Best MLB RBIs Matchups — Wednesday, July 8, 2026
Top rbis spot: Luis García Jr.
Luis García Jr. (WSH) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Spencer Arrighetti. The lefty is driving in runs at .207 RBI/PA against righties this year — and .450 over the last two weeks, an elite bat that turns into a RBI in about 18% of his trips. And Spencer Arrighetti has been getting lit up by righties lately — .286 RBIs per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Spencer Arrighetti. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Owen Caissie (MIA) (98) vs RHP George Kirby: an elite bat at .195 into an arm stingy with runs against the same side (.000).
- Brandon Lowe (PIT) (92) vs RHP Grant Holmes: an elite bat at .172 into an arm stingy with runs against the same side (.083), hot bat.
- Samuel Basallo (BAL) (92) vs RHP Colin Rea: an elite bat at .180 into an arm stingy with runs against the same side (.083).
- Junior Caminero (TB) (91) vs RHP Gerrit Cole: an elite bat at .173 into an arm giving up runs to the same side (.118), due to bounce back.
- Chase DeLauter (CLE) (89) vs LHP Connor Prielipp: an excellent bat at .154 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.333).
- Kody Clemens (MIN) (87) vs RHP Slade Cecconi: an elite bat at .167 into an arm stingy with runs against the same side (.081).
- Cole Carrigg (COL) (87) vs RHP Roki Sasaki: an elite bat at .162 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.333).
Platoon edges to target
- Luis García Jr. (WSH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .207 against righties this year.
- Owen Caissie (MIA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .212 against righties this year.
- Brandon Lowe (PIT) — lefty bat vs RHP, .201 against righties this year.
- Samuel Basallo (BAL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .186 against righties this year.
- Kody Clemens (MIN) — lefty bat vs RHP, .154 against righties this year.
How it played out
4 of the top 10 rbis matchups landed at least one RBI. Top play Luis García Jr. finished with 3 RBIs. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these rbis matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's RBIs per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.