Who has the best rbis matchup today (Wednesday, August 5, 2026)?

Esmerlyn Valdez (PIT) — top of the board at 100, facing LHP Kyle Harrison. An elite bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.

What are the best MLB rbis matchups today (Wednesday, August 5, 2026)?

The top rbis matchups on Wednesday, August 5, 2026: Esmerlyn Valdez (100), James McCann (100), Eduardo Valencia (91), Jake Burger (75), Kyle Schwarber (71). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by rbis upside.

Did the top rbis matchup get a RBI on Wednesday, August 5, 2026?

No — Esmerlyn Valdez didn't record a RBI.

Which hitters have a platoon edge today?

Esmerlyn Valdez (PIT) — righty bat vs LHP, .339 against lefties this year. Jake Burger (TEX) — righty bat vs LHP, .192 against lefties this year. Kyle Schwarber (PHI) — lefty bat vs RHP, .119 against righties this year. Mickey Moniak (COL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .187 against righties this year. Jonathan Aranda (TB) — lefty bat vs RHP, .178 against righties this year.

How is the rbis matchup score calculated?

It's a weighted read of the hitter's RBIs per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — the last two weeks, the current season, and a two-year baseline, with recent form counting most. Then it folds in the opposing bullpen, his expected plate appearances from the batting order, and park and weather. Scores are set 0–100 across the day's slate, so the best matchup is always 100.

What does RBI/PA mean?

It's the share of a hitter's trips to the plate that drive in a run. Around .105 is league average. RBIs lean on lineup spot and who's on base ahead of you, so we weigh the matchup but it's a noisier market than hits.

What does the score actually mean?

Higher is better for the hitter. 80s and 90s mean the bat, the pitcher, and the park all line up. 40s and 50s mean it's neutral to tough. It's a ranking of how today's spots stack up against each other — not the odds of a RBI.

What's the confidence meter?

It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a RBI.

What is a platoon split (handedness split)?

Most hitters do better against the opposite hand — a lefty bat vs. a righty arm, and vice versa. That gap is the platoon split. The score leans hard on each hitter's rate against the hand he's facing today, which is why the same guy can rank very differently day to day.

What are park factors?

Parks aren't neutral. Dimensions, altitude, and weather make some easier to hit in than others. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it — same hitter, higher grade in a hitter's park than a pitcher's.

What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?

The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.

What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?

"≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a RBI in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.

Can I use this for rbis props or DFS?

That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ RBI" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)

How accurate is the model?

We grade every board against real results, and the top of the board lands a RBI a lot more often than the slate as a whole. Weights get re-tuned weekly against actual outcomes on a held-out split, and since results sit next to projections, you can audit the hit rate yourself on any past date.

When do lineups update?

Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.

Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Best MLB RBIs matchups — Wednesday, August 5, 2026

Every hitter on the Wednesday, August 5, 2026 slate — ranked by the best RBI matchups — who's set up to drive in runs. Results show how each call played out.

How the model did — Wednesday, August 5, 2026

Our top 5 hitters went 0/5 (0%) on 1+ RBI, against 35% on the season.

Top 5

0/50%

season 35%

Top 10

3/1030%

season 33%

Full slate

71/27026%

season 29%

Top call Dillon Dingler came through. Esmerlyn Valdez didn't.

