Best MLB Total Bases Matchups — Wednesday, August 5, 2026
Top total bases spot: Gleyber Torres
Gleyber Torres (DET) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Bryan Woo. The righty is racking up bases at .399 TB/PA against righties this year — and .586 over the last two weeks, a solid bat that turns into a total base in about 41% of his trips. And Bryan Woo has been getting squared up by righties lately — .824 total bases per batter faced. The bullpen behind him hasn't been any better to that side, so there's no relief late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. He's owned Bryan Woo too — .545 across 11 career trips. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Jeremy Peña (HOU) (100) vs RHP Jameson Taillon: an excellent bat at .542 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (1.333).
- Dillon Dingler (DET) (99) vs RHP Bryan Woo: a strong bat at .439 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.824), hot bat.
- Jonathan Aranda (TB) (96) vs RHP Tomoyuki Sugano: a league-average bat at .360 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.515).
- Victor Mesa Jr. (TB) (95) vs RHP Tomoyuki Sugano: a league-average bat at .326 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.515), due to bounce back.
- Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) (95) vs RHP Dean Kremer: a solid bat at .406 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.815).
- Liam Hicks (TB) (87) vs RHP Tomoyuki Sugano: a solid bat at .380 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.515).
- CJ Abrams (WSH) (85) vs RHP Andrew Painter: a strong bat at .473 into an arm tough on the same side (.154).
Arms giving up extra bases today
- RHP Dean Kremer has been getting squared up by righties — .459 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Bobby Witt Jr. (KC), Salvador Perez (KC), and Carter Jensen (KC).
- LHP Mitch Bratt has been getting squared up by lefties — .445 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Jackson Merrill (SD), Jake Cronenworth (SD), and Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD).
- LHP Carson Whisenhunt has been getting squared up by lefties — .444 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Wyatt Langford (TEX), Ezequiel Duran (TEX), and Jake Burger (TEX).
- RHP Tomoyuki Sugano has been getting squared up by righties — .431 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Jonathan Aranda (TB), Victor Mesa Jr. (TB), and Liam Hicks (TB).
Platoon edges to target
- Jonathan Aranda (TB) — lefty bat vs RHP, .418 against righties this year.
- Victor Mesa Jr. (TB) — lefty bat vs RHP, .356 against righties this year.
- Liam Hicks (TB) — lefty bat vs RHP, .432 against righties this year.
- CJ Abrams (WSH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .509 against righties this year.
- Munetaka Murakami (CWS) — lefty bat vs RHP, .506 against righties this year.
How it played out
5 of the top 10 total bases matchups landed at least one total base. Top play Gleyber Torres finished with 1 total base. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these total bases matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's total bases per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.