Best MLB Total Bases Matchups — Saturday, August 1, 2026
Top total bases spot: Drake Baldwin
Drake Baldwin (ATL) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Miles Mikolas. The lefty is racking up bases at .444 TB/PA against righties this year — and .842 over the last two weeks, an excellent bat that turns into a total base in about 50% of his trips. And Miles Mikolas has been getting squared up by righties lately — .818 total bases per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. He's owned Miles Mikolas too — .333 across 3 career trips. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Lane Thomas (KC) (97) vs RHP Ryan Feltner: a league-average bat at .360 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (1.000).
- Jeremy Peña (HOU) (95) vs RHP Jacob deGrom: an excellent bat at .535 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.455), hot bat.
- Salvador Perez (KC) (93) vs RHP Ryan Feltner: a solid bat at .399 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (1.000).
- Carter Jensen (KC) (90) vs RHP Ryan Feltner: a solid bat at .391 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.522).
- Elly De La Cruz (CIN) (84) vs RHP Braxton Ashcraft: a solid bat at .395 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.645).
- Joc Pederson (TEX) (83) vs RHP Ronel Blanco: an excellent bat at .484 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.500).
- Matt Olson (ATL) (80) vs RHP Miles Mikolas: a solid bat at .400 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.818).
Arms giving up extra bases today
- RHP Ryan Feltner has been getting squared up by righties — .468 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Lane Thomas (KC), Salvador Perez (KC), and Carter Jensen (KC).
- RHP Miles Mikolas has been getting squared up by righties — .456 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Drake Baldwin (ATL), Matt Olson (ATL), and Ronald Acuña Jr. (ATL).
- RHP Braxton Ashcraft has been getting squared up by righties — .428 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Elly De La Cruz (CIN), Nathaniel Lowe (CIN), and JJ Bleday (CIN).
- LHP Payton Tolle has been vulnerable to lefties — .414 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Freddie Freeman (LAD), Max Muncy (LAD), and Andy Pages (LAD).
Platoon edges to target
- Drake Baldwin (ATL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .444 against righties this year.
- Carter Jensen (KC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .375 against righties this year.
- Elly De La Cruz (CIN) — lefty bat vs RHP, .383 against righties this year.
- Joc Pederson (TEX) — lefty bat vs RHP, .442 against righties this year.
- Matt Olson (ATL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .480 against righties this year.
Lineup watch
270 of today's hitters are still on projected lineups, drawn from each team's last game. Batting order drives the score, so these flip the moment official lineups post — usually about two hours before first pitch. Anyone who doesn't make the official card gets flagged "Not starting" and drops to the bottom.
How to read these total bases matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's total bases per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.