Final · 5–4

TORaway

HOUhomeTop matchup65 Final · 6–7

LADaway

CHChomeTop matchup65 Final · 0–6

SFaway

TEXhomeTop matchup75 Final · 4–0

TBaway

COLhomeTop matchup70 Final · 2–5

LAAaway

BALhomeTop matchup58 Final · 6–5

NYMaway

CLEhomeTop matchup50 Final · 2–3

ATHaway

CINhomeTop matchup64 Final · 10–4

WSHaway

PHIhomeTop matchup71 Final · 3–1

STLaway

NYYhomeTop matchup66 Final · 0–4

CWSaway

BOShomeTop matchup62 Final · 1–4

MIAaway

ATLhomeTop matchup67 Final · 1–2

MINaway

KChomeTop matchup56 Final · 2–4

PITaway

MILhomeTop matchup100 Final · 4–10

SDaway

AZhomeTop matchup100 Final · 2–4

DETaway

SEAhomeTop matchup91

Not starting55 not in the official lineup — moved to the bottom

PosSort

#Hitter · Matchup · 325 shownScore

74 with a RBILive count — updates as games play

1
Pete Crow-ArmstrongCF
CHCvsLAD· 3-for-5
4RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #47
T1
Ildemaro Vargas1B
AZvsSD· 2-for-5
4RBIFinal
Proj 0.4 RBI, #206
3
Shohei OhtaniTWP
LAD@CHC· 3-for-5
3RBIFinal
Proj 0.6 RBI, #15
T3
CJ AbramsSS
WSH@PHI· 3-for-5
3RBIFinal
Proj 0.6 RBI, #32
T3
Julio RodríguezCF
SEAvsDET· 2-for-3
3RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #83
T3
Max Muncy3B
LAD@CHC· 1-for-4
3RBIFinal
Proj 0.4 RBI, #138
7
Dillon DinglerC
DET@SEA· 2-for-3
2RBIFinal
Proj 0.6 RBI, #6
T7
Drake BaldwinC
ATLvsMIA· 2-for-4
2RBIFinal
Proj 0.7 RBI, #9
T7
Gabriel MorenoC
AZvsSD· 0-for-2
2RBIFinal
Proj 0.6 RBI, #23
T7
Tyler O'NeillRF
BALvsLAA· 1-for-3
2RBIFinal
Proj 0.6 RBI, #28
T7
Justin Foscue2B
TEXvsSF· 1-for-2
2RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #44
T7
Nathaniel Lowe1B
CLEvsNYM· 2-for-6
2RBIFinal
Proj 0.6 RBI, #50
T7
Brandon NimmoRF
TEXvsSF· 2-for-3
2RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #57
T7
Tim TawaLF
AZvsSD· 3-for-4
2RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #60
T7
Jesús SánchezRF
TOR@HOU· 1-for-3
2RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #86
T7
Andrew Vaughn1B
MILvsPIT· 1-for-3
2RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #128
T7
JJ Wetherholt2B
STL@NYY· 1-for-3
2RBIFinal
Proj 0.4 RBI, #160
T7
Ernie Clement2B
TOR@HOU· 1-for-4
2RBIFinal
Proj 0.4 RBI, #207
T7
Nasim Nuñez2B
WSH@PHI· 0-for-5
2RBIFinal
Proj 0.4 RBI, #219
T7
Endy RodríguezC
PIT@MIL· 1-for-3
2RBIFinal
Proj 0.3 RBI, #267
T7
Andrés Chaparro1B
WSH@PHI· 1-for-3
2RBIFinal
Proj 0.6 RBI
22
Jonathan Aranda1B
TB@COL· 1-for-4
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.7 RBI, #8
T22
Yordan AlvarezDH
HOUvsTOR· 1-for-4
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.6 RBI, #12
T22
Kazuma Okamoto3B
TOR@HOU· 1-for-5
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.6 RBI, #13
T22
Junior Caminero3B
TB@COL· 1-for-3
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.6 RBI, #17
T22
Victor Mesa Jr.RF
TB@COL· 2-for-3
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #56
T22
Wilyer AbreuRF
BOSvsCWS· 2-for-3
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #62
T22
Willson Contreras1B
BOSvsCWS· 1-for-1
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #63
T22
Joe MackC
MIA@ATL· 0-for-2
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #64
T22
Corbin CarrollRF
AZvsSD· 2-for-3
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #75
T22
Alex Bregman3B
CHCvsLAD· 1-for-5
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #80
T22
Christian YelichDH
MILvsPIT· 2-for-4
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #85
T22
Elias DíazC
TEXvsSF· 1-for-4
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #88
T22
Christian Walker1B
HOUvsTOR· 2-for-4
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #95
T22
Trea TurnerSS
PHIvsWSH· 0-for-4
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #98
T22
Iván HerreraDH
STL@NYY· 1-for-5
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #100
T22
Coby Mayo3B
BALvsLAA· 2-for-4
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #101
T22
Noelvi MarteRF
CINvsATH· 1-for-2
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #107
T22
Lawrence ButlerRF
ATH@CIN· 1-for-4
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #108
T22
William ContrerasC
MILvsPIT· 1-for-3
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #111
T22
Bryson Stott2B
PHIvsWSH· 1-for-2
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #125
T22
Caleb Durbin3B
BOSvsCWS· 1-for-4
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #126
T22
Austin Riley3B
ATLvsMIA· 2-for-4
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #129
T22
Bo Bichette3B
NYM@CLE· 1-for-5
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #131
T22
Jose Altuve2B
HOUvsTOR· 2-for-5
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.4 RBI, #132
T22
Dansby SwansonSS
CHCvsLAD· 1-for-4
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.4 RBI, #133
T22
Jazz Chisholm Jr.2B
NYYvsSTL· 0-for-2
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #135
T22
LaMonte Wade Jr.LF
HOUvsTOR· 3-for-4
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.4 RBI, #137
T22
Nico Hoerner2B
CHCvsLAD· 3-for-4
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.4 RBI, #147
T22
Jonah HeimC
ATH@CIN· 1-for-4
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #148
T22
Luis Arraez2B
PHIvsWSH· 1-for-5
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #149
T22
Lars NootbaarLF
AZvsSD· 1-for-4
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #152
T22
Michael Massey2B
KCvsMIN· 2-for-3
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.4 RBI, #163
T22
Keibert RuizC
WSH@PHI· 1-for-3
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.4 RBI, #167
T22
Jared Young1B
NYM@CLE· 2-for-4
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.4 RBI, #168
T22
Travis Bazzana2B
CLEvsNYM· 1-for-5
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.4 RBI, #174
T22
Patrick BaileyC
CLEvsNYM· 2-for-5
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.4 RBI, #179
T22
Brett Baty3B
NYM@CLE· 1-for-3
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.4 RBI, #180
T22
Mauricio DubónLF
ATLvsMIA· 2-for-4
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.4 RBI, #187
T22
Jose SiriCF
LAA@BAL· 1-for-3
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.4 RBI, #194
T22
Justin CrawfordCF
PHIvsWSH· 0-for-1
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.4 RBI, #195
T22
Jorge PolancoDH
NYM@CLE· 2-for-4
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.4 RBI, #197
T22
Carson BengeRF
NYM@CLE· 1-for-5
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.4 RBI, #200
T22
Angel Genao2B
CLEvsNYM· 4-for-5
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.4 RBI, #202
T22
Chandler SimpsonLF
TB@COL· 1-for-4
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.4 RBI, #228
T22
Andruw MonasterioSS
BOSvsCWS· 1-for-2
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.4 RBI, #233
T22
Kyle IsbelCF
KCvsMIN· 0-for-2
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.4 RBI, #235
T22
Jose TrevinoC
CINvsATH· 1-for-3
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.3 RBI, #245
T22
Fernando Tatis Jr.RF
SD@AZ· 1-for-4
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.4 RBI, #247
T22
Matt McLain2B
CINvsATH· 1-for-3
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.3 RBI, #249
T22
Nicky Lopez2B
TEXvsSF· 2-for-4
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.3 RBI, #252
T22
Colt EmersonSS
SEAvsDET· 1-for-3
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.3 RBI, #263
T22
Brady House3B
WSH@PHI· 1-for-4
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI
T22
Wade MecklerLF
LAA@BAL· 1-for-1
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.3 RBI

