Who has the best total bases matchup today (Wednesday, August 19, 2026)?

Andy Pages (LAD) — top of the board at 100, facing LHP Kyle Freeland. A strong bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.

What are the best MLB total bases matchups today (Wednesday, August 19, 2026)?

The top total bases matchups on Wednesday, August 19, 2026: Andy Pages (100), Abimelec Ortiz (96), Shohei Ohtani (93), Drake Baldwin (93), Trent Grisham (91). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by total bases upside.

Did the top total bases matchup get a total base on Wednesday, August 19, 2026?

Yes — Andy Pages got 1 total base.

Which hitters have a platoon edge today?

Andy Pages (LAD) — righty bat vs LHP, .472 against lefties this year. Abimelec Ortiz (WSH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .683 against righties this year. Drake Baldwin (ATL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .425 against righties this year. Trent Grisham (NYY) — lefty bat vs RHP, .375 against righties this year. Matt Olson (ATL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .491 against righties this year.

Which pitchers are most vulnerable today?

RHP Aaron Nola has been getting squared up by righties — .432 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Otto Lopez (MIA), Heriberto Hernández (MIA), and Griffin Conine (MIA). LHP Jeffrey Springs has been vulnerable to lefties — .414 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Jac Caglianone (KC), Nick Loftin (KC), and Bobby Witt Jr. (KC). RHP Kumar Rocker has been vulnerable to righties — .413 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Abimelec Ortiz (WSH), CJ Abrams (WSH), and José Tena (WSH). RHP Will Warren has been vulnerable to righties — .411 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Pete Alonso (BAL), Jackson Holliday (BAL), and Samuel Basallo (BAL).

How is the total bases matchup score calculated?

It's his bases-per-trip rate against that hand, recent form weighted heaviest, over a two-year baseline. Because this counts extra-base damage, slug matters as much as contact. Then the bullpen, order spot, and the yard. 0–100 across the slate.

What does TB/PA mean?

Total bases is 1 for a single, 2 for a double, 3 for a triple, 4 for a homer — so it rewards power, not just contact. Per plate appearance, around .37 is league average; .50+ is big-time slug. It's the cleanest power matchup we run: both the bat's slug and the arm's slug-against are real.

What does the score actually mean?

Higher is better. Total bases rewards the guys who do damage rather than just make contact, so this board leans slugger where the hits board leans average. It ranks today's spots, not the odds of any particular number.

What's the confidence meter?

It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a total base.

What is a platoon split (handedness split)?

Total bases blends contact and power, so the platoon gap cuts twice: the opposite hand means both more balls in play and more of them driven. A hitter with a big split can swing a full base per game between the two matchups.

What are park factors?

Every extra foot of outfield is a base. Gaps and altitude turn singles into doubles and doubles into triples, while a small park trades the same batted ball for a home run. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it.

What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?

The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.

What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?

"≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a total base in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.

Can I use this for total bases props or DFS?

That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ total base" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)

How accurate is the model?

We grade every board against the box score. Total bases is one of the steadier props we publish — more ways to clear the line means less variance — and the top of the board beats the slate consistently. Every past date is auditable.

When do lineups update?

Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.

Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Best MLB total bases matchups — Wednesday, August 19, 2026

Every hitter on the Wednesday, August 19, 2026 slate — ranked by total-base upside — the best power and extra-base spots. Results show how each call played out.

How the model did — Wednesday, August 19, 2026

Our top 5 hitters went 2/5 (40%) on our total-bases over/under, against 45% on the season.

Top 5

2/540%

season 45%

Top 10

4/1040%

season 45%

Full slate

120/26146%

season 50%

Top call Abimelec Ortiz came through. Andy Pages didn't.

Each hitter below carries a 0–100 matchup score — a read on the spot in front of him, not a ranking of how good he is, so a star in a brutal matchup can sit below an average hitter in a soft one. Confidence next to it is coverage: how much real data backs the number. Every call here was graded against the box score — wins and misses both, with the record on this page. How this board is built →

