Best MLB Total Bases Matchups — Tuesday, August 4, 2026
Top total bases spot: Carter Jensen
Carter Jensen (KC) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Joe Ryan. The lefty is racking up bases at .388 TB/PA against righties this year — and .439 over the last two weeks, a solid bat that turns into a total base in about 39% of his trips. And Joe Ryan has been getting squared up by righties lately — .788 total bases per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's a fine .222 in 9 career PA against Joe Ryan. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Dillon Dingler (DET) (99) vs RHP Emerson Hancock: a strong bat at .460 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.619).
- Jeremy Peña (HOU) (93) vs RHP Trey Yesavage: an elite bat at .578 into an arm mostly containing the same side (.333), hot bat.
- Gleyber Torres (DET) (92) vs RHP Emerson Hancock: a solid bat at .397 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.619).
- Jac Caglianone (KC) (90) vs RHP Joe Ryan: a solid bat at .400 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.788).
- Sam Antonacci (CWS) (89) vs LHP Patrick Sandoval: a solid bat at .370 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.700), due to bounce back.
- Joc Pederson (TEX) (87) vs RHP Blade Tidwell: a strong bat at .463 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Nick Loftin (KC) (84) vs RHP Joe Ryan: a solid bat at .371 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (1.200).
Arms giving up extra bases today
- RHP Joe Ryan has been getting squared up by righties — .463 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Carter Jensen (KC), Jac Caglianone (KC), and Nick Loftin (KC).
- RHP Grayson Rodriguez has been getting squared up by righties — .424 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Coby Mayo (BAL), Taylor Ward (BAL), and Gunnar Henderson (BAL).
- LHP Patrick Sandoval has been getting squared up by lefties — .421 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Sam Antonacci (CWS), Munetaka Murakami (CWS), and Colson Montgomery (CWS).
- LHP Sean Manaea has been vulnerable to lefties — .400 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Steven Kwan (CLE), Chase DeLauter (CLE), and Travis Bazzana (CLE).
Platoon edges to target
- Carter Jensen (KC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .388 against righties this year.
- Jac Caglianone (KC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .425 against righties this year.
- Joc Pederson (TEX) — lefty bat vs RHP, .445 against righties this year.
- Kyle Stowers (MIA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .447 against righties this year.
- Brice Turang (MIL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .449 against righties this year.
Lineup watch
270 of today's hitters are still on projected lineups, drawn from each team's last game. Batting order drives the score, so these flip the moment official lineups post — usually about two hours before first pitch. Anyone who doesn't make the official card gets flagged "Not starting" and drops to the bottom.
How to read these total bases matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's total bases per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.