Best MLB RBIs Matchups — Wednesday, August 5, 2026

Esmerlyn Valdez (PIT) is the top rbis matchup on the Wednesday, August 5, 2026 board at 100, with James McCann (AZ) and Eduardo Valencia (DET) right behind. Every hitter on the slate is ranked by the best RBI matchups — who's set up to drive in runs — run-producing bats, the arm and bullpen they face, batting order, park, and weather. It's the read DFS and prop players make before lock.

Top rbis spot: Esmerlyn Valdez

Esmerlyn Valdez (PIT) tops the board at 100, facing LHP Kyle Harrison. The righty is driving in runs at .339 RBI/PA against lefties this year — and .111 over the last two weeks, an elite bat that turns into a RBI in about 22% of his trips. And Kyle Harrison has been thin against lefties lately. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.3 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Kyle Harrison. It all sets up in a neutral park.

The rest of the top of the board

James McCann (AZ) (100) vs RHP Casey Mize: an elite bat at .201 into an arm stingy with runs against the same side (.000), hot bat.
Eduardo Valencia (DET) (91) vs RHP Bryan Woo: an elite bat at .194 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.294).
Jake Burger (TEX) (75) vs LHP Carson Whisenhunt: an elite bat at .168 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.270).
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) (71) vs RHP Jake Irvin: an excellent bat at .152 into an arm vulnerable to the same side (.133), due to bounce back.
Dillon Dingler (DET) (70) vs RHP Bryan Woo: an excellent bat at .143 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.294), hot bat.
Mickey Moniak (COL) (70) vs RHP Nick Martinez: an elite bat at .167 into an arm vulnerable to the same side (.132).
Jonathan Aranda (TB) (68) vs RHP Tomoyuki Sugano: an excellent bat at .153 into an arm stingy with runs against the same side (.091).