Final · 3–4

DETaway

PIThomeTop matchup81 Final · 2–4

SDaway

NYMhomeTop matchup88 Final · 4–6

ATLaway

MINhomeTop matchup93 Final · 3–0

CWSaway

CHChomeTop matchup90 Final · 7–6

AZaway

BOShomeTop matchup75 Final · 1–4

MIAaway

PHIhomeTop matchup74 Final · 5–3

NYYaway

BALhomeTop matchup91 Final · 1–0

SFaway

CLEhomeTop matchup74 Final · 4–5

STLaway

CINhomeTop matchup73 Final · 6–7

TORaway

TBhomeTop matchup73 Final · 7–9

ATHaway

KChomeTop matchup89 Final · 7–5

SEAaway

MILhomeTop matchup79 Final · 6–0

WSHaway

TEXhomeTop matchup96 Final · 2–3

LAAaway

HOUhomeTop matchup62 Final · 6–4

LADaway

COLhomeTop matchup100

Not starting60 not in the official lineup — moved to the bottom

PosSort

#Hitter · Matchup · 330 shownScore

163 with a TBLive count — updates as games play

1
Rafael Flores Jr.C
PITvsDET· 2-for-2
8TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB
2
Andrés Chaparro1B
WSH@TEX· 3-for-4
7TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #86
T2
Mickey MoniakLF
COLvsLAD· 3-for-5
7TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #92
4
Mookie BettsSS
LAD@COL· 3-for-5
6TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #48
T4
Vinnie Pasquantino1B
KCvsATH· 3-for-4
6TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #72
T4
Javier Sanoja3B
MIA@PHI· 3-for-3
6TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #166
7
José TenaDH
WSH@TEX· 2-for-3
5TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #24
T7
Carson BengeRF
NYMvsSD· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #44
T7
Ben RiceDH
NYY@BAL· 2-for-5
5TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #52
T7
Alejandro KirkC
TOR@TB· 2-for-5
5TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #69
T7
Nick Sogard2B
BOSvsAZ· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #120
T7
Luis Arraez2B
PHIvsMIA· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #139
T7
Enrique Hernández1B
LAD@COL· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #158
T7
Joey OrtizSS
MILvsSEA· 2-for-3
5TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #186
T7
Jarren DuranLF
BOSvsAZ· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #213
T7
Max Muncy3B
ATH@KC· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #257
17
Pete Alonso1B
BALvsNYY· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #6
T17
Brandon Lowe2B
PITvsDET· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #17
T17
Maikel Garcia3B
KCvsATH· 2-for-5
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #22
T17
Sal Stewart1B
CINvsSTL· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #77
T17
Jordan WalkerRF
STL@CIN· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #106
T17
Yandy DíazDH
TBvsTOR· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #111
T17
Mickey GasperC
BOSvsAZ· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #143
T17
Dylan BeaversRF
BALvsNYY· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #179
T17
Charles McAdoo2B
TOR@TB· 3-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #239
T17
Matt McLain2B
CINvsSTL· 3-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #244
T17
Connor Norby2B
COLvsLAD· 2-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #249
T17
Jose FernandezDH
AZ@BOS· 2-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #267
T17
Christian VázquezC
HOUvsLAA· 1-for-2
4TBFinal
Proj 1.2 TB, #269
30
Jeff McNeil2B
ATH@KC· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #14
T30
Jackson ChourioLF
MILvsSEA· 3-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #18
T30
Willy AdamesSS
SF@CLE· 3-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #80
T30
Braden MontgomeryRF
CWS@CHC· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #93
T30
JJ Wetherholt2B
STL@CIN· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #98
T30
Trea TurnerSS
PHIvsMIA· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #99
T30
Miguel Vargas3B
CWS@CHC· 2-for-3
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #112
T30
Dominic CanzoneDH
SEA@MIL· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #115
T30
Kody Clemens1B
MINvsATL· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #118
T30
Jung Hoo LeeRF
SF@CLE· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #146
T30
Leody TaverasCF
BALvsNYY· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #174
T30
Josh Naylor1B
SEA@MIL· 3-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #201
T30
Tyrone TaylorLF
CHCvsCWS· 2-for-2
3TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #219
T30
Kaelen CulpepperSS
MINvsATL· 3-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #245
T30
Max ClarkCF
DET@PIT· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #248
T30
Brock RoddenSS
SEA@MIL· 1-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #262
T30
Ryan WaldschmidtCF
AZ@BOS· 2-for-3
3TBFinal
Proj 1.2 TB, #270
47
Abimelec Ortiz1B
WSH@TEX· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #2
T47
CJ AbramsSS
WSH@TEX· 1-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #10
T47
Fernando Tatis Jr.RF
SD@NYM· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #11
T47
Junior Caminero3B
TBvsTOR· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #28
T47
Lawrence ButlerRF
ATH@KC· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #34
T47
Ty France1B
SD@NYM· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #42
T47
Jared Young1B
NYMvsSD· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #47
T47
Luke Keaschall2B
MINvsATL· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #58
T47
Rafael Devers1B
SF@CLE· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #65
T47
Corey SeagerSS
TEXvsWSH· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #67
T47
Angel MartínezLF
CLEvsSF· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #73
T47
Henry BolteCF
ATH@KC· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #76
T47
Ozzie Albies2B
ATL@MIN· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #78
T47
Josh BellDH
MINvsATL· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #82
T47
Brendan Donovan3B
SEA@MIL· 2-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #88
T47
Freddie Freeman1B
LAD@COL· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #95
T47
Willson Contreras1B
BOSvsAZ· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #100
T47
Gunnar HendersonSS
BALvsNYY· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #101
T47
Kevin McGonigleSS
DET@PIT· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #103
T47
Salvador PerezDH
KCvsATH· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #105
T47
Keibert RuizC
WSH@TEX· 2-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #131
T47
Xavier Edwards2B
MIA@PHI· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #133
T47
Liam HicksC
TBvsTOR· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #144
T47
Gabriel MorenoC
AZ@BOS· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #151
T47
Nick Gonzales3B
PITvsDET· 2-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #157
T47
Angel Genao2B
CLEvsSF· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #169
T47
Kyle TuckerRF
LAD@COL· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #172
T47
Donovan Walton2B
ATH@KC· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #176
T47
Jose Altuve2B
HOUvsLAA· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #180
T47
Travis Bazzana2B
CLEvsSF· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #181
T47
Josh LoweLF
LAA@HOU· 2-for-2
