Who has the best rbis matchup today (Sunday, July 12, 2026)?

Luis García Jr. (WSH) — top of the board at 100, facing RHP Will Warren. An elite bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.

What are the best MLB rbis matchups today (Sunday, July 12, 2026)?

The top rbis matchups on Sunday, July 12, 2026: Luis García Jr. (100), Esmerlyn Valdez (100), Shohei Ohtani (100), Drake Baldwin (100), Kazuma Okamoto (94). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by rbis upside.

Did the top rbis matchup get a RBI on Sunday, July 12, 2026?

No — Luis García Jr. didn't record a RBI.

Which hitters have a platoon edge today?

Luis García Jr. (WSH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .210 against righties this year. Esmerlyn Valdez (PIT) — righty bat vs LHP, .419 against lefties this year. Drake Baldwin (ATL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .153 against righties this year. Mickey Moniak (COL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .170 against righties this year. Rafael Devers (SF) — lefty bat vs RHP, .160 against righties this year.

How is the rbis matchup score calculated?

It's a weighted read of the hitter's RBIs per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — the last two weeks, the current season, and a two-year baseline, with recent form counting most. Then it folds in the opposing bullpen, his expected plate appearances from the batting order, and park and weather. Scores are set 0–100 across the day's slate, so the best matchup is always 100.

What does RBI/PA mean?

It's the share of a hitter's trips to the plate that drive in a run. Around .105 is league average. RBIs lean on lineup spot and who's on base ahead of you, so we weigh the matchup but it's a noisier market than hits.

What does the score actually mean?

Higher is better for the hitter. 80s and 90s mean the bat, the pitcher, and the park all line up. 40s and 50s mean it's neutral to tough. It's a ranking of how today's spots stack up against each other — not the odds of a RBI.

What's the confidence meter?

It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a RBI.

What is a platoon split (handedness split)?

Most hitters do better against the opposite hand — a lefty bat vs. a righty arm, and vice versa. That gap is the platoon split. The score leans hard on each hitter's rate against the hand he's facing today, which is why the same guy can rank very differently day to day.

What are park factors?

Parks aren't neutral. Dimensions, altitude, and weather make some easier to hit in than others. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it — same hitter, higher grade in a hitter's park than a pitcher's.

What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?

The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.

What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?

"≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a RBI in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.

Can I use this for rbis props or DFS?

That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ RBI" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)

How accurate is the model?

We grade every board against real results, and the top of the board lands a RBI a lot more often than the slate as a whole. Weights get re-tuned weekly against actual outcomes on a held-out split, and since results sit next to projections, you can audit the hit rate yourself on any past date.

When do lineups update?

Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.

Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Best MLB RBIs matchups — Sunday, July 12, 2026

Every hitter on the Sunday, July 12, 2026 slate — ranked by the best RBI matchups — who's set up to drive in runs. Results show how each call played out.

How the model did — Sunday, July 12, 2026

Our top 5 hitters went 3/5 (60%) on 1+ RBI, against 34% on the season.

Top 5

3/560%

season 34%

Top 10

5/1050%

season 33%

Full slate

84/27031%

season 29%

Top call Esmerlyn Valdez came through. Luis García Jr. didn't.