Platoon edges to target

Esmerlyn Valdez (PIT) — righty bat vs LHP, .339 against lefties this year.
Jake Burger (TEX) — righty bat vs LHP, .192 against lefties this year.
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) — lefty bat vs RHP, .119 against righties this year.
Mickey Moniak (COL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .187 against righties this year.
Jonathan Aranda (TB) — lefty bat vs RHP, .178 against righties this year.

How it played out

3 of the top 10 rbis matchups landed at least one RBI. Top play Esmerlyn Valdez finished with 0 RBIs. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.

How to read these rbis matchups

Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's RBIs per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.

Keep reading

Frequently asked questions

Who has the best rbis matchup today (Wednesday, August 5, 2026)?: Esmerlyn Valdez (PIT) — top of the board at 100, facing LHP Kyle Harrison. An elite bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.
What are the best MLB rbis matchups today (Wednesday, August 5, 2026)?: The top rbis matchups on Wednesday, August 5, 2026: Esmerlyn Valdez (100), James McCann (100), Eduardo Valencia (91), Jake Burger (75), Kyle Schwarber (71). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by rbis upside.
Did the top rbis matchup get a RBI on Wednesday, August 5, 2026?: No — Esmerlyn Valdez didn't record a RBI.
Which hitters have a platoon edge today?: Esmerlyn Valdez (PIT) — righty bat vs LHP, .339 against lefties this year. Jake Burger (TEX) — righty bat vs LHP, .192 against lefties this year. Kyle Schwarber (PHI) — lefty bat vs RHP, .119 against righties this year. Mickey Moniak (COL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .187 against righties this year. Jonathan Aranda (TB) — lefty bat vs RHP, .178 against righties this year.
How is the rbis matchup score calculated?: It's a weighted read of the hitter's RBIs per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — the last two weeks, the current season, and a two-year baseline, with recent form counting most. Then it folds in the opposing bullpen, his expected plate appearances from the batting order, and park and weather. Scores are set 0–100 across the day's slate, so the best matchup is always 100.
What does RBI/PA mean?: It's the share of a hitter's trips to the plate that drive in a run. Around .105 is league average. RBIs lean on lineup spot and who's on base ahead of you, so we weigh the matchup but it's a noisier market than hits.
What does the score actually mean?: Higher is better for the hitter. 80s and 90s mean the bat, the pitcher, and the park all line up. 40s and 50s mean it's neutral to tough. It's a ranking of how today's spots stack up against each other — not the odds of a RBI.
What's the confidence meter?: It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a RBI.
What is a platoon split (handedness split)?: Most hitters do better against the opposite hand — a lefty bat vs. a righty arm, and vice versa. That gap is the platoon split. The score leans hard on each hitter's rate against the hand he's facing today, which is why the same guy can rank very differently day to day.
What are park factors?: Parks aren't neutral. Dimensions, altitude, and weather make some easier to hit in than others. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it — same hitter, higher grade in a hitter's park than a pitcher's.
What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?: The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.
What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?: "≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a RBI in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.
Can I use this for rbis props or DFS?: That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ RBI" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)
How accurate is the model?: We grade every board against real results, and the top of the board lands a RBI a lot more often than the slate as a whole. Weights get re-tuned weekly against actual outcomes on a held-out split, and since results sit next to projections, you can audit the hit rate yourself on any past date.
When do lineups update?: Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

What the RBIs board is

The RBIs board projects the chance a hitter drives in a run, given his slot and the bats around him. One statistical model scores every matchup on the slate the same way — a star and a backup judged on the matchup in front of them, not their name — and every number is graded against the real box score once the games go final.

How the model gets its number

It isn't a gut call or a name game. The projection is built from a few things:

His run-driving rate.
How often the hitters ahead of him are on base.
The arm he faces and the park.

Those pieces combine into one number, and the model re-tunes itself weekly against how its past calls actually landed.

Is there a betting edge here?

RBIs is lumpy — runs cluster — and once you price the 1+ line with a clustering-aware model instead of a naive one, the apparent edge vanishes. It grades efficient. So this is a transparency board.

How to use it

Good for spotting the cleanup-spot smash setups; not a market we've found a bettable edge in.

Everything here is a research signal from the model, graded in public — not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Learn more: How the model works · The picks story · Today's plays