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #191
T47
Nolan Arenado3B
AZ@BOS· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #197
T47
Xander BogaertsSS
SD@NYM· 1-for-2
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #202
T47
Denzer Guzman3B
LAA@HOU· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #212
T47
George Lombard Jr.SS
NYY@BAL· 2-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #224
T47
Adael Amador2B
COLvsLAD· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #232
T47
Brandon MarshLF
PHIvsMIA· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #235
T47
Richie Palacios2B
TBvsTOR· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #240
T47
Garrett StubbsC
PHIvsMIA· 2-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #264
T47
Randal GrichukDH
CWS@CHC· 1-for-2
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB
T47
José FermínLF
STL@CIN· 1-for-2
2TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB
88
Andy PagesCF
LAD@COL· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #1
T88
Trent GrishamCF
NYY@BAL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #5
T88
Matt Olson1B
ATL@MIN· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #7
T88
Jac CaglianoneRF
KCvsATH· 1-for-1
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #9
T88
Michael Harris IICF
ATL@MIN· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #12
T88
Corbin CarrollRF
AZ@BOS· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #20
T88
Otto LopezSS
MIA@PHI· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #23
T88
Alec Burleson1B
STL@CIN· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #25
T88
Francisco LindorSS
NYMvsSD· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #26
T88
Teoscar HernándezLF
LAD@COL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #29
T88
Elly De La CruzSS
CINvsSTL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #30
T88
Wilyer AbreuRF
BOSvsAZ· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #31
T88
Zack Gelof3B
ATH@KC· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #33
T88
Jake McCarthyLF
COLvsLAD· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #38
T88
Heriberto HernándezLF
MIA@PHI· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #40
T88
Chandler SimpsonLF
TBvsTOR· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #45
T88
Luis García Jr.1B
NYY@BAL· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #46
T88
A.J. EwingCF
NYMvsSD· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #49
T88
Gleyber Torres2B
DET@PIT· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #53
T88
Colt Keith3B
DET@PIT· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #59
T88
Randy ArozarenaLF
SEA@MIL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #62
T88
Mike TroutCF
LAA@HOU· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #63
T88
Dane MyersCF
CINvsSTL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #64
T88
Andrew BenintendiDH
CWS@CHC· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #66
T88
Ronald Acuña Jr.RF
ATL@MIN· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #75
T88
Colson MontgomerySS
CWS@CHC· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #89
T88
Samuel BasalloC
BALvsNYY· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #90
T88
Oneil CruzCF
PITvsDET· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #91
T88
Bryan ReynoldsLF
PITvsDET· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #97
T88
Ildemaro Vargas1B
AZ@BOS· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #102
T88
Yordan AlvarezDH
HOUvsLAA· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #104
T88
Zach NetoSS
LAA@HOU· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #107
T88
Mike YastrzemskiLF
ATL@MIN· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #108
T88
Christian YelichDH
MILvsSEA· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #116
T88
Royce Lewis1B
MINvsATL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #121
T88
Bryce Harper1B
PHIvsMIA· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #126
T88
Tyler TolbertSS
KCvsATH· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #129
T88
Victor BericotoLF
SF@CLE· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #136
T88
Kazuma Okamoto3B
TOR@TB· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #138
T88
Jazz Chisholm Jr.2B
NYY@BAL· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #141
T88
Andrew Vaughn1B
MILvsSEA· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #145
T88
Luis LaraRF
MILvsSEA· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #148
T88
Carter JensenC
KCvsATH· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #153
T88
Brooks Lee3B
MINvsATL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #155
T88
TJ Rumfield1B
COLvsLAD· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #159
T88
Jacob GonzalezSS
PITvsDET· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #160
T88
Josh Smith2B
TOR@TB· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #161
T88
Cole CarriggCF
COLvsLAD· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #163
T88
Nathan ChurchCF
STL@CIN· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #165
T88
Heliot RamosLF
NYY@BAL· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #171
T88
Luis RengifoLF
SD@NYM· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #177
T88
Kyle IsbelCF
KCvsATH· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #178
T88
Jacob YoungCF
WSH@TEX· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #182
T88
LaMonte Wade Jr.LF
HOUvsLAA· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #185
T88
Ryan McMahon3B
NYY@BAL· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #192
T88
Elias DíazC
TEXvsWSH· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #194
T88
Isaac Paredes3B
HOUvsLAA· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #196
T88
Zach McKinstry2B
DET@PIT· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #199
T88
Spencer JonesRF
NYY@BAL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #205
T88
Taylor WardDH
SEA@MIL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #210
T88
Bryan TorresLF
STL@CIN· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #215
T88
Brandon ValenzuelaC
TOR@TB· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #216
T88
Hao-Yu Lee2B
DET@PIT· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #217
T88
Chase Meidroth2B
CWS@CHC· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #221
T88
Ben RortvedtC
LAD@COL· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #226
T88
Jose TrevinoC
CINvsSTL· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #227
T88
Evan CarterCF
TEXvsWSH· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #229
T88
Marcus Semien2B
NYMvsSD· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #237
T88
Connor WongC
BOSvsAZ· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #238
T88
Justin CrawfordCF
PHIvsMIA· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #241
T88
Blaze Jordan3B
STL@CIN· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #247
T88
Austin HedgesC
CLEvsSF· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #250
T88
Jake RogersC
CWS@CHC· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #258
T88
Taylor WallsSS
TBvsTOR· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #266
T88
Joshua BáezLF
STL@CIN· 1-for-1
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB
T88
Mauricio DubónLF
ATL@MIN· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB

Best MLB Total Bases Matchups — Wednesday, August 19, 2026

Andy Pages (LAD) is the top total bases matchup on the Wednesday, August 19, 2026 board at 100, with Abimelec Ortiz (WSH) and Shohei Ohtani (LAD) right behind. Every hitter on the slate is ranked by total-base upside — the best power and extra-base spots — raw power, the arm and bullpen they face, batting order, park, and weather. It's the read DFS and prop players make before lock.

Top total bases spot: Andy Pages

Andy Pages (LAD) tops the board at 100, facing LHP Kyle Freeland. The righty is racking up bases at .472 TB/PA against lefties this year — and .773 over the last two weeks, a strong bat that turns into a total base in about 45% of his trips. And Kyle Freeland has been mostly containing lefties lately — .333 total bases per batter faced. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. He's owned Kyle Freeland too — .429 across 14 career trips. It all sets up in a neutral park.

The rest of the top of the board

Abimelec Ortiz (WSH) (96) vs RHP Kumar Rocker: a strong bat at .458 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.556).
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) (93) vs LHP Kyle Freeland: a strong bat at .436 into an arm tough on the same side (.294).
Drake Baldwin (ATL) (93) vs RHP Taj Bradley: a solid bat at .395 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.607), hot bat.
Trent Grisham (NYY) (91) vs RHP Chris Bassitt: a strong bat at .460 into an arm mostly containing the same side (.333).
Pete Alonso (BAL) (90) vs RHP Will Warren: a strong bat at .447 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.688), hot bat.
Matt Olson (ATL) (90) vs RHP Taj Bradley: a solid bat at .413 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.607).
Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) (90) vs LHP Sean Newcomb: an excellent bat at .495 into an arm tough on the same side (.182).

Arms giving up extra bases today

RHP Aaron Nola has been getting squared up by righties — .432 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Otto Lopez (MIA), Heriberto Hernández (MIA), and Griffin Conine (MIA).
LHP Jeffrey Springs has been vulnerable to lefties — .414 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Jac Caglianone (KC), Nick Loftin (KC), and Bobby Witt Jr. (KC).
RHP Kumar Rocker has been vulnerable to righties — .413 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Abimelec Ortiz (WSH), CJ Abrams (WSH), and José Tena (WSH).
RHP Will Warren has been vulnerable to righties — .411 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Pete Alonso (BAL), Jackson Holliday (BAL), and Samuel Basallo (BAL).