Final · 5–14

MILaway

PIThomeTop matchup100 Final · 2–8

KCaway

BALhomeTop matchup83 Final · 5–3

NYYaway

WSHhomeTop matchup100 Final · 8–4

CHCaway

CINhomeTop matchup87 Final · 3–2

BOSaway

NYMhomeTop matchup89 Final · 5–2

CLEaway

MIAhomeTop matchup76 Final · 8–2

SEAaway

TBhomeTop matchup87 Final · 5–0

PHIaway

DEThomeTop matchup85 Final · 2–4

LAAaway

MINhomeTop matchup88 Final · 1–9

ATHaway

CWShomeTop matchup90 Final · 4–3

ATLaway

STLhomeTop matchup100 Final · 5–6

HOUaway

TEXhomeTop matchup89 Final · 1–3

COLaway

SFhomeTop matchup93 Final · 5–3

AZaway

LADhomeTop matchup100 Final · 4–5

TORaway

SDhomeTop matchup94

Not starting67 not in the official lineup — moved to the bottom

PosSort

#Hitter · Matchup · 337 shownScore

86 with a RBILive count — updates as games play

1
Alex Bregman3B
CHC@CIN· 3-for-5
4RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #72
T1
Braden MontgomeryRF
CWSvsATH· 2-for-4
4RBIFinal
Proj 0.4 RBI, #229
3
Randy ArozarenaLF
SEA@TB· 1-for-5
3RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #109
T3
J.P. CrawfordSS
SEA@TB· 3-for-4
3RBIFinal
Proj 0.4 RBI, #169
T3
Leody TaverasCF
BALvsKC· 2-for-4
3RBIFinal
Proj 0.4 RBI, #212
T3
J.T. RealmutoC
PHI@DET· 2-for-3
3RBIFinal
Proj 0.3 RBI, #246
T3
Henry DavisC
PITvsMIL· 2-for-4
3RBIFinal
Proj 0.4 RBI, #252
8
Jonathan Aranda1B
TBvsSEA· 1-for-3
2RBIFinal
Proj 0.6 RBI, #15
T8
Tommy Edman2B
LADvsAZ· 1-for-4
2RBIFinal
Proj 0.6 RBI, #16
T8
Ben Rice1B
NYY@WSH· 1-for-4
2RBIFinal
Proj 0.6 RBI, #38
T8
Kyle TeelC
CWSvsATH· 2-for-4
2RBIFinal
Proj 0.6 RBI, #40
T8
Eugenio SuárezDH
CINvsCHC· 1-for-4
2RBIFinal
Proj 0.6 RBI, #43
T8
Isaac Paredes3B
HOU@TEX· 1-for-4
2RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #90
T8
Trevor LarnachLF
MINvsLAA· 2-for-4
2RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #97
T8
Joc PedersonDH
TEXvsHOU· 1-for-3
2RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #102
T8
Francisco LindorSS
NYMvsBOS· 2-for-4
2RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #108
T8
Brayan RocchioSS
CLE@MIA· 2-for-5
2RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #111
T8
Brandon NimmoRF
TEXvsHOU· 3-for-5
2RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #127
T8
Ryan JeffersC
MINvsLAA· 1-for-4
2RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #141
T8
Ernie Clement2B
TOR@SD· 1-for-5
2RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #146
T8
Brice Turang2B
MIL@PIT· 1-for-3
2RBIFinal
Proj 0.6 RBI, #149
T8
Ryan O'HearnRF
PITvsMIL· 2-for-2
2RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #172
T8
José FermínLF
STLvsATL· 1-for-4
2RBIFinal
Proj 0.4 RBI, #230
T8
Nick Gonzales3B
PITvsMIL· 2-for-5
2RBIFinal
Proj 0.4 RBI, #240
T8
Marcell OzunaDH
PITvsMIL· 2-for-5
2RBIFinal
Proj 0.3 RBI, #261
T8
Jared TrioloSS
PITvsMIL· 3-for-5
2RBIFinal
Proj 0.3 RBI, #262
T8
Kevin AlcántaraDH
CHC@CIN· 1-for-2
2RBIFinal
Proj 0.3 RBI, #266
28
Esmerlyn ValdezRF
PITvsMIL· 1-for-4
1RBIFinal
Proj 1.0 RBI, #2
T28
Shohei OhtaniTWP
LADvsAZ· 2-for-4
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.7 RBI, #3
T28
Drake BaldwinC
ATL@STL· 1-for-3
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.7 RBI, #4
T28
Manny Machado3B
SDvsTOR· 3-for-4
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.7 RBI, #8
T28
Shea LangeliersC
ATH@CWS· 1-for-4
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.7 RBI, #9
T28
Jake McCarthyCF
COL@SF· 1-for-3
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.6 RBI, #17
T28
Pete Alonso1B
BALvsKC· 1-for-5
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.7 RBI, #21
T28
Kyle SchwarberDH
PHI@DET· 2-for-5
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.6 RBI, #24
T28
Samuel BasalloC
BALvsKC· 1-for-5
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.7 RBI, #25
T28
Jeremy PeñaSS
HOU@TEX· 0-for-4
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.6 RBI, #45
T28
James WoodRF
WSHvsNYY· 1-for-2
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.6 RBI, #48
T28
Nathan LukesRF
TOR@SD· 1-for-3
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.6 RBI, #50
T28
Pete Crow-ArmstrongCF
CHC@CIN· 1-for-3
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #53
T28
JJ BledayLF
CINvsCHC· 1-for-3
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #56
T28
Alec Burleson1B
STLvsATL· 1-for-3
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #59
