Best MLB RBIs Matchups — Sunday, July 5, 2026
Top rbis spot: Luis García Jr.
Luis García Jr. (WSH) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Bubba Chandler. The lefty is driving in runs at .206 RBI/PA against righties this year — and .460 over the last two weeks, an elite bat that turns into a RBI in about 19% of his trips. And Bubba Chandler has been getting lit up by righties lately — .143 RBIs per batter faced. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. He's just .000 in 2 career PA against Bubba Chandler, but that's a tiny sample and the matchup says regression. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Junior Caminero (TB) (90) vs RHP Peter Lambert: an elite bat at .175 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.143).
- Nick Kurtz (ATH) (85) vs RHP Eury Pérez: an elite bat at .167 into an arm stingy with runs against the same side (.053).
- Kyle Schwarber (PHI) (81) vs RHP Luinder Avila: an elite bat at .166 into an arm stingy with runs against the same side (.069).
- Kerry Carpenter (DET) (78) vs RHP Kumar Rocker: an elite bat at .165 into an arm stingy with runs against the same side (.043).
- Rafael Devers (SF) (76) vs RHP Tanner Gordon: an excellent bat at .159 into an arm stingy with runs against the same side (.050), hot bat.
- Carter Jensen (KC) (76) vs RHP Aaron Nola: an excellent bat at .150 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.206).
- Jonathan Aranda (TB) (76) vs RHP Peter Lambert: an excellent bat at .160 into an arm mostly holding up against the same side (.111).
Platoon edges to target
- Luis García Jr. (WSH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .206 against righties this year.
- Nick Kurtz (ATH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .171 against righties this year.
- Kyle Schwarber (PHI) — lefty bat vs RHP, .137 against righties this year.
- Kerry Carpenter (DET) — lefty bat vs RHP, .190 against righties this year.
- Rafael Devers (SF) — lefty bat vs RHP, .149 against righties this year.
Lineup watch
270 of today's hitters are still on projected lineups, drawn from each team's last game. Batting order drives the score, so these flip the moment official lineups post — usually about two hours before first pitch. Anyone who doesn't make the official card gets flagged "Not starting" and drops to the bottom.
How to read these rbis matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's RBIs per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.