Platoon edges to target

Andy Pages (LAD) — righty bat vs LHP, .472 against lefties this year.
Abimelec Ortiz (WSH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .683 against righties this year.
Drake Baldwin (ATL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .425 against righties this year.
Trent Grisham (NYY) — lefty bat vs RHP, .375 against righties this year.
Matt Olson (ATL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .491 against righties this year.

How it played out

7 of the top 10 total bases matchups landed at least one total base. Top play Andy Pages finished with 1 total base. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.

How to read these total bases matchups

Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's total bases per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.

Keep reading

What the total bases board is

The Total Bases board projects how many bases a hitter racks up vs the posted total-bases line. One statistical model scores every matchup on the slate the same way — a star and a backup judged on the matchup in front of them, not their name — and every number is graded against the real box score once the games go final.

How the model gets its number

It isn't a gut call or a name game. The projection is built from a few things:

His extra-base pop vs this arm.
The park.
Recent contact quality.

Those pieces combine into one number, and the model re-tunes itself weekly against how its past calls actually landed.

Is there a betting edge here?

Total bases grades right at break-even even when we tune it to the hilt — the book prices the marginal leans efficiently. Transparency board.

How to use it

See who the model projects for extra-base damage; no systematic edge to bet.

Everything here is a research signal from the model, graded in public — not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Learn more: How the model works · The picks story · Today's plays

Frequently asked questions

Who has the best total bases matchup today (Wednesday, August 19, 2026)?: Andy Pages (LAD) — top of the board at 100, facing LHP Kyle Freeland. A strong bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.
What are the best MLB total bases matchups today (Wednesday, August 19, 2026)?: The top total bases matchups on Wednesday, August 19, 2026: Andy Pages (100), Abimelec Ortiz (96), Shohei Ohtani (93), Drake Baldwin (93), Trent Grisham (91). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by total bases upside.
Did the top total bases matchup get a total base on Wednesday, August 19, 2026?: Yes — Andy Pages got 1 total base.
Which hitters have a platoon edge today?: Andy Pages (LAD) — righty bat vs LHP, .472 against lefties this year. Abimelec Ortiz (WSH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .683 against righties this year. Drake Baldwin (ATL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .425 against righties this year. Trent Grisham (NYY) — lefty bat vs RHP, .375 against righties this year. Matt Olson (ATL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .491 against righties this year.
Which pitchers are most vulnerable today?: RHP Aaron Nola has been getting squared up by righties — .432 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Otto Lopez (MIA), Heriberto Hernández (MIA), and Griffin Conine (MIA). LHP Jeffrey Springs has been vulnerable to lefties — .414 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Jac Caglianone (KC), Nick Loftin (KC), and Bobby Witt Jr. (KC). RHP Kumar Rocker has been vulnerable to righties — .413 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Abimelec Ortiz (WSH), CJ Abrams (WSH), and José Tena (WSH). RHP Will Warren has been vulnerable to righties — .411 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Pete Alonso (BAL), Jackson Holliday (BAL), and Samuel Basallo (BAL).
How is the total bases matchup score calculated?: It's his bases-per-trip rate against that hand, recent form weighted heaviest, over a two-year baseline. Because this counts extra-base damage, slug matters as much as contact. Then the bullpen, order spot, and the yard. 0–100 across the slate.
What does TB/PA mean?: Total bases is 1 for a single, 2 for a double, 3 for a triple, 4 for a homer — so it rewards power, not just contact. Per plate appearance, around .37 is league average; .50+ is big-time slug. It's the cleanest power matchup we run: both the bat's slug and the arm's slug-against are real.
What does the score actually mean?: Higher is better. Total bases rewards the guys who do damage rather than just make contact, so this board leans slugger where the hits board leans average. It ranks today's spots, not the odds of any particular number.
What's the confidence meter?: It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a total base.
What is a platoon split (handedness split)?: Total bases blends contact and power, so the platoon gap cuts twice: the opposite hand means both more balls in play and more of them driven. A hitter with a big split can swing a full base per game between the two matchups.
What are park factors?: Every extra foot of outfield is a base. Gaps and altitude turn singles into doubles and doubles into triples, while a small park trades the same batted ball for a home run. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it.
What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?: The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.
What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?: "≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a total base in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.
Can I use this for total bases props or DFS?: That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ total base" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)
How accurate is the model?: We grade every board against the box score. Total bases is one of the steadier props we publish — more ways to clear the line means less variance — and the top of the board beats the slate consistently. Every past date is auditable.
When do lineups update?: Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.