicks has been thin against lefties lately. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's just .000 in 3 career PA against Jordan Wicks, but that's a tiny sample and the matchup says regression. It all sets up in a neutral park, weather helping.

The rest of the top of the board

Kevin Alcántara (CHC) (100) vs RHP Mitch Keller: a solid bat at .370 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
Taylor Ward (BAL) (96) vs RHP Griffin Jax: a solid bat at .370 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
Blake Dunn (CIN) (96) vs LHP David Peterson: a solid bat at .370 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
Henry Bolte (ATH) (96) vs RHP Emerson Hancock: a solid bat at .370 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
Jarren Duran (BOS) (92) vs RHP Spencer Strider: a solid bat at .370 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
Ronald Acuña Jr. (ATL) (92) vs LHP Ranger Suarez: a solid bat at .370 into an arm with little track record against the same side, due to bounce back.
Jared Triolo (PIT) (91) vs LHP Jordan Wicks: a solid bat at .370 into an arm with little track record against the same side, due to bounce back.

Arms giving up extra bases today

LHP Jordan Wicks has been giving up bases to lefties — .360 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Konnor Griffin (PIT), Jared Triolo (PIT), and Jhostynxon Garcia (PIT).
RHP Mitch Keller has been giving up bases to righties — .360 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Kevin Alcántara (CHC), Nico Hoerner (CHC), and Michael Busch (CHC).
RHP Griffin Jax has been giving up bases to righties — .360 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Taylor Ward (BAL), Gunnar Henderson (BAL), and Pete Alonso (BAL).
LHP David Peterson has been giving up bases to lefties — .360 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Blake Dunn (CIN), Elly De La Cruz (CIN), and Sal Stewart (CIN).

How it played out

7 of the top 10 total bases matchups landed at least one total base. Top play Konnor Griffin finished with 1 total base. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.

How to read these total bases matchups

Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's total bases per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.

Keep reading

What the total bases board is

The Total Bases board projects how many bases a hitter racks up vs the posted total-bases line. One statistical model scores every matchup on the slate the same way — a star and a backup judged on the matchup in front of them, not their name — and every number is graded against the real box score once the games go final.

How the model gets its number

It isn't a gut call or a name game. The projection is built from a few things:

His extra-base pop vs this arm.
The park.
Recent contact quality.

Those pieces combine into one number, and the model re-tunes itself weekly against how its past calls actually landed.

Is there a betting edge here?

Total bases grades right at break-even even when we tune it to the hilt — the book prices the marginal leans efficiently. Transparency board.

How to use it

See who the model projects for extra-base damage; no systematic edge to bet.

Everything here is a research signal from the model, graded in public — not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Learn more: How the model works · The picks story · Today's plays

Frequently asked questions

Who has the best total bases matchup today (Tuesday, May 26, 2026)?: Konnor Griffin (PIT) — top of the board at 100, facing LHP Jordan Wicks. A solid bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.
What are the best MLB total bases matchups today (Tuesday, May 26, 2026)?: The top total bases matchups on Tuesday, May 26, 2026: Konnor Griffin (100), Kevin Alcántara (100), Taylor Ward (96), Blake Dunn (96), Henry Bolte (96). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by total bases upside.
Did the top total bases matchup get a total base on Tuesday, May 26, 2026?: Yes — Konnor Griffin got 1 total base.
Which pitchers are most vulnerable today?: LHP Jordan Wicks has been giving up bases to lefties — .360 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Konnor Griffin (PIT), Jared Triolo (PIT), and Jhostynxon Garcia (PIT). RHP Mitch Keller has been giving up bases to righties — .360 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Kevin Alcántara (CHC), Nico Hoerner (CHC), and Michael Busch (CHC). RHP Griffin Jax has been giving up bases to righties — .360 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Taylor Ward (BAL), Gunnar Henderson (BAL), and Pete Alonso (BAL). LHP David Peterson has been giving up bases to lefties — .360 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Blake Dunn (CIN), Elly De La Cruz (CIN), and Sal Stewart (CIN).
How is the total bases matchup score calculated?: It's his bases-per-trip rate against that hand, recent form weighted heaviest, over a two-year baseline. Because this counts extra-base damage, slug matters as much as contact. Then the bullpen, order spot, and the yard. 0–100 across the slate.
What does TB/PA mean?: Total bases is 1 for a single, 2 for a double, 3 for a triple, 4 for a homer — so it rewards power, not just contact. Per plate appearance, around .37 is league average; .50+ is big-time slug. It's the cleanest power matchup we run: both the bat's slug and the arm's slug-against are real.
What does the score actually mean?: Higher is better. Total bases rewards the guys who do damage rather than just make contact, so this board leans slugger where the hits board leans average. It ranks today's spots, not the odds of any particular number.
What's the confidence meter?: It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a total base.
What is a platoon split (handedness split)?: Total bases blends contact and power, so the platoon gap cuts twice: the opposite hand means both more balls in play and more of them driven. A hitter with a big split can swing a full base per game between the two matchups.
What are park factors?: Every extra foot of outfield is a base. Gaps and altitude turn singles into doubles and doubles into triples, while a small park trades the same batted ball for a home run. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it.
What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?: The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.
What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?: "≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a total base in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.
Can I use this for total bases props or DFS?: That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ total base" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)
How accurate is the model?: We grade every board against the box score. Total bases is one of the steadier props we publish — more ways to clear the line means less variance — and the top of the board beats the slate consistently. Every past date is auditable.
When do lineups update?: Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.