T28
Andruw MonasterioSS
BOS@NYM· 1-for-2
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #65
T28
Jonatan ClaseLF
TOR@SD· 2-for-4
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #80
T28
Chase DeLauterRF
CLE@MIA· 1-for-5
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #83
T28
Willy AdamesSS
SFvsCOL· 3-for-4
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #87
T28
Kyle Manzardo1B
CLE@MIA· 1-for-4
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #116
T28
Tristan PetersCF
CWSvsATH· 1-for-4
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #123
T28
Anthony Seigler2B
BOS@NYM· 0-for-4
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #124
T28
Kahlil WatsonRF
CLE@MIA· 2-for-5
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #128
T28
Ty France1B
SDvsTOR· 1-for-2
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #131
T28
Spencer Steer1B
CINvsCHC· 2-for-5
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #137
T28
Gunnar HendersonSS
BALvsKC· 3-for-5
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #139
T28
Gary SánchezC
MIL@PIT· 1-for-3
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.6 RBI, #140
T28
Josh LoweLF
LAA@MIN· 1-for-4
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #143
T28
Jazz Chisholm Jr.2B
NYY@WSH· 2-for-4
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #147
T28
Sam AntonacciLF
CWSvsATH· 1-for-4
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #148
T28
Kyle HigashiokaC
TEXvsHOU· 1-for-4
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #151
T28
Bryan ReynoldsLF
PITvsMIL· 1-for-2
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.6 RBI, #156
T28
Cam SmithRF
HOU@TEX· 1-for-4
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.4 RBI, #158
T28
Lane ThomasCF
KC@BAL· 3-for-4
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #159
T28
Tim TawaLF
AZ@LAD· 1-for-4
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.4 RBI, #162
T28
Nolan Arenado3B
AZ@LAD· 1-for-4
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.4 RBI, #164
T28
Ildemaro Vargas1B
AZ@LAD· 2-for-4
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.4 RBI, #165
T28
Jake Cronenworth2B
SDvsTOR· 2-for-4
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.4 RBI, #167
T28
Drew GilbertCF
SFvsCOL· 1-for-4
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.4 RBI, #170
T28
Jackson ChourioLF
MIL@PIT· 2-for-5
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #178
T28
Austin WellsC
NYY@WSH· 1-for-2
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #182
T28
Jose Altuve2B
HOU@TEX· 1-for-4
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.4 RBI, #186
T28
José CaballeroSS
NYY@WSH· 1-for-3
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.4 RBI, #188
T28
Jarren DuranLF
BOS@NYM· 1-for-4
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.4 RBI, #189
T28
Michael Busch1B
CHC@CIN· 2-for-4
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.4 RBI, #210
T28
Garrett MitchellCF
MIL@PIT· 1-for-4
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI, #211
T28
Weston Wilson3B
SEA@TB· 1-for-4
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.4 RBI, #213
T28
Denzer Guzman3B
LAA@MIN· 2-for-4
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.4 RBI, #220
T28
Brewer HicklenCF
ATL@STL· 2-for-4
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.4 RBI, #225
T28
Sung-Mun Song2B
SDvsTOR· 0-for-2
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.4 RBI, #227
T28
Isaac CollinsLF
KC@BAL· 1-for-4
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.4 RBI, #235
T28
Victor RoblesRF
SEA@TB· 0-for-3
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.4 RBI, #241
T28
Jake MangumCF
PITvsMIL· 1-for-4
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.4 RBI, #248
T28
Xavier Edwards2B
MIAvsCLE· 2-for-4
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.3 RBI, #250
T28
Nicky Lopez2B
TEXvsHOU· 1-for-3
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.3 RBI, #257
T28
Bryson Stott2B
PHI@DET· 2-for-4
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.3 RBI, #260
T28
Ryan WaldschmidtCF
AZ@LAD· 0-for-2
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.3 RBI, #263
T28
Curtis Mead3B
WSHvsNYY· 1-for-2
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI
T28
Griffin ConineRF
MIAvsCLE· 1-for-2
1RBIFinal
Proj 0.5 RBI

