Best MLB Singles Matchups — Tuesday, September 29, 2026
Top singles spot: Mauricio Dubón
Mauricio Dubón (ATL) tops the board at 100, facing LHP Jesús Luzardo. The righty is lining singles at .157 1B/PA against lefties this year — and .294 over the last two weeks, a strong bat that turns into a single in about 17% of his trips. And Jesús Luzardo has been thin against lefties lately. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's owned Jesús Luzardo too — .444 across 9 career trips. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Austin Hays (SD) (99) vs LHP Matthew Boyd: an elite bat at .196 into an arm getting picked apart by the same side (.171).
- Dustin Harris (SD) (93) vs LHP Matthew Boyd: a solid bat at .150 into an arm getting picked apart by the same side (.250).
- Jeremy Peña (HOU) (91) vs LHP Hagen Smith: an excellent bat at .179 into an arm tough to string hits off the same side (.000).
- Jake Cronenworth (SD) (90) vs LHP Matthew Boyd: an excellent bat at .187 into an arm getting picked apart by the same side (.250).
- Yordan Alvarez (HOU) (90) vs LHP Hagen Smith: a strong bat at .158 into an arm getting picked apart by the same side (.235), hot bat.
- Ozzie Albies (ATL) (86) vs LHP Jesús Luzardo: a strong bat at .157 into an arm with little track record against the same side, due to bounce back.
- Ty France (SD) (83) vs LHP Matthew Boyd: a strong bat at .156 into an arm getting picked apart by the same side (.171).
Platoon edges to target
- Mauricio Dubón (ATL) — righty bat vs LHP, .157 against lefties this year.
- Austin Hays (SD) — righty bat vs LHP, .250 against lefties this year.
- Jeremy Peña (HOU) — righty bat vs LHP, .179 against lefties this year.
- Ozzie Albies (ATL) — righty bat vs LHP, .170 against lefties this year.
- Ty France (SD) — righty bat vs LHP, .159 against lefties this year.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Yordan Alvarez (HOU), Sam Antonacci (CWS), and Christian Walker (HOU). Cold but due to bounce back: Ozzie Albies (ATL), Alec Bohm (PHI), Nico Hoerner (CHC), Tommy Pham (CWS), and Austin Riley (ATL).
Lineup watch
72 of today's hitters are still on projected lineups, drawn from each team's last game. Batting order drives the score, so these flip the moment official lineups post — usually about two hours before first pitch. Anyone who doesn't make the official card gets flagged "Not starting" and drops to the bottom.
How to read these singles matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's singles per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.