Best MLB Hits Matchups — Wednesday, August 5, 2026
Top hits spot: Jeremy Peña
Jeremy Peña (HOU) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Jameson Taillon. The righty is hitting .306 H/PA against righties this year — and .478 over the last two weeks, an elite bat that turns into a hit in about 32% of his trips. And Jameson Taillon has been thin against righties lately. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's owned Jameson Taillon too — .375 across 8 career trips. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Yandy Díaz (TB) (90) vs RHP Tomoyuki Sugano: a solid bat at .241 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.357), hitter's park.
- Junior Caminero (TB) (88) vs RHP Tomoyuki Sugano: a strong bat at .260 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.357), hitter's park.
- Chandler Simpson (TB) (83) vs RHP Tomoyuki Sugano: an excellent bat at .289 into an arm tough on the same side (.182), hitter's park, hot bat.
- Yordan Alvarez (HOU) (83) vs RHP Jameson Taillon: an excellent bat at .286 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hot bat.
- Dillon Dingler (DET) (82) vs RHP Bryan Woo: a strong bat at .258 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.529), hot bat.
- Gleyber Torres (DET) (80) vs RHP Bryan Woo: a strong bat at .258 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.529).
- Mike Trout (LAA) (78) vs LHP Trevor Rogers: an excellent bat at .271 into an arm vulnerable to the same side (.289).
Pitchers getting tattooed today
- LHP Mitch Bratt has been vulnerable to lefties — .284 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Jackson Merrill (SD), Jake Cronenworth (SD), and Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD).
- RHP Dean Kremer has been vulnerable to righties — .271 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Bobby Witt Jr. (KC), Carter Jensen (KC), and Salvador Perez (KC).
- RHP Bryan Woo has been vulnerable to righties — .270 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Dillon Dingler (DET), Gleyber Torres (DET), and Spencer Torkelson (DET).
- RHP Tomoyuki Sugano has been giving up plenty to righties — .259 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Yandy Díaz (TB), Junior Caminero (TB), and Chandler Simpson (TB).
Platoon edges to target
- Chandler Simpson (TB) — lefty bat vs RHP, .291 against righties this year.
- Yordan Alvarez (HOU) — lefty bat vs RHP, .283 against righties this year.
- Mike Trout (LAA) — righty bat vs LHP, .238 against lefties this year.
- Liam Hicks (TB) — lefty bat vs RHP, .264 against righties this year.
- Cole Young (SEA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .249 against righties this year.
Best parks to hit in today
Coors Field is playing as a real hitter's park today (+6% hits park). Top bat there: Yandy Díaz (TB) at 90.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Chandler Simpson (TB), Yordan Alvarez (HOU), Dillon Dingler (DET), Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS), Jacob Wilson (ATH), and Steven Kwan (CLE). Cold but due to bounce back: Drake Baldwin (ATL), Andrés Chaparro (WSH), Wyatt Langford (TEX), Nathan Lukes (TOR), and Dylan Crews (WSH).
Lineup watch
270 of today's hitters are still on projected lineups, drawn from each team's last game. Batting order drives the score, so these flip the moment official lineups post — usually about two hours before first pitch. Anyone who doesn't make the official card gets flagged "Not starting" and drops to the bottom.
How to read these hits matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's hits per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.