Best MLB RBIs Matchups — Sunday, July 12, 2026

Luis García Jr. (WSH) is the top rbis matchup on the Sunday, July 12, 2026 board at 100, with Esmerlyn Valdez (PIT) and Shohei Ohtani (LAD) right behind. Every hitter on the slate is ranked by the best RBI matchups — who's set up to drive in runs — run-producing bats, the arm and bullpen they face, batting order, park, and weather. It's the read DFS and prop players make before lock.

Top rbis spot: Luis García Jr.

Luis García Jr. (WSH) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Will Warren. The lefty is driving in runs at .210 RBI/PA against righties this year — and .442 over the last two weeks, an elite bat that turns into a RBI in about 19% of his trips. And Will Warren has been getting lit up by righties lately — .200 RBIs per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Will Warren. It all sets up in a neutral park.

The rest of the top of the board

Esmerlyn Valdez (PIT) (100) vs LHP Robert Gasser: an elite bat at .252 into an arm vulnerable to the same side (.132).
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) (100) vs LHP Mitch Bratt: an elite bat at .162 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
Drake Baldwin (ATL) (100) vs RHP Dustin May: an excellent bat at .160 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.210).
Kazuma Okamoto (TOR) (94) vs RHP Germán Márquez: an elite bat at .162 into an arm stingy with runs against the same side (.000).
Mickey Moniak (COL) (93) vs RHP Trevor McDonald: an excellent bat at .151 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.304).
Rafael Devers (SF) (91) vs RHP Michael Lorenzen: an elite bat at .161 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.143).
Manny Machado (SD) (91) vs RHP Kevin Gausman: an elite bat at .161 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.364).

Platoon edges to target

Luis García Jr. (WSH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .210 against righties this year.
Esmerlyn Valdez (PIT) — righty bat vs LHP, .419 against lefties this year.
Drake Baldwin (ATL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .153 against righties this year.
Mickey Moniak (COL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .170 against righties this year.
Rafael Devers (SF) — lefty bat vs RHP, .160 against righties this year.

How it played out

5 of the top 10 rbis matchups landed at least one RBI. Top play Luis García Jr. finished with 0 RBIs. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.

How to read these rbis matchups

Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's RBIs per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.

Keep reading

Frequently asked questions

Who has the best rbis matchup today (Sunday, July 12, 2026)?: Luis García Jr. (WSH) — top of the board at 100, facing RHP Will Warren. An elite bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.
What are the best MLB rbis matchups today (Sunday, July 12, 2026)?: The top rbis matchups on Sunday, July 12, 2026: Luis García Jr. (100), Esmerlyn Valdez (100), Shohei Ohtani (100), Drake Baldwin (100), Kazuma Okamoto (94). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by rbis upside.
Did the top rbis matchup get a RBI on Sunday, July 12, 2026?: No — Luis García Jr. didn't record a RBI.
Which hitters have a platoon edge today?: Luis García Jr. (WSH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .210 against righties this year. Esmerlyn Valdez (PIT) — righty bat vs LHP, .419 against lefties this year. Drake Baldwin (ATL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .153 against righties this year. Mickey Moniak (COL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .170 against righties this year. Rafael Devers (SF) — lefty bat vs RHP, .160 against righties this year.
How is the rbis matchup score calculated?: It's a weighted read of the hitter's RBIs per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — the last two weeks, the current season, and a two-year baseline, with recent form counting most. Then it folds in the opposing bullpen, his expected plate appearances from the batting order, and park and weather. Scores are set 0–100 across the day's slate, so the best matchup is always 100.
What does RBI/PA mean?: It's the share of a hitter's trips to the plate that drive in a run. Around .105 is league average. RBIs lean on lineup spot and who's on base ahead of you, so we weigh the matchup but it's a noisier market than hits.
What does the score actually mean?: Higher is better for the hitter. 80s and 90s mean the bat, the pitcher, and the park all line up. 40s and 50s mean it's neutral to tough. It's a ranking of how today's spots stack up against each other — not the odds of a RBI.
What's the confidence meter?: It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a RBI.
What is a platoon split (handedness split)?: Most hitters do better against the opposite hand — a lefty bat vs. a righty arm, and vice versa. That gap is the platoon split. The score leans hard on each hitter's rate against the hand he's facing today, which is why the same guy can rank very differently day to day.
What are park factors?: Parks aren't neutral. Dimensions, altitude, and weather make some easier to hit in than others. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it — same hitter, higher grade in a hitter's park than a pitcher's.
What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?: The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.
What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?: "≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a RBI in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.
Can I use this for rbis props or DFS?: That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ RBI" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)
How accurate is the model?: We grade every board against real results, and the top of the board lands a RBI a lot more often than the slate as a whole. Weights get re-tuned weekly against actual outcomes on a held-out split, and since results sit next to projections, you can audit the hit rate yourself on any past date.
When do lineups update?: Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

What the RBIs board is

The RBIs board projects the chance a hitter drives in a run, given his slot and the bats around him. One statistical model scores every matchup on the slate the same way — a star and a backup judged on the matchup in front of them, not their name — and every number is graded against the real box score once the games go final.

How the model gets its number

It isn't a gut call or a name game. The projection is built from a few things:

His run-driving rate.
How often the hitters ahead of him are on base.
The arm he faces and the park.

Those pieces combine into one number, and the model re-tunes itself weekly against how its past calls actually landed.

Is there a betting edge here?

RBIs is lumpy — runs cluster — and once you price the 1+ line with a clustering-aware model instead of a naive one, the apparent edge vanishes. It grades efficient. So this is a transparency board.

How to use it

Good for spotting the cleanup-spot smash setups; not a market we've found a bettable edge in.

Everything here is a research signal from the model, graded in public — not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Learn more: How the model works · The picks story · Today's plays