Best MLB Singles Matchups — Wednesday, May 27, 2026
Top singles spot: Spencer Horwitz
Spencer Horwitz (PIT) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Jameson Taillon. The lefty is lining singles at — 1B/PA against righties this year, a solid bat that turns into a single in about 14% of his trips. And Jameson Taillon has been thin against righties lately. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's a fine .250 in 12 career PA against Jameson Taillon. It all sets up in a neutral park, weather helping.
The rest of the top of the board
- Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) (100) vs RHP Braxton Ashcraft: a solid bat at .145 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Shohei Ohtani (LAD) (100) vs RHP Tomoyuki Sugano: a solid bat at .145 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Chad Stevens (COL) (100) vs RHP Shohei Ohtani: a solid bat at .145 into an arm with little track record against the same side, due to bounce back.
- Nathan Lukes (TOR) (100) vs RHP Eury Pérez: a solid bat at .145 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Xavier Edwards (MIA) (100) vs RHP Kevin Gausman: a solid bat at .145 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Jackson Holliday (BAL) (100) vs LHP Steven Matz: a solid bat at .145 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Chandler Simpson (TB) (100) vs RHP Trey Gibson: a solid bat at .145 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Willy Adames (SF), Ketel Marte (AZ), Orlando Arcia (MIN), Kevin McGonigle (DET), Gavin Sheets (SD), and Alex Bregman (CHC). Cold but due to bounce back: Chad Stevens (COL), Carlos Cortes (ATH), Oliver Dunn (TB), Nick Kurtz (ATH), and Weston Wilson (BAL).
How it played out
4 of the top 10 singles matchups landed at least one single. Top play Spencer Horwitz finished with 1 single. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these singles matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